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BIO-FUELS

BIO-FUELS. Guilherme Leite da Silva Dias Joaquim José Martins Guilhoto Department of Economics, FEA University of São Paulo. Unsustainable growth cycle?. Unsustainable growth cycle?. Unsustainable growth cycle?. Unsustainable growth cycle?. Unsustainable growth cycle?. Biofuels & Food.

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BIO-FUELS

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  1. BIO-FUELS Guilherme Leite da Silva Dias Joaquim José Martins Guilhoto Department of Economics, FEA University of São Paulo

  2. Unsustainable growth cycle?

  3. Unsustainable growth cycle?

  4. Unsustainable growth cycle?

  5. Unsustainable growth cycle?

  6. Unsustainable growth cycle?

  7. Biofuels & Food Gás Petróleo Carvão Nuclear Hídrica Biomassa A oferta de energia cresceu vinte vezes entre 1850 e 2000.Combustíveis fósseis representavam 80 por cento do total em 2000 (Holdren,2007)

  8. Biofuels & Food

  9. Biofuels & Food

  10. Biofuels & Food

  11. Biofuels & Food

  12. Is there a common ground for biofuels ? Rising Food Costs Global Warming Energy Crisis …different answers from different countries …..

  13. How much should be paid for the raw material of a bio-fuel? Answer depends on the country`s liquid fuel price policy

  14. How much should be paid for the raw material of a bio-fuel? July 2007, in Germany: Pump average price of diesel was US$ 1,62 per liter (current exchange rate) Assuming that the highest share for vegetable oil cost is 72% of pump price in order to warrant a good profit for industry and retailer, Highest price paid for soybean oil should be US$ 1,27 per kg. (0,92 kg of vegetable oil for 1 liter of biodiesel). US$ 1270 per metric ton of vegetable oil is not far from the future price in CBOT soon after the northern hemisphere harvest.

  15. Source of Data • OECD Input-Output Matrices

  16. Countries & Years • Argentina - 1997 • Brazil - 2000 • China - 2000 • India – 1998/99 • USA - 2000 • France - 2000 • Germany - 2000 • Japan - 2000

  17. Sectors

  18. Sectors

  19. Imports X Domestic Output

  20. Value Added

  21. Total Output

  22. Value Added & Total Output

  23. Output Multipliers

  24. Output Multipliers

  25. Output Multipliers

  26. Output Multipliers

  27. Output Multipliers

  28. Output Multipliers

  29. Output Multipliers

  30. Output Multipliers

  31. Output Multipliers

  32. Output Multipliers

  33. Output Multipliers

  34. Pure Linkages

  35. Coke, Ref. Petroleum & Nuclear Fuel

  36. Energy in Final Demand

  37. Energy in Intermediate Consumption

  38. Energy in Total Output

  39. Food in Final Demand

  40. Food in Intermediate Consumption

  41. Food in Total Output

  42. Transport in Final Demand

  43. Transport in Intermediate Consumption

  44. Transport in Total Output

  45. Disposable Domestic Value Added

  46. Value Added Relations

  47. Value Added Relations

  48. International Trade Bilateral Trade Agreements, seems to be more adequate than a multilateral approach.

  49. Final Comments

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