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Demographic Profile of the Park Hill School District

0. Demographic Profile of the Park Hill School District. Board of Education Meeting February 9, 2012. 0. Introduction Maps Benchmarks Student Enrollment Enrollment History / Growth Current Enrollment Diversity of Enrolled Students Mobility Supporting Demographic Data

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Demographic Profile of the Park Hill School District

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  1. 0 Demographic Profile of the Park Hill School District Board of Education Meeting February 9, 2012

  2. 0 • Introduction • Maps • Benchmarks • Student Enrollment • Enrollment History / Growth • Current Enrollment • Diversity of Enrolled Students • Mobility • Supporting Demographic Data • School Age Children / Birthrates • Household Data • Future Enrollment • Future Growth • Facility Needs • Community Growth DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILEOrganization of the Report

  3. 0 Introduction

  4. PAGE 8 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILEMap of Area School Districts 0

  5. PAGE 11 • 11 Benchmark School Districts • Blue Springs • Center • Fort Osage • Grandview • Hickman Mills • Independence • Lee's Summit • Liberty • North Kansas City • Park Hill • Platte County • Raytown Demographic Comparisons

  6. PAGES 11-13 • Benchmark Data Demographic Comparisons

  7. 0 Student Enrollment

  8. PAGE 16 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILEEnrollment Growth 0

  9. PAGE 17 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILEAnnual Enrollment Growth 0

  10. PAGE 21 0 District Enrollment

  11. PAGE 22 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILESchool Enrollment Distribution 0 Total Enrollment: 10,299

  12. PAGE 23 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILEGrade Level Distribution 0

  13. PAGE 24 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILEStudent Geographic Distribution 0

  14. PAGE 25 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILEStudent Geographic Distribution 0

  15. PAGE 27 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILETypical Cohort Growth 0

  16. PAGE 28 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILEGrowth of Diverse Populations 0

  17. PAGE 30 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILEGrowth In Free & Reduced Lunch Population* 0

  18. PAGE 32 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILEFree & Reduced Lunch Population By School* 0

  19. PAGE 33 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILEMobility of Enrollment 0

  20. PAGE 34 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILEMobility By Free & Reduced 0

  21. PAGE 36 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILEContinuous Enrollment in Park Hill 0

  22. 0 Supporting Demographic Data

  23. PAGE 41 • Total Number of Households in Park Hill School District • 29,413 (increase of 104 from 2010) • 0.350 students per household • 1 Park Hill student for every 3 new homes • Example • Proposed Housing Development • 200 Homes would yield approximately 70 students • 70 students would be distributed across 13 grades (5.4 per grade) • Impact on an Elementary School = ~32 students • Developments are phased Households

  24. PAGE 39 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILEAnnual Growth in Housing 0

  25. 0 Future Enrollment

  26. PAGE 41-46 • Methodologies • Mathematical Models • Projection of Kindergarten Cohorts – Projecting future Kindergarten classes based upon Platte County birth data and statistical trends • 3-year Cohort – Growth based upon 3 years of past cohort growth data • 7-year Cohort – Growth based upon 3 years of past cohort growth data • Non-mathematical Model • Household Projections – Based upon anticipated increase in new households Projecting Future Enrollment

  27. PAGES 43-44 • Current Kindergarten Class Size • 753 (largest Kindergarten Class Ever) • Most difficult class/cohort to project • Projected using historical birthrate information from Platte County • Future Kindergarten class sizes Kindergarten Classes

  28. PAGE 46 • New Home Construction • Future forecasts of new home construction within this report are conservative based upon these economic forecasts. • 10 Year Average ~600 new households per year • Future Projections Households

  29. PAGE 52 • Enrollment Projections • Table below uses the median of the three projection methods (3-Year, 7-Year, & Household) Projecting Future Enrollment

  30. Projecting Future Enrollment • Short-Term Budgeting • Expenditures (Service Demands) • Academic Programming • Staffing Needs • Transportation • Food Services • Revenue (Based on Formulas) • Prop C • State Foundation Formula • IDEA Monies • Federal Grants (Title I, II, III, and IV) • Transportation • Food Services • Long-Term Facility Planning • Additional Square Footage • Renovations of Current Facilities • Build New Facilities Short & Long-Term Planning

  31. PAGE 49-50 • Capacity Methodologies • Effective & Functional Capacities • Functional Capacity – Calculations based upon the number of classrooms (regardless of size) in a facility multiplied by the Board adopted class size limits • Effective Capacity – Calculation based upon a percentage of the Functional Capacity of a facility (i.e. 86%) • Advantages /Disadvantages • Utilized for the past 10-15 years • Specific to Park Hill School District • Assumes all classrooms are equivalent in space • Functional Capacity is not attainable or realistic within a building • Effective Capacity percentages are antiquated (i.e. do not consider space needs of current academic programming) Long-Term Facility Planning

  32. PAGE 52 STUDENT ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONSElementary Building Need 0

  33. PAGE 53 STUDENT ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONSMiddle School Building Need 0

  34. PAGE 54 STUDENT ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONSHigh School Building Need 0

  35. PAGE 59 • Capacity Methodologies • Gross Square Footage Per Student • National standards have been created by Council of Educational Facility Planners International (CEFPI) and other school planning groups • School capacities are measured against a standard gross square footage per student • Advantages /Disadvantages • National standards • Square footage of a school/classroom is a common and quantifiable measure • Adjustments can be made for programming changes (i.e. ELL, Special Needs Classrooms) Long-Term Facility Planning

  36. PAGE 56 Long-Term Facility Planning

  37. PAGE 58 STUDENT ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONSElementary Square Footage Need 0

  38. PAGE 59 STUDENT ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONSMiddle School Building Need 0

  39. PAGE 60 STUDENT ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONSHigh School Building Need 0

  40. Solutions to Building Capacity Needs • Change the Standards • Change Academic Programs and/or Delivery • Redistricting • Does not address district-wide needs • Add Square Footage • Mobile Units / Learning Cottages • Renovations to Existing Facilities • Construction of New Facilities Community Growth

  41. Future Growth Trends • Current Populations • Existing Students • Children Under 5 • Population Forecasting • Actual Populations • School-Age Populations Future Growth Trends

  42. PAGE 65 STUDENT ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONSStudents New Park Hill School District (2011-2012) 0

  43. PAGE 67 ROJECTIONSEstimated Change in Children Under 5 (2010-2020) 0

  44. 0 Demographic Profile of the Park Hill School District Board of Education Meeting February 9, 2012

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