150 likes | 342 Views
NOAA Hydrometeorology Testbed (HMT). Darin J. Figurskey Meteorologist-in-Charge NOAA’s National Weather Service Raleigh, NC. What is HMT? Ac celerating infusion of new technologies, models, and scientific results from the research into daily forecasting operations of the NWS.
E N D
NOAA Hydrometeorology Testbed(HMT) Darin J. Figurskey Meteorologist-in-Charge NOAA’s National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
What is HMT?Accelerating infusion of new technologies, models, and scientific results from the research into daily forecasting operations of the NWS HMT WEST - Cool Season Major Activity Areas • Quantitative Precipitation Estimation (QPE) • Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPF) • Snow level and snow pack • Hydrologic Applications & Surface Processes • Debris Flow • Decision Support Tools • Verification HMT Southeast – All Season, Including Hurricane Landfall HMT “Next” (TBD) • Dabberdt et. al., 2005: Multifunctional Mesoscale Observing Networks, BAMS, pp. 961-982 • Ralph et. al., 2005: Improving Short-Term (0–48 h) Cool-Season Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting Recommendations from a USWRP Workshop, BAMS, pp. 1619-1632
Marty Ralph NOAA/ETL-PACJET HMT is about… A National Testbed Strategy with Regional Implementation
Brief Summary of HMT-West • Targeted California's flood-vulnerable American River Basin for the first full-scale deployment. • Operations were focused on the North Fork of the American River Basin between Sacramento and Reno. • Water from the American River Basin is a critical resource for California's economy and natural habitats. • The threat of flooding poses an extremely serious concern for the heavily populated downstream area. • The frequent impact of prolonged, heavy winter precipitation from concentrated “atmospheric rivers" of moisture, originating in the tropical Pacific, underscores the flood vulnerability.
Specific HMT-West Objectives • Attaining accurate QPE over the basin with high spatial resolution. • Demonstrate new high-resolution forecast models tailored to the HMT area. • Accurately mapping the height of the melting layer and monitoring its evolution. • Improving the understanding of orographically-influenced winter storm airflow and precipitation development processes. • Demonstrate the concept of a regional HMT as a conduit to infuse new science and technology into operations.
HMT Observing Systems Precipitation Disdrometers Precipitation Gauges Soil Moisture, Snow WE, Depth Surface Energy, Streamlevel Radars, Profilers and Sounding Systems S-PROF X-POL Snow pillow GPS
Big Bend Field Site (elev. = 5705 ft) Lots of snow to contend with… ~7’ ~8’
Why HMT-Southeast (HMT-SE)? • The Southeast U.S. is faced with serious flooding when tropical storms make landfall, and can suffer from complex winter season precipitation involving rain, snow, and freezing rain. • Selection of the area centered on the Tar-Neuse River Basins is made based on several considerations: • the region extends from coastal estuaries to the summit of the Appalachians Mountains, and thus encompasses the geographic conditions required • the region experiences the types of storms that have been the focus of planning for HMT’s next regional Implementation • leverages efforts through NOAA’s Sea Grant program (CIFLOW), the NOAA in the Carolinas program, the NOAA Southeast and Caribbean Regional Team (SECART) and others
HMT – SE Operational WorkshopFebruary 3 – 5, Chapel Hill • Major Activity Areas • Quantitative Precipitation Estimation (QPE) • Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPF) • Hydrologic Applications • Decision Support Tools • Verification • Societal Impacts As determined through consolidation of highest priorities of workshop attendees made up of NOAA, state, academic partners
Potential Activities • QPE • Optimal distribution of real-time rain gauges • Improved, automated quality control techniques • QPF • Improved understanding of how regional features affect deep convection and precipitation patterns • Assess and verify near-term model performance • Hydrologic Applications • Improve coupled modelling (sky, stream, sea) • Additional water-level observations (river and coasts) • Decision Support & Societal Impacts • Gridded hydrologic forecast development • Briefing tools to assist with impacts • Verification is a part of all of this
Next Steps • HMT – SE Research Workshop • Focus on matching operational requirements with research resources (required equipment, expertise, impact, $$) • Development of the HMT – SE Science Plan • Specific set of operational requirements and research goals to improve forecast and warning operations • Begin HMT – SE • FY10 or FY11 • Duration: estimated 2 – 3 years • Evaluate and consider HMT – Next