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CMAQ Sensitivity Testing for the Eastern United States. Jeffrey W. Stehr Department of Meteorology University of Maryland October 22, 2002 Durham, NC, Models-3 Users’ Workshop. Meteorology. THE SIMULATION: Meteorology: MM5 using Gayno-Seaman planetary boundary layer scheme
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CMAQ Sensitivity Testing for the Eastern United States Jeffrey W. Stehr Department of Meteorology University of Maryland October 22, 2002 Durham, NC, Models-3 Users’ Workshop
Meteorology THE SIMULATION: Meteorology: • MM5 using Gayno-Seaman planetary boundary layer scheme • 24 vertical levels, 12 km (202 x 199) nest inside a 36 km domain • Analysis nudging to NCEP (Eta) reanalysis • There are problems with MM5!!!
Meteorology: Modifying MM5 • University of Maryland (Zhang & Zheng) has modified the Blackadar boundary layer scheme to achieve better surface winds and temperatures • Other PBL schemes do a very poor job of it • These are thunderstorm, hurricane, and frontal models—who cares about a still, stagnant day?
Meteorology: Winds • Observations • Modified Blackadar • Winds from other PBL schemes have essentially nothing to do with reality • Comparisons by NYDEC
Meteorology: Temperature(modified Blackadar) Temperature (K) Wind Speed (m/s) Data comparisons By NYDEC
Photochemistry Emissions: • MEPPS with 1995 National Emissions Trends Inventory • NOT extrapolated to 1997 CMAQ: • 23 vertical levels, 110 x 80 (East-West x North-South) 12 km horizontal resolution • 72 hours of spinup before July 13 • CB4 chemical mechanism, MEBI solver
Measurements THE AIRCRAFT: Instrumented Cessna-172* Chemistry: Ozone, Carbon Monoxide Meteorology: Relative humidity, Temperature, Pressure altitude *Currently, we fly a twin-engine Aztec with CO, O3, SO2, PSAP, T, RH, Palt, nephelometer, Met One counter, streaker—B. Doddridge, L. Marufu, B. Taubman
Measurement sites W05 WAY W42 HOL GAI W29
Measurements • Examine: July 13-14, 1997 • Four measurement flights • Ozone data only (CO malfunctioned) • First show everything, then go back • Used the old MM5 data!
KEY: CMAQ Aircraft Gaithersburg, MD
Measurements • July 13, Gettysburg PA—structure in both AM and PM flights, but not quite enough ozone. • July 13, Fallston MD—may be just outside the Baltimore plume. • July 14, Bay Bridge Airport—obviously, 12 km resolution just isn’t enough to get the Bay Breeze effects right. Our Met modelers suggest that maybe 2 km resolution will do it, probably 1 km resolution. AM PM
Future • Compare CMAQ simulation results for this run and for a run with the new-and-improved MM5 PBL scheme. • This should help identify the role played by the boundary layer scheme in these simulations.
Acknowledgements • Da-Lin Zhang & Weizhong Zheng, UMD MM5 modeling • Bruce Doddridge, Lackson Marufu, Brett Taubman, UMD aircraft measurements • Gopal Sistla, NYDEC, comparisons between MM5 and measurements • Fiscal Support: Maryland Department of the Environment