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European Research Centre for Anti-Corruption and State-Building

Explore the evolution of governance regimes and the influence of human agency in transitioning to good governance. Research questions focus on identifying current norms, historical trends, and strategies for institutional change. Case studies from regions worldwide provide insights into factors affecting corruption control and public resource allocation. The model analyzes shared characteristics of corruption-free countries and recommends policies for promoting free competition. The equilibrium/agency model presents a framework for understanding corruption dynamics and promoting good governance practices.

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European Research Centre for Anti-Corruption and State-Building

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  1. European Research Centre for Anti-Corruption and State-Building at the Hertie School of Governance Work Package 3 ANTICORRP TRANSITIONS TO GOOD GOVERNANCE THE POLITICAL DEVELOPMENT PERSPECTIVE www.againstcorruption.eu

  2. General research question AC Governance= set of formal and informal institutions determining who gets what in a society Governance regime = salient and stable rule of the game Control of corruption= capacity of a society to constrain corrupt behaviour in order to enforce the norm of individual integrity in public service and to uphold a state which is free from the capture of particular interests and thus able to promote public interest and social welfare.

  3. Governance regimes – streamlining theory

  4. Mixed progress and mostly stagnation No significant change: 151 countries

  5. General research question WP3 • What determines the positive evolution from one governance regime to another and can this be influenced by human agency in the medium term?

  6. Research questions

  7. 3 steps strategy to trace institutional change • Diagnosis – establish the current norm, CN at PrT (T2) by indicators measurement • Historical research – establish when the past norm was still dominant, PN at PaT (T1) by identifying the same indicators • Narrative in-between, agency and strategies OLD INSTitUTION T1 T2 Process tracing- who and how _____________ NEW Institution

  8. Indicators: what is the rule of the game in public resource allocation? Allocations to sub-national govt

  9. Indicators through surveys of practice- public service allocation

  10. Public works contracting after EU accession Gross profit rate Romanian ‘networked’ versus foreign companies

  11. Govt transfers allocation. Evolution of the government reserve fund for natural disasters 2002-2010

  12. Few performers…

  13. Regional achievers. Case selection • Western Europe & North America: 91.1 • Denmark • Sweden • Finland • Central Europe • & Balkans: 59.2 • Slovenia • Estonia • Poland • Former USSR: 18.9 • Georgia • Armenia • Moldova • The Caribbean: 71.7 • St. Kitts & Nevis • St. Lucia • MENA: 45.6 • UAE • Qatar • Israel • Asia & the Pacific: 42.7 • Singapore • Hong Kong • Japan • S Korea • Taiwan • LatinAmerica: 44.9 • Chile • Uruguay • Costa Rica • Sub-SaharanAfrica: 32.8 • Botswana • Cape Verde • Rwanda

  14. Who is doing better / worse than modernity indicators would predict?

  15. The modelCausation/analytical problem • We study what are the shared characteristics of countries which are now free of corruption versus those which are not (‘causes’ of corruption) and presume ‘costs’ without any good counterfactuals. • Consequence: we end up recommending countries to be islands, Protestants, former British colonies and old democracies and economic predators who rule them to adopt policies allowing free competition

  16. Our modelGovernance regimes - Equilibria • Klitgaard 1978 • Corruption = Monopoly + Discretion – Accountability • Mungiu-Pippidi2010 • Corruption/control of corruption • = • Resources (Power + Material resources) • – • Constraints (Legal + Normative)

  17. EQUILIBRIUM/AGENCY MODEL

  18. Resources > Constraints = Particularism/Neo-P Constraints>Resources= Open access/Good governance/control of corruption

  19. DELIVERABLES –WHO DOES WHAT

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