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External Scan

External Scan. College of the Redwoods 2011. Humboldt County will experience less growth than California. The Hispanic population will grow at the highest rate in Humboldt County, although slower than California as a whole.

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External Scan

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  1. External Scan College of the Redwoods 2011

  2. Humboldt County will experience less growth than California. The Hispanic population will grow at the highest rate in Humboldt County, although slower than California as a whole. Source: State of California, Department of Finance, Population Projections for California and Its Counties 2000-2050,  Sacramento, California, July 2007.

  3. County Growth • Humboldt county is projected to grow less than Del Norte and Mendocino counties. • Growth of ethnic minority groups will vary across counties, but all counties are expected to have much larger Hispanic, Multi-race, and American Indian populations. Source: State of California, Department of Finance, Population Projections for California and Its Counties 2000-2050,  Sacramento, California, July 2007.

  4. Projected Population Change by AgeHumboldt County (2010 – 2030) • The 65 and older age group is projected to increase sharply throughout the next twenty years. • The 35-44 age group is also projected to grow over the next 10 years, although at a much slower rate. • All age groups at high school and younger show a slight decline. Source: State of California, Department of Finance, Population Projections for California and Its Counties 2000-2050,  Sacramento, California, July 2007.

  5. High School Graduate Projections • Humboldt County reached an all time high in terms of high school graduates in 2002-2003. • Graduates have declined, and are expected to continue to decline through 2014-15, after which they will bounce around but remain fairly constant through 2020. Source: State of California, Department of Finance, California Public K-12 Graded Enrollment and High School Graduate Projections by County, 2011 Series. Sacramento, California, October 2011

  6. High School Graduate Projections Source: State of California, Department of Finance, California Public K-12 Graded Enrollment and High School Graduate Projections by County, 2011 Series. Sacramento, California, October 2011

  7. College-Going RatesHumboldt County • About twice as many high school graduates from Humboldt County go to a CC vs. a UC or CSU. High-school going rates for CCCs show a somewhat opposite trend as the CSUs.

  8. High School Yields • About 30% of high school graduates in the district enroll at CR.

  9. High School Yields by School # entering CR in 2010 124 73 65 47 Eureka Senior High shows no increase in the proportion attending CR over the past five years. Arcata High, however, shows somewhat increased CR attendance.

  10. Humboldt County Economic Forecast • Total wage and salary job growth is forecast to turn positive in 2011, at 0.7 percent. Average salaries adjusted for inflation are expected to remain below the California state. Source: California County-Level Economic Forecast, 2011-2040. Prepared for the Office of Transportation Economics Division of Transportation Planning. August 2011

  11. Occupational Employment Projections (2008 – 2018)North Coast Region: Del Norte, Humboldt, Land and Mendocino Counties • The majority of jobs in the area require less than a year of on the job training. Source: Projections of Employment by Industry and Occupation, State of California Employment Development Department. http://www.labormarketinfo.edd.ca.gov/Content.asp?pageid=145

  12. Occupational Employment Projections (2008 – 2018)North Coast Region: Del Norte, Humboldt, Land and Mendocino Counties • The professional and business services industry is projected to be the fastest growing. Other areas are education, health care and social assistance, as well as retail trade.

  13. Occupational Employment Projections • Professional and business services growth is expected to fuel the growth of accountants, auditors, and environmental scientists and specialists. These high paying occupations require a minimum of a bachelor’s degree.

  14. Occupational Employment Projections • All jobs requiring an AA/AS degree show increasing growth, or no change. • Registered nurse jobs are expected to grow by over 15% with the largest number of annual job openings of all jobs requiring an AA/AS degree.

  15. Jobs requiring Vocational Ed training with projected employment increase

  16. Occupational Employment Projections • Jobs for automotive service technicians and mechanics are expected to grow at 12.5%, with 18 annual job openings. • Medical secretaries and LPN/LVNs are also expected to grow, with larger numbers of annual job openings.

  17. Jobs requiring Vocational Ed training with a stable or declining projected employment

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