Geert BORSTLAP AMESD – TA BOTSWANA DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE

1. Geert BORSTLAP AMESD – TA BOTSWANA DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OVERVIEW OF SADC THEMATIC ACTION

2. Agenda • Preparation • SADC THEMA Services Overview • Agricultural Service • Drought Service • Fire Service • LRF Support Service

3. 1) Preparation: Definition SADC-THEMA : “Agricultural and Environmental Resource Management” REC • SADC Secretariat Participating countries • Angola, Botswana, Lesotho, Malawi, Namibia, South-Africa, Swaziland, Zambia, Zimbabwe • Mozambique and Tanzania Regional Implementation Center • BDMS (Botswana Department of Meteorological Services) Partners • ARC, BCA, CSIR-MERAKA, SAC, SAWS, UB, UZ

4. 2) SADC THEMA Services: Overview

5. 3) Agricultural Service

6. 3) Agriculture Service : Users Key-Users • National Level : Ministries of Agriculture (MoA) • Regional Level : SADC FANR Secondary Users • Regional and National Food Security Services • Farmer Associations • National Statistic Offices • Agrometeorological Departments • Agricultural Research Counsils • Disaster management Offices

7. 3) Agriculture Service : AMESD Work Plan Principle: • Improve and expand the current REWS systems from SADC-RRSU Allow agricultural remote sensing analysts: • To perform Crop Condition Monitoring • But also a view to forecasting yield and production scenarios The Agricultural service • Assist decision makers in answering the following questions: • What crops are where? • What is the crop condition? • What is the crop stage? • What is the likely yield?

8. 3) Agricultural Service: Products Products: • Agriculture Mask, Crop Statistics Map, Crop Specific Maps • Current Rainfall Map • Cumulative Rainfall Map • Rainfall Estimates Compared with average [difference] • Current Temperature estimate Map • Vegetation Index Map (+difference) • C-NDVI graphs for zones of interest • Dry matter Productivity (+cumulative) • Current Water Requirements Satisfaction Index (WRSI) Map • Onset of Rains Maps + anomaly • Soil Moisture Index Estimates

9. 3) Agriculture Service : AMESD Work Plan Activities: • Get Products >> Data Exploration • Analysis >> Drill down in anomalies • Agricultural Report • Condition of the crops • Expactations of the future Final Result: • Monthly report with traffic light system • Decadal updates

10. 3) Examples from in-situ data Example of Rainfall events in Zimbabwe during 2008-2009

11. 3) Example of RS data Rainfall Anomaly Map for the 2008-2009 Season FullSADC Map Main maize areas Example of Rainfall Anomaly Map

12. 3) Examples of graph Example of Cumulative Rainfall Graph

13. 3) Examples of anomaly map Example of Vegetation index Compared with long-term average

14. 4) Drought Service

15. 4) Drought Service : Users Key-Users • National Level : • Ministries of Agriculture (MoA) • Ministries of Environment (MoE) • Department of Water Affairs, Dept. Forestry and Rangeland, Department of Tourism and Wildlife, etc) • Regional Level : SADC FANR Secondary Users • District Councils • Weather Services • Civil Protection Agencies • Farming Communities • Disaster management Offices

16. Product Comments Rain_10 10 day rainfall in mm NDVI_MSG10 10 daily MSG NDVI composite PASG Percentage of Average Seasonal Greenness Drought Map Current drought situation Drought Risk Map Drought outlook for coming 3 months 4) Drought Service : Products

17. 4) Example Product Example of PASG for January – August 2010.

18. 4) Example Product Example of NDVI Difference map

19. 4) Example Report Based upon Drought Monitoring System of ARC & BDMS.

20. 5) Fire Service

21. 5) Fire Service: Users Key-Users • National Level : Ministries of Environment • Regional Level : SADC FANR Secondary Users • District Counsils • Ministries of Transport • Police and Fire Brigades • Weather Services (National Televsion) • Civil Protection Agencies • Farming Communities • Disaster Management Offices

22. 5) Fire Service: Existing Capacity AFIS: Advanced Fire Information System (AFIS) of CSIR (° 2004) • Fire Danger prediction • Early detection of active fires • Monitoring of existing fires • Burned area assessment Cell phone alert service Online mapping tool

23. Product Comments Active-Fires MODIS + MSG Active Fires FDI Fire Danger Indexes (2x) MODIS-BAE MODIS Burnt Area Estimates MODIS-721 MODIS 721 Band Combination 5) Fire Service : Products

24. 5- Examples FDI Blue – Insignificant Green – Low Yellow – Moderate Orange – High Red – High-Extreme Fire Danger Rating Categories: Fire Danger Rating Categories

25. 5) Example of use of Fire information • Active fire detection • Active fire monitoring • Fire mapping

26. 6) LRF Support Service

27. 6) LRF: AMESD Work Plan Intro • LRF has become mature • Not used in agricultural and environmental sector yet Principle: • Use existing LRF and integrate into 3 core-services Dissemination Side: • Use EUMETCast for distribution Crop LRF Drought Fire

28. 6) LRF: Products • 1, 3 and 6 monthly forecast • Updated every month • Products • Rainfall Forecast • Maximum Temparature Forecast • Minimum Temparature Forecast Example from SAWS

29. 7) Remarks: Data Access Principle: • All start with access to data: for Universities, MoA, MoE Work: • Rx: Build up Receiving Stations • “AMESD” Receiving Stations (Agriculture) • “AMESD Fire” terminals (Fire) • PUMA Stations (Meteorological Service, drought) • Datasets on 1TB Harddisk, delivered by SAC

30. 7) Remarks: Data on EUMETCast Data on EUMETCast: • Satellite Data (L1 from MSG / METOP and NOAA) • Atmosphere (CC, Ozone depletion, atmospheric pollution, etc) • Marine (Sea level, SST, Sea Ice Changes, etc) • Land (LAI, fCover, SWB, LST, etc for agriculture, forestry, fire, floods) • Climate (Water Vapour, cloud, etc) • Software (updates) • Disaster / Training Channel Data Navigator: • www.eumetsat.int • www.DevCoCast.eu

31. The END Thank you.