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Environmental and Transportation Policy on Emission Mitigation in Shanghai, China

Environmental and Transportation Policy on Emission Mitigation in Shanghai, China. Chen Changhong, Huang Cheng, Li Li Atmospheric Environment Institute, SAES International Workshop for Interactive Analysis on Economy and Environment Tokyo, Japan 4 March, 2006. 主要介绍内容 Contents. 现状

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Environmental and Transportation Policy on Emission Mitigation in Shanghai, China

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  1. Environmental and Transportation Policy on Emission Mitigation in Shanghai, China Chen Changhong, Huang Cheng, Li Li Atmospheric Environment Institute, SAES International Workshop for Interactive Analysis on Economy and Environment Tokyo, Japan 4 March, 2006

  2. 主要介绍内容 Contents • 现状 • Current Status • 压力 • Pressure • 政策与效果 • Policies and Benefits • 结论 • Conclusions

  3. Current Status

  4. 上海市地理位置Location of Shanghai

  5. 2004年 上海市交通与环境概况Transport and Environment Outline • Area：6,340 km2 • Population：18.4 M • Population density: > 2900 p/km2 • GDP: 745 Billion RMB (appx. 94 Billion USD) • Per capita GDP: 5000 USD

  6. 近15年的经济发展Current Economics

  7. 城市居民生活水平Trends of living quality, 1980-2004

  8. 能源消费状况Energy Consumptions, 1990-2004

  9. 各部门能源消费比重Share of Sector Energy Consumption

  10. 一次能源比重Share of Primary Energy Consumption

  11. 能源流通图Energy Flow, Shanghai 2002

  12. 经济发展与车辆增长Economics vs. Vehicle population, 1952-2004

  13. 上海的机动化水平及进展(一)Motorization status in Shanghai, 1965-2003

  14. 上海的机动化水平及进展(二)Motorization status in Shanghai, 1965-2003 D:\Changhong CHEN\对外合作\壳牌基金会\上海项目\报告\基础数据\城市居民家庭人均可支配收入分组占全部户数比重.xls

  15. 历年机动车增长情况Vehicle Population Growth

  16. 环境空气质量状况SO2 Annual concentration, 1990-2004

  17. 环境空气质量状况TSP Annual concentration, 1990-2003

  18. 环境空气质量状况NOx Annual concentration, 1990-2003

  19. 二氧化硫浓度与国际城市比较Comparison of SO2 with other cities 0.055（2004年） D:\Changhong CHEN\对外合作\世界银行\世行APL2项目\项目介绍\20051205\上海市大气污染防治工作情况介绍_王珏-200512.ppt

  20. 可吸入颗粒物浓度与国际城市比较Comparison of PM10 with other cities 0.099（2004年） D:\Changhong CHEN\对外合作\世界银行\世行APL2项目\项目介绍\20051205\上海市大气污染防治工作情况介绍_王珏-200512.ppt

  21. Pressures

  22. 经济发展与交通环境响应Response of transport and environment along with economic growth

  23. 经济发展与车辆增长Vehicle population growth vs. Economic dpt.

  24. 车行里程增长Growth of future trip mileage, 2005-2020

  25. 车辆排放增长Growth of emissions, 2006-2020

  26. NOx和PM排放强度变化趋势Trends of NOx & PM Emission Intensity NOx 排放强度变化趋势 Trend of NOx Emission Intensity PM 排放强度变化趋势 Trend of PM Emission Intensity

  27. NOx污染趋势Future NOx pollution levels

  28. PM污染趋势Future PM pollution levels

  29. Policies and Benefits

  30. “十一五”和中长期交通环境政策Transport and environment policies in future • Hundred kilometers subways will be built • Carburetor vehicles are banned in downtown roads since Feb 15, 2006 (http://www.china.org.cn/english/government/153765.htm) • Euro III and Euro IV will be put into force in middle 2006, and 2009 • Vehicle inspection and maintenance (IM) will be performed since 2006

  31. 交通出行方式的转变Change of transport model split in future

  32. 排放标准的严格化Future emission standards for vehicles

  33. 车辆减排效果policy benefitsof emission reductions, 2006-2020

  34. NOx和PM排放强度增长Future NOx & PM emission intensities

  35. NOx和PM排放强度减缓效果Mitigation of future NOx & PM emission intensities

  36. 环境空气质量改善状况－NOxAir quality improvement－NOx

  37. 环境空气质量改善状况－PMAir quality improvement－PM

  38. 结论Conclusions • Shanghai is at fast growth status in economics; • The economic structure is on the way of changing, from industry to financial and service center; • Along with economic growth, vehicle population increases dramatically; • As rapid increase of vehicle population, the reduction of emission from vehicle caused by current polices in transport and environment was counteracted.

  39. 结论Conclusions • Air pollution related to vehicle emission is going to be more seriously since early 1990’s; • If without any further control, the air quality will be badly polluted, and CO2 from transport sector will keep going up; • Public transit and vehicle emission control policy will obviously reduce emission from vehicles and mitigate CO2 emission as well; • Further reduction of GHG emission from vehicle will be largely depending technology innovation, fuel economy improvement, new concept design, application of renewable energies

  40. Thank You for Attention！

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