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Foresight practice in Austria: diffusion from national to sector level. VII. Bled Forum on Europe: Foresight Conference on Global, European and Regional Governance, 3.-4. March 2006, Bled/Slovenia. Topics. How Foresight can be tailored to a country’s needs
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Foresight practice in Austria:diffusion from national to sector level VII. Bled Forum on Europe: Foresight Conference on Global, European and Regional Governance, 3.-4. March 2006, Bled/Slovenia
Topics • How Foresight can be tailored to a country’s needs • Policy impacts and diffusion effects • Conclusions
demand-oriented problem-oriented Technology & Society Foresight Foresight tailored to Austria’s needs long-term oriented technology policy application-oriented selective strengthen NIS Overall Goals of „Delphi Austria“
Technology Delphi: 1Lifelong learning 2 Environmentally sound construction and new forms of housing 3 Medical technologies and supportive technologies for the elderly 4 Cleaner production and sustainable development 5 Tailor-made new materials 6 Mobility and transport 7 Production and processing of organic food Society/Culture Delphi: 1Lifelong learning 2 New forms of housing and living 3 Health and illness in social transformation 4 Cleaner production and sustainable development 5 Ageing and life cycle 6 Structural change of work 7 Social segmentation Combination of Technology Delphi with Society/Culture Delphi
Technology Delphi objectives • identify innovation potentials where Austria could achieve long-term international lead position • the goal was not to identify emerging technologies! • improve cooperation between business and science • extend planning horizons, inform technology policy
Reports in 6 volumes(in German) • Download via Internet:http://www.bmbwk.gv.at/start.asp?OID=4227&isIlink=1&bereich=2&gwort= • English summary and further publications in English:http://www-97.oeaw.ac.at/ita/ebene4/e2-2e04.htm
Simulation and modelling tools High-tech steels and light materials Recycling of combined and composite materials Low-noise railway equipment Cleaner production processes (metal, paper, ...) Timber products (construction, new materials) Ecologising the building industry Organic food and related technologies (seeds, testing, conservation) Technical aids for the elderly Organ- and functional substitutes Tailor-made training-packages and “knowbots” Delphi Austria outcomes:Most promising innovation areas
Implementation and impacts • Direct policy measures • targeted impulse programmes (“Sustainable Production”,“House of the Future”, “MOVE”, ....) • “K plus programme” (centres of excellence) • stimulation of cluster building (“Organic Food”) • Indirect effects • input for Austrian Research Strategy • new research centres in recommended fields • stimulation of sectoral Foresight projects • plans for IT-related further analysis and follow-up • foresight transfer through broad distribution of results
Impulse Program move (1999-2003): • aims at:innovative and future-oriented transport solutions • competition „Innovative Mobility Services“ • criteria:problem solution,innovation potential,market potential,cooperation and know-how
at:sd Austrian Program on Technologies for Sustainable Development Contents • Renewable energy sources • Efficient use of energy • Renewable resources • Processes, products and services • Regional development of economy • Institutional and structural innovations
Diffusion of Foresight in Austria • Direct stimulation effect of Delphi Austria on sector-level activities - examples: • “Innovation potential in biomedical technologies“ (2000) • “Care and hospital costs in old age“ (1999) • “Visions of a wireless information society“ (1999) • “Future landscape in Central Europe“ (2002) • Further exercises in various sectors (around 30 in total), increasingly in cooperation at European level, e.g.: • “Scenarios and strategies for vocational education and training in Europe“ (2000) • “FOR-RIS – Experiences and ideas for developing regional foresight in a RIS/RITTS project context“ (2004) • “FISTERA – Foresight on Information Society Technologies in the European Research Area “ (2002-05)
Sector-level Foresight practice • Main sectors • Medical Care, Transport, IT, Tourism, Manufacturing, Sustainable Production, Urban Development, Regional Development, Agriculture, Energy, Learning/Education, Safety and Security • Main actors: • Various public and private organisations • Scientific support – strongly involved: ARC systems research: • e.g. with “Foresight Briefs“ of The European Foresight Monitoring Network, see (www.EFMN.INFO) • New forms and experimenting with new methods
Conclusion • Foresight = thinking, debating and shaping the future • a Foresight approach adapted to the specific needs of a country can have several positive effects: • networking effects – “wiring up the innovation system” • awareness of future challenges, opportunities and strategies • relevance for policy and impacts on decisions • stimulating foresight activities at sector level • increased cooperation at European level • Key challenges: • motivating for Foresight, innovative knowledge, achieving societally desirable impacts