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Disruptive Influences in Higher Education. eeee. Headlines and Commentary. What Colleges Should Learn From Newspapers' Decline By KEVIN CAREY
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Headlines and Commentary What Colleges Should Learn From Newspapers' Decline By KEVIN CAREY “Newspapers are dying. Are universities next? The parallels between them are closer than they appear. Both industries are in the business of creating and communicating information. Paradoxically, both are threatened by the way technology has made that easier than ever before.” March 13, 2011 Steve Forbes, EDITOR-IN-CHIEF Dinosaur U. “During the past 30 years overall inflation in the U.S. was 106%; health care costs went up 251%. College tuitions and fees? They soared 439%. The basic business model of higher education in the U.S. is broken,…” Online Public University Plans to Turn Indiana Dropouts Into Graduates “At the time, Gov. Mitchell E. Daniels Jr. emphasized the need for more adults to attend college at a price that both they and the state could afford. But instead of building that opportunity within existing public colleges, the governor, a Republican, took the unusual step of chartering WGU Indiana as a state institution. Less than a year later, the university has nearly 1,200 students.” April 3, 2009 ffff
Headlines (cont) Commentary Universities On The Brink Louis E. Lataif, 02.01.11, 01:30 PM EST The ever-increasing cost of education is not sustainable. “Just 10 years ago the cost of a four-year public college education amounted to 18% of the annual income of middle-income families. Ten years later, it amounted to 25% of that family's average annual income.”“There is so much classroom time that can be off-loaded to technology tools for Glenn Reynolds: Higher education's bubble is about to burst “The buyers think what they're buying will appreciate in value, making them rich in the future. The product grows more and more elaborate, and more and more expensive, but the expense is offset by cheap credit provided by sellers eager to encourage buyers to buy.” Examinercontributor Glenn Harlan Reynolds hosts "InstaVision" on PJTV.com and blogs at Instapundit.com. He is a professor of law at the University of Tennessee. self-paced learning in asynchronous time. And then the time spent in the classroom on the same subjects can be much richer with robust discussion and debate about the strengths and limitations of those tools and techniques.” gggg
Growth in Online Learning 25 20 15 10 5 0 Campus Only On Campus & Online Online Only * Ambient Insight, 2010 2010 2015 Source: Nagel, D. (2011) Online Learning Set for Explosive Growth as Traditional Classrooms Decline. Campus Technology. Retrieved from: http://campustechnology.com/Articles/2011/01/26/Online-Learning-Set-for-Explosive-Growth-as-Traditional-Classrooms-Decline.aspx?Page=1 hhhh
Challenges • Access and completion issues – USA falling behind in percentage of 25-34 year-olds with post-secondary education • Younger students looking for new models and new learning tools • Disruptive technologies now available to change higher education • Cost of higher education increased dramatically (275% from 1990-2009 *AIER) iiii
Disrupting CollegeChristensen et al • Disruptive innovation occurs • Sector served limited number, products complicated, expensive, inaccessible • Transformed into one where products simple, convenient, inexpensive, more accessible • Technology enabler becomes available • Students shifting interest in online learning • 2003 – 10% students took online course • 2008 – 25% students took online course • 2014 – 50% students will take online course jjjj
Disrupting College (cont) • Multiple value propositions • Knowledge creation • Learning • Preparation for life and career • Higher education extraordinarily complex business model today • Solution shops • Value-adding process • Facilitated user networks kkkk
Disrupting CollegeChristensen et al • Recommendations • Eliminate barriers that block innovation • Do not focus on inputs or degrees only • Focus on enhanced educational opportunities • Fund higher education on increasing quality and decreasing costs • Recognize continued importance of research universities mmmm