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The Challenge of Mobility in Europe

EPATS Conference ILA, Berlin , May 28 , 200 8. "Personal Air Transportation in Europe and opportunities for a revival of the small aircraft manufacturers". The Challenge of Mobility in Europe. Maciej Mączka, Institute of Aviation, Poland. European globalised economy.

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The Challenge of Mobility in Europe

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  1. EPATS Conference ILA, Berlin, May28, 2008 "Personal Air Transportation in Europe and opportunities for a revival of the small aircraft manufacturers" The Challenge of Mobility in Europe Maciej Mączka, Institute of Aviation, Poland

  2. European globalised economy Economy indicator: Gross Domestic Product (PPP) Year: 2008 European Union (27 countries) Estimated at 13 -14 trillion US dollars ESPON 2007 IMF 2007

  3. Good: Thousands of advanced services firms Bad: EU share of World GDP increases thanks to integration, not the economy growth

  4. Economy gets better under certain circumstances among which a good TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM is one of the most important

  5. Transport networks CAR 215 389 000 cars in EU25 +5 million cars/year 4 820 000 km of roads 58 100 km of motorways +1 million km/10years ESPON, 2005 EUROSTAT for 2004

  6. Transport networks TRAIN HSTc HSTc HST HSTc HST ESPON 2005 and UIC for HST location in 2008 50 000 railcars in EU25 - 3000 rail cars/year 200 000 km of railway lines 5566 km* of High Speed Train (HST) 3474 km* under construction Construction of HST 1km = 27 000 000 € EUROSTAT for 2003 * UIC in 2008

  7. Transport networks EPATS 2008 AIR 5000 aircraft of commercial fleet 10 000 000 flights (IFR) 2570 airports and landing fields 85% of traffic CONCENTRATED at 43 large airports (HUBs) EUROSTAT 2007 EUROCONTROL 2007

  8. Volume of passenger-kilometers • Road transport (4,1 trillions pkm*; share: 86%; dynamics: +17,7%**) • Train transport (0,3 trillions pkm*; share: 6%; dynamics: +8,6%**) • Air transport (0,4 trillions pkm*; share: 8%; dynamics: +49%**) * EUROSTAT for 2000 ** Period: 1995-2004

  9. Accessibility Multimodal potential accessibility measures transport infrastructure quality of modes (car,rail,air) POOR < > GOOD ESPON 2004

  10. on interregionalnational and European destinations • with underdeveloped transportnetwork, • where implementation of others modesof fasttransportis irrational due totoo low flow of passengers exists aTRANSPORTATION GAP

  11. How to measure the gap? Knowing Origin-Destination passenger flows enables calculations. However, it is very difficult or even hardly achievable to gather such empirical data. Therefore a model should be built. Or - an existing model outcomes could be adopted… ?

  12. Adopting origin-destination passenger flows from ESPON (KTEN model) There are shorter distances and longer distances (69%) Road pkm: 25 * 10^12 pkm (18%) Rail pkm: 6,7 * 10^12 pkm (13%) Air pkm: 4,8 * 10^12 pkm Total pkm: 36 * 10^12 pkm Numbers are ESPON Project 2.1.1 MCRIT’s model output

  13. There are shorter distances and longer distances How wide is the gap? (69%) Road pkm: 25 * 10^12 pkm (18%) Rail pkm: 6,7 * 10^12 pkm (13%) Air pkm: 4,8 * 10^12 pkm Total pkm: 36 * 10^12 pkm  Numbers are ESPON Project 2.1.1 MCRIT’s model output EPATS estimations of the gap : c.a. 150 * 10^9 pkm

  14. What fits the gap? European Personal Air TransportationSystem (EPATS) is a concept of Interactive TransportationSystem, which adapts aircraft, flight trajectory and transportation services to personalized passenger needs. • It is to give travelers a free choice of transportmode, according to their need, and limitedby their time value „Improving the energy efficiency of all modes of transport” according „European Energy Strategy for Transport” • It enables origin-destination travel between all European regions at speeds considerably higher than car speed, and yet, at equivalentcosts

  15. Conclusions • Europe needs a new, supplementary mode of transport • A mode that is harmonized with general trends (door-to-door, multimodality, energy efficiency) • A mode that will give us a new tool to manage the challenge of mobility

  16. Make your individual escape from massive car traffic

  17. SOURCES http://www.espon.eu – European Spatial Planning and Observatory Network; ESPON Project 3.4.1, Europe in the World: Territorial evidence and visions, results by autumn 2007; ESPON Project 2.1.1,Territorial Impact of EU: Transport and TEN Policies, 2005 http://epp.eurostat.ec.eu – EUROSTAT, Panorama of Transport, 2007 http://www.uic.asso.fr - The International Union of Railways (UIC): UIC Project - Lasting Infrastructure Cost Benchmarking (LICB)- LICB Summary_Report UIC C 2006/12/15 http://www.eurocontrol.int – CFMU Network operation report 2007, March 2008, ver.1 http://epats.eu – EPATS D2.1 EPATS Potential transfer of passenger demand to Personal Aviation; EPATS D1.1 T1.2 EPATS Airports and facilities database

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