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INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS. MIPIM 2011 Cannes. GLOBAL TRENDS. “It is not a matter of predicting the future, but of being prepared for it” Pericles (500-429 BC) Greek politician and commander. Mar 2011. Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS.
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INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS MIPIM 2011 Cannes GLOBALTRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting the future, but of being prepared for it” Pericles (500-429 BC) Greek politician and commander Mar 2011 Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Global Trends • The World • World of Contrasts • Urban World • Mobile world • Refuge Blocks • Global players • Global issues /Crisis • Global Imbalances • Global Trends • Mobility • Digital Era • Identity –Culture • Lessons ? • Innovate. Integrate.Inspire Key Points
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS A World of Contrasts Rich/poor Knowledge Digital fracture • Brain drain/Mobility • Competing Cities • 6,5 billions population • 5,2 billions mobiles • 4,5 billions radios • 3,5 billions tv • 1,6 billion computers • 0,5 b Facebook Digital fracture Sao Paulo, Brazil Jodhpur, India • North – Old and Rich • South – Young and Poor • South 90% < 25 years old
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS An Urban World An Urban World • GUP b € • Tokyo 1 191 • New York 1 133 • Los Angeles 639 • Paris 460 • Chicago 460 • Londres 452 • Osaka-Kobe 341 • Mexico 315 • Philadelphia 312 • Washington 299 • Population m • Tokyo 35.2 • Jakarta 22,0 • Bombay 21,2 • Delhi 21,0 • Manila 20,8 • New York 20,6 • Sao Paulo 20,2 • Seoul 19,9 • Mexico 18,7 • Shanghai 18.4 • Cairo 17,3 Sao Paulo, Brazil • The World • 2007 : > 50% urban population • Monster or sustainable cities ? • + 3 b people in South Cities by 2050 • 500 000 slum dwellers /month
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS A World of mobility A Mobile World People – Ideas - Goods Nomades , Mali • 6 % The world Population – 2008 • 2020 : 15% of EU population from Africa • Delocalisation v/s immigration • Climate refugees • Mass tourism • Retired living 2 summers • Expats for Creative cities Hanoi, Vietnam
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS A World of refuge blocks Diversity Regionalisation • By Region • By Culture • By Trade • By Geopolitics
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS A World of Global Players Networks Power Multinationals World Finance Civil Society NGOs • New kind of economy • based on networks • New principles • New ways of creating values • Global Entreprises • Exxon – BP – Toyota - Nokia • Vectors of norms • Emerging nations • BRICS + CIVETS • 2008 : FDI 65 000 billions US$
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS A World of Global Issues and Crisis Climate Change Cultural Diversity Economic Crisis Food crisis Land ownership • CO2 Emissions tons/person • Qatar 48.3 • Bahrein 27.0 • Emirates 25.9 • Koweit 25.7 • Luxembourg 23.6 Climate refugees Bangladesh Abandoned city Texas, USA
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Global Trends Technological progress Global imbalances Health and Pandemias Increasing Mobility Environment Decline Identity v/s Globalisation
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Specific Trends for the Trade Asymmetrical Market Sustainability Opportunities Retired population market Mass Tourism Cultural projects Louvre Abu Dhabi
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Global Trends : MOBILITY - PIG : People – Ideas - Goods Choking cities Jakarta – Up to 10h/day India - $6b/year Mobility Air Travel Intermodal container Cyberspace Global hubs 2020: 1,6 b tourists 2010: $ 460 b remittance - 230 m people • Urban mobility • Management models • MIT + Singapore Bogota TransMilenio 400km by 2012 Curitiba – 1100 km : 2m pax HNI : with nomad tools 2015: 600 m living 2 summers
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Global Trends : DIGITAL ERA Digital Era Death of distance? Mobility accelerator New organisation of space • Increased productivity/efficiency • Online database • Health identifier • Distance learning • Exchange accelerator • Mobile meteo for farmers in Africa • Internet / Facebook revolution • Wikileaks : Big brother II
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Global Trends : IDENTITY - CULTURE Identity - Culture Bilbao • March 2011 • Rio carnival • Francophony day • Haiku – World Poetry Day Singapore –National Art Gallery • Hybrid/Fusion = Innovation
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Lessons ? Think outside the box • New Model • Connecting mobilities, affinities, identities, languages • Understanding a globalized, integrated, collaborative world • Sharing new mobility (knowledge/resources) • Designing necessity into beauty
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Shi Shei Gratias Obrigado Merci Spasiba Thank you Shoukran Gaëtan Siew Imm P President