100 likes | 314 Views
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS. COP 17 Durban. GLOBAL TRENDS. “It is not a matter of predicting the future, but of being prepared for it” Pericles (500-429 BC) Greek politician and commander. Nov 2011. Gaëtan Siew UIA P President. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS.
E N D
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS COP 17 Durban GLOBALTRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting the future, but of being prepared for it” Pericles (500-429 BC) Greek politician and commander Nov 2011 Gaëtan Siew UIA P President
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS A World of Global Imbalances Contrasted Territories Regionalisation Power and Complexity of Networks New Partnerships Global Governance
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS A World of Contrasts Rich/poor Knowledge Digital fracture • Brain drain/Mobility • Competing Cities • 7,0 billions population • 6,2 billions mobiles • 5,5 billions radios • 4,5 billions tv • 2,6 billion computers • 0,6 b Facebook Sao Paulo, Brazil Jodhpur, India • North – Old and Fragile • South – Young and Poor • South 90% < 25 years old
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS A World of Contrasts Rich/poor Knowledge Digital fracture • 7,0 billions population • 6,2 billions mobiles • 5,5 billions radios • 4,5 billions tv • 2,6 billion computers • 0,6 b Facebook Digital fracture Sao Paulo, Brazil Jodhpur, India
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS An Urban World An Urban World • GUP b € • Tokyo 1 191 • New York 1 133 • Los Angeles 639 • Paris 460 • Chicago 460 • Londres 452 • Osaka-Kobe 341 • Mexico 315 • Philadelphia 312 • Washington 299 • Population m • Tokyo 35.2 • Jakarta 22,0 • Bombay 21,2 • Delhi 21,0 • Manila 20,8 • New York 20,6 • Sao Paulo 20,2 • Seoul 19,9 • Mexico 18,7 • Shanghai 18.4 • Cairo 17,3 Sao Paulo, Brazil • The World • 2007 : > 50% urban population • Monster or sustainable cities ? • + 3 b people in South Cities by 2050 • 500 000 slum dwellers /month • Heritage at risk
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS A World of refuge blocks Regionalisation Own values betrayal • By Language • By Culture • By Trade • By Geopolitics
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS A World of Global Issues and Crisis Climate Change Cultural Diversity Economic Crisis Food crisis Land ownership • CO2 Emissions tons/p • Qatar 48.3 • Bahrein 27.0 • Emirates 25.9 • Koweit 25.7 • Luxembourg 23.6 Climate refugees Bangladesh Abandoned city Texas, USA
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Global Trends Technology: death of distance ? Health and Pandemias Increasing Mobility Environment Decline Identity v/s Globalisation
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Lessons ? Success = Happiness • New Model • Old Model adjusting ? • End of Era ? • New model of opportunities ?