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Minimizing Risks of Maritime Oil Transport by Holistic Safety and Security Strategies (MIMIC) Contribution of Aalto University. Kick-off meeting, September 5 th and 6 th 2011 Helsinki. Arsham Mazaheri. Aalto Contribution. Direct responsibilities in WP2.2, WP2.4, and WP4.1
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Minimizing Risks of Maritime Oil Transport by Holistic Safety and Security Strategies (MIMIC)Contribution of Aalto University Kick-off meeting, September 5th and 6th 2011 Helsinki ArshamMazaheri
Aalto Contribution • Direct responsibilities in WP2.2, WP2.4, and WP4.1 • Shared responsibilities in WP2.3, WP4.3, WP4.4,WP5.2, WP5.3, and WP5.4 (WP3?)
Aalto Contribution in WP2 • Task 2 (MS6, Jan-Apr 2013): Ship Particulars • Technical and operational specification of ships navigating in the studied area will be gathered. (!year!) • They will be analyzed taking into account the relevancy on safety of marine traffic. • A database will be prepared based on the analyzed data. (!format!) • Prediction (extrapolation) of the future of the fleet in the studied area. (!2020 or 2030!)
Aalto Contribution in WP2 (Cont.) • Task 4 (MS7, May-Aug 2013): Enhanced AIS interface development • AIS data of ship traffic in the studied area will be gathered , filtered and integrated into a route-based database. (!year!) • This database will be linked to the database provided in WP 2.2
WORK PACKAG 4 Assessment of Environmental and Economic Risks by the Integrative Model Task 1: Future accident scenarios and their probabilities and consequences (Aalto & TUT) Task 2: Assessment of overall impacts on the ecosystem (UH, SMHI, UTARTU) Task 3: Development of operational interactive decision support application SmartResponse Web (UTARTU, SMHI, UH, Aalto, TUT) Task 4: Assessment of the overall safety management in society (UH, Aalto, CMS)
WP4 in between other WPs General View Specific View WP2&3 WP2.2 WP2.4 WP4.1 WP4 WP3.3 WP4.3 WP4.2 WP4.4 WP5 WP5.2 WP5.1
Aalto Contribution in WP4 • Task 1 (MS 4, May-Aug 2012): Grounding Model • Most important affecting factors will be investigated using the available results and literature. • The desired outputs for the consequence model will be defined. • A BN will be initialized using the available factors and desired outputs. • The probabilities for some of the events will be assigned . • The initial BN will be ready for further tests and development.
Aalto Contribution in WP4 (Cont.) • Task 1 (MS 8, Sep-Dec 2013): Grounding Model • The initial BN will be developed and verified using expert workshops and questionnaires. • The developed network will be analyzed using sensitivity analyzing techniques. • The assigned probabilities will be rechecked and new probabilities will be assigned to the new added events. • The network will be finalized as a gadget for grounding simulation.
Aalto contribution in between the WPs WP2.2 Aalto WP2.4 Aalto WP4.2 UH,SMHI, UTARTU WP2.3 CMS WP2.1 CMS WP4.1 Aalto WP4.3 UTARTU,SMHI,UH,… WP4.1 TUT
Thank You Arsham.mazaheri@aalto.fi +358-(0)458954311 ArshamMazaheri