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Assessing Katrina’s Impact on the Mississippi Gulf Coast A Report on Research in Progress

Assessing Katrina’s Impact on the Mississippi Gulf Coast A Report on Research in Progress As presented by Mark Van Boening Dept. of Economics. David A. Swanson Department of Sociology & Anthropology University of Mississippi dswanson@olemiss.edu. Assessing Katrina’s Impact.

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Assessing Katrina’s Impact on the Mississippi Gulf Coast A Report on Research in Progress

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  1. Assessing Katrina’s Impact on the Mississippi Gulf Coast A Report on Research in Progress As presented by Mark Van Boening Dept. of Economics David A. Swanson Department of Sociology & Anthropology University of Mississippi dswanson@olemiss.edu

  2. Assessing Katrina’s Impact • Overview of $96,200 NSF SGER Grant Refugee Perceptions of Disaster Relief and Recovery: Analyzing the Importance of Social and Kinship Networks Among Hurricane Katrina Refugees on the Mississippi Gulf Coast or “theGulf Coast Survey” • Preliminary Results of Research • Future Work (Rich Forgette)

  3. Assessing Katrina’s Impact • The UM NSF data will support an empirical estimate of housing and population effects in the MS Gulf Coast area at the epicenter of Katrina’s impact • Difficult to get accurate idea of even the most basic numbers – people, housing, businesses – for affected areas, particularly in a timely manner • Red Cross estimates and preliminary estimates by D. Swanson for south Mississippi differ by as much as 25%

  4. Assessing Katrina’s Impact • The Gulf Coast Survey is interdisciplinary demography, economics, political science, sociology, psychology • Tests hypotheses that examine the effect of involvement in social networks on a person’s response to the impact of Katrina, all else equal • Provides data on housing units and the number damaged.

  5. Assessing Katrina’s Impact The Data Collection Plan • Full enumeration “short form” • Sample “ long form” • Traditional, block by block enumeration • Random Start, Systematic Selection Cluster Sample using blocks as Primary Sampling Units

  6. Assessing Katrina’s Impact Four Phases 1. Preparation • Develop survey instrument Oct – Dec ’05 • Field checking of maps Nov ‘05 2. Data collection • Training Jan 4, ’06 MSU SSRC • Pilot study Jan 7 • Field work Jan 8 – 14 • Mail-back follow-ups Jan 12 – Feb 15 3. Database construction Mar 1 – Apr 1 4. GIS development Apr 1st – Sep 30th

  7. Assessing Katrina’s Impact • Data collection team UM, MSU, USM, UT-Mem faculty & grad students, incl. people from Gulf Coast Jan 7 Pilot Study served as OJT • Distressed Population – on staff a Clinical Psychologist and Mental Health R.N. • CITI training for entire team +special training and materials for this project

  8. Assessing Katrina’s Impact • From our short (and long) form data we can compare housing unit counts w/ Census 2000 data on a block-by-block basis, accounting for (most) change between Census 2000 and August 29th 2005 • Yields absolute and relative counts of the total # of houses destroyed and/or damaged, by type of housing unit.

  9. Assessing Katrina’s Impact • These can be compared with estimates (e.g., those developed from aerial and satellite imagery) developed using various data and assumptions • This comparison can be used to develop ideas about the magnitude and components of errors in these estimates, with an eye toward improving them in the future.

  10. Assessing Katrina’s Impact Results to-date • Study Area – Epicenter of Katrina’s MS Landfall Portions of census tracts: 2 in Hancock Co. (0301, 0302) 4 in Harrison Co. (0270, 0280, 0290, 0300) • 573 census blocks • 120 sampled for “long form” questionnaire • 425 completed “long form” questionnaires • Quality assessment of data underway

  11. Assessing Katrina’s Impact Preliminary Results (80 Long Form Blocks) 2006 Gulf Coast Survey Total Destroyed Vacant Occupied Housing Housing Housing Housing Units/SitesUnits/SitesUnitsUnits 1893 1199 343 351 (100%) (63%) (18%) (19%)

  12. Assessing Katrina’s Impact Example from Tract 0302, Block 1052 (Bay St. Louis) 2006 Gulf Coast Survey Total Destroyed Vacant Occupied Housing Housing Housing Housing Units/SitesUnits/SitesUnitsUnits 7 7 0 0 (100%) (100%) (0%) (0%)

  13. Assessing Katrina’s Impact Remaining Phases • Initial Database construction Mar 1st – Apr 1st • GIS development Apr 1st – Sep 30th

  14. Questionnaire Sources • 115 questions, 30 pgs (15-pg 2-sided), no remuneration • Original questions, incl. series of before, after, expected • Draft questionnaire, Hummer et al., Aug ‘05, Pop. Rsch Ctr, UT-Au • Social Network Inventory, Treadwell, Leach, Evan and Stein, ‘93 • US 2000 Decennial Census Questionnaire • General Social Survey Questionnaires ICPSR Archives, Survey of Consumers; Institute for Social Research, UMich • Post-traumatic Stress Disorder Checklist, Nat, Ctr for PTSD-Behavioral Science Division • The General Self-Efficacy Scale, e.g., Jerusalem, & Schwarzer, ‘92.

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