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Theory of Change and research impact. Isabel Vogel for ESPA. What is theory of change?. Structured technique for understanding how and why a programme is likely to contribute to long-term change, in the issue context.
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Theory of Change and research impact Isabel Vogel for ESPA
What is theory of change? Structured technique for understanding howand why a programme is likely to contribute to long-term change, in the issue context Isabel Vogel for ESPA, 24 January 2012 ‘On-going process of reflection to explore change and how it happens – and what that means for the part we play in a particular context, sector and/group of people.’ Cathy James, Comic Relief review, 2011
Theory of Change: Evolution not revolution • How and why research will contribute to long-term development impact: • Research engagement with development actors • Evidence-based system learning • Improvements in policy / practice • Innovations Isabel Vogel for ESPA, 24 January 2012
Zoom out… Long-term change or impact for people MEDIUM TERM CHANGES Indirect influence – policy shapers, knowledge networks, planners, practitioners, stakeholder groups SITUATIONAL DRIVERS Socio-economic, political, Technological factors Existing policies, practices, beliefs Other actors in research, policy and practice Capacity of target groups to respond Receptiveness of context Organizations, resources, systems, skills Behaviours and practice for change SHORT-TERM CHANGES What changes, by whom? Direct influence – partners, collaborators, Immediate research users Capacity to respond Awareness, reception of new knowledge Research programme Quality evidence, capacities, stakeholder engagement Engagement, involvement Adapted from S. Montague, 2002 Isabel Vogel for ESPA, 24 January 2012
How does theory of change help? Isabel Vogel for ESPA, 24 January 2012
Theory of change… conceptual model of impact feasible research contribution story that can be evidenced sense of purpose and momentum ‘rough guide’ to change that can be revised and adapted as the journey unfolds... Isabel Vogel for ESPA, 24 January 2012
Strategies for enhancing research impact Serendipity Contextual awareness Sources: ESRC Impact work; Nutley et al 2010; health research impact studies Isabel Vogel for ESPA, 24 January 2012
ESPA Theory of Change: Impact Boundary where development actors in policy, planning and implementation take over Research evidence taken up and applied Isabel Vogel for ESPA, 24 January 2012
ESPA ToC: Outcome level Policy knowledge network ideas Likely behaviour changes? Existing practices and beliefs? Receptiveness of context? Acceptance of new ideas? User communities? Isabel Vogel for ESPA, 24 January 2012
ESPA Theory of Change: Output level User needs and demand? Nature of research? Different institutional patterns? New capabilities needed? Isabel Vogel for ESPA, 24 January 2012