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Frontiers

My Five Favorite MIT. Frontiers. "Top 5 Cutting Edge Technologies Currently Under Research At MIT Which Could Impact The World in a Large Way". 17 September 2002 Joost Bonsen jpbonsen@alum.mit.edu 617.930.0415. 5 Strategic MIT Technology Thrusts.

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Frontiers

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  1. My Five Favorite MIT Frontiers "Top 5 Cutting Edge Technologies Currently Under Research At MIT Which Could Impact The World in a Large Way" 17 September 2002Joost Bonsenjpbonsen@alum.mit.edu617.930.0415

  2. 5 Strategic MIT Technology Thrusts • Information Technologies = Ever more sophisticated computation & communication, leveraging mind & media. • Biomedical Technologies = Medical engineering, perfecting the health & life sciences. • Tiny Technologies = Investigating and fabricating ever smaller systems, at scales from micro thru nano • Complex Systems = Large scale, socio-political & econo-technological systems. • Developmental Innovations = Appropriate and leapfrog technologies for tackling challenges in developing & emerging regions

  3. MIT Technology Biz Matrix http://web.media.mit.edu/~jpbonsen/MIT-Emerging-Technology-Matrix.htm

  4. Computation Communication Intelligence Automation Encryption Media 1. Information Technologies a.k.a Software NASA Source: Donna Coveney, MIT / Cynthia Breazeal http://www.caida.org/ Chan LIDS SensAble Technologies

  5. within IT… Pervasive Computing

  6. Project Oxygen • Human Centered Computing • Acer, Delta, HP, NTT, Nokia, Philips, darpa http://oxygen.lcs.mit.edu/

  7. MIT Media Lab Wearables http://www.media.mit.edu/wearables/wearfolk-sam-big.jpg http://www.media.mit.edu/wearables/mithril/index.html

  8. Media Lab Smart Nametags http://web.media.mit.edu/~fredm/projects/memetag/mtsmall.jpg http://el.www.media.mit.edu/groups/el/papers/mres/lifelongk/Image26.gif

  9. http://www.microopticalcorp.com/

  10. Pervasive Implications • Immersive Info – Remembrance agents, face reminders, seamless PDAs • Premier Digital Infospace – Next generation libraries, info databases & visualization environments • Evocative Architectural Innovations – Digital Glass, Organic HVAC controls http://www.emperorlinux.com/acc_network.html http://www.oreillynet.com/pub/a/wireless/2001/06/08/xircom_review.html http://www.handspring.com/ http://www.futurelooks.com/features/Lifestyle/Wearable_comps/page1_frame.htm http://www-5.ibm.com/se/news/archive/images/computers/wearable-pc/wearable-pc-closseup-guy.jpg

  11. Applied Biology, Biotechnology Diagnostics, imaging Therapeutics, pharmaceuticals Invasive or Non-Invasive Devices Instrumentation Source: John Santini 2. Biomedical Technologies a.k.a Wetware http://gn.www.media.mit.edu/resenv/telemed/ http://www.media.mit.edu/nanoscale/research/sensors.html

  12. within BioMedical… Neurotechnology

  13. Brain & Cognitive Sciences;Increasingly, Neurotechnology McGovern Institute for Brain Research Martinos Imaging Center Picower Center for Learning & Memory BCS Department RLE, AI Lab… Patrick McGovern & Lore Harp McGovern http://idg.com/www/docs.nsf/docs/McGoverns?OpenDocument&region=WW

  14. Neurodiagnostic Imaging & Probes http://www.nmr.mgh.harvard.edu/ http://rabi.nmr.mgh.harvard.edu/~adunn/speckle/index.html

  15. Decision, Emotion, Addiction, & Habit Analysis Psychophysiology of Real-time Trading Affective Computing http://lfe.mit.edu/media/snow04-08-02.htm http://affect.media.mit.edu/AC_research/images/AC_system_sketch2.jpg http://web.mit.edu/alo/www/Papers/repin.pdf

  16. Artificial Senses http://rleweb.mit.edu/graphics/oculimp.jpg http://rleweb.mit.edu/Publications/currents/9-2cov.htm Retina Cochlea http://rleweb.mit.edu/graphics/ph97-71a.jpg

  17. Nerve Regeneration Neurons grown on Peptide Scaffold http://web.mit.edu/bcs/brainlunch/schedule/schneider.gif http://web.mit.edu/lms/www/images/shuguang.jpg

  18. MicroPhotonics Materials: smart, active, living, rugged MEMS: micro-electro-mechanical NEMS: nanotechnology, NanoStructures NanoMedia Quantum Dots, Computing Fabrication techniques Joe Jacobson 3. Tiny Technologies a.k.a Hardware Kerrebrock Group LieberScience 289: 94-97 http://amsl.mit.edu/research/projects.gif Montemagno Group

  19. within TinyTech… Nanobiotechnology

  20. m 10-10 10-9 10-8 10-7 10-6 10-5 10-4 10-3 10-2 diatom 30 m Engineering at Different Scales: Dimensions in Silicon and in Biology DNA proteins nm Simple molecules <1nm red blood cell ~5 m (SEM) bacteria 1 m SOI transistor width 0.12m semiconductor nanocrystal (CdSe) 5nm Circuit design Copper wiring width 0.2m Nanometer memory element (Lieber) 1012 bits/cm2 (1Tbit/cm2) IBM PowerPC 750TM Microprocessor 7.56mm×8.799mm 6.35×106 transistors Source: Molecular Machines (Jacobson) Group

  21. ActiveMaterials Source: http://amsl.mit.edu/ research/projects.gif

  22. Prostheses&Exo-Skeletons http://www.discover.com/images/apr01_ft1.jpg http://www.technologyreview.com/articles/images/prototype11201.jpg

  23. Drawing Inspiration & More from Biology • Ribosomes • Flagellar Motors • Muscles • … http://www.rcsb.org/pdb/molecules/pdb10_1.html http://www.rae.org/revev6.html http://www.kapili.com/f/art/filament1.gif http://www2.physics.ox.ac.uk/biophysics/Intro.html http://www.ai.mit.edu/people/tk/ce/flagella-s.gif http://gened.emc.maricopa.edu/bio/bio181/BIOBK/BioBookAnimalTS.html

  24. What Might the Future Soldier Wear? http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/nr/2002/isn.html http://www.horizoncomics.com/radix/ Institute for Soldier Nanotechnology • Protective Suits • Human Augmentation http://www.defenselink.mil/news/Jun2001/200105153a.jpg Thomas “It looks a lot like Science Fiction!” -- MIT Student & Comic Book Fan

  25. Protective Suits,Living Suits http://www.cnn.com/2000/TECH/space/07/14/contaminated.spacesuit.02/nasa.spacesuit.jpg http://web.mit.edu/jblaya/www/project/seireg1.jpg http://www.eig.net/level%20one/technical.html http://www.robots.org/images/exoskeleton-4.jpg

  26. Life-LikeAutomata http://www.ai.mit.edu/projects/living-machines/projects/self-feeding.shtml http://www.ai.mit.edu/projects/humanoid-robotics-group/cog/current-projects.html Cellular Robotics http://www.ai.mit.edu/people/tk/ce/microbial-engineering.html http://web.mit.edu/biophysics/movies/vort2.AVI

  27. Environmental Big Systems: space, air traffic, 777, power grid, internet Social: Organizational, entrepreneurial, business, cultural 4. Complex Systems a.k.a. Messyware http://www.nasm.si.edu/apollo/FIGURES/Fig42a.jpg

  28. within Complex Systems… Sociotechnology

  29. Sensing, Modeling & Understanding Social Systems… • Supply Chains • Business Cycles • Economies • Urban Dynamics • World Dynamics …Enough to Improve their Dynamics!

  30. Social Net Analysis & Facilitation Dynamic Visualization • Understanding social relationshiops • Guiding flows of information • Real knowledge management • Orchestrating Serendipity http://www.netvis.org/ Facilitator Room http://whitechapel.media.mit.edu/facilitator/introduction.html

  31. Predictive Microcosms http://www.cothink.com/Papers/phdthesis.pdf

  32. Supply Chain Volatility Amplification:“The Bullwhip Effect” Retailer Customer Distributor Factory Equipment Tier 1 Supplier Information lags Delivery lags Over- and underordering Misperceptions of feedback Lumpiness in ordering Chain accumulations SOLUTIONS: Countercyclical Markets Countercyclical Technologies Collaborative channel mgmt. (Cincinnati Milacron & Boeing) Source: Fine, MIT

  33. Management “Flight Simulators” Urban Dynamics http://www.glasswings.com.au/reviews/simcity2.jpg http://web.mit.edu/jsterman/www/SDG/beergame.html “Beer Game” http://www.gamespot.com/features/maxis/screens/wright.jpg

  34. 80786 Pentium Pro 80486 Pentium 80386 80286 8086 8080 4004 Moore’s Law Transistors per chip 109 ? 108 107 106 105 104 103 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Year Source: Joel Birnbaum, HP, Lecture at APS Centennial, Atlanta, 1999 Source: Fine, MIT

  35. 295oK 77oK 4oK 2010 2005 2000 1995 1990 1980 1970 Roadmap for Electronic Devices Number of chip components 1018 Classical Age Quantum Age 1016 1014 1012 Quantum State Switch SIA Roadmap 1010 108 Historical Trend CMOS 106 104 102 101 100 10-1 10-2 10-3 Source: Fine, MIT Feature size (microns) Horst D. Simon

  36. Components of MIT’s Interwoven Technology Roadmapping Effort • Business cycle dynamics (e.g., systems dynamics-like models of the bullwhip effect) • Industry structure dynamics (e.g., rigorous version of the double helix in Fine’s Clockspeed book) • Corporate strategy dynamics (e.g., dynamicize Porter-like analyses for players in the value chain) • Technology dynamics (e.g., the Semiconductor Industry Association's roadmap built around Moore's law) • Regulatory Policy Dynamics (e.g. Cross-National, Cross Sector Source: Fine, MIT

  37. Performance inOrganizations http://web.mit.edu/nelsonr/www/NobodyEverV2_0-sub_doc.pdf

  38. Development Technologies MicroFinance Developmental Entrepreneurship Sensible Policy 5. Developmental Innovations a.k.a Everywhere Ravi Kuchimanchi, AID-India http://www.thinkcycle.org http://www.simputer.org/ Murcott Group, Civil Engineering http://www.thinkcycle.org Evergreen Solar

  39. within Development… Exponential Technologies

  40. Exponential TechnologiesHi-Leverage & Transformativee.g. Portable Computers for the people e.g. Cellphones per villagee.g. Intellectual capital development via school or innovator network systeme.g. Financial & Legal infrastructure Exponentially Growing, Accelerating; Leapfrog Quality

  41. PERFORMANCE Functionality goes exponential for a given amount of money Price plummets exponentially for a given amount of functionality or performance PENETRATION Diffusion is exponential and fast, possibly viral Two Dimensions

  42. Infocom: Webios • Web analog to transistor radio • Simputer http://www.simputer.org/ http://www.picopeta.com/ http://history.acusd.edu/gen/recording/transistor.html http://www.lanka.net/lakehouse/2001/06/03/fea10.html http://www.media.mit.edu/windup/

  43. Infocom: Universal Translator • Reduce misunderstandings • Increase flow of trade • Teaching tool http://www.zdnet.com/computershopper/edit/cshopper/content/9806/309164.html http://www.via-pc.com/

  44. Infocom: Printed Electronics • Printed PCs? • Printed PDAs? • Electronic Ink applications Nishi Group, Media Lab Jacobson Group, Media Lab Eink, Media Lab Spinoff http://www.media.mit.edu/molecular/projects.html http://www.eink.com/

  45. Health: Penny Diagnostics • Disease • Contamination • Analogous to pH or Litmus paper • Telediagnostics http://gn.www.media.mit.edu/resenv/telemed/ http://www.media.mit.edu/nanoscale/research/sensors.html

  46. Finance: MicroCredit, MicroFinance, MicroVC • Credit = loans and lines of credit, debt • Finance = more general financial services • VC = risk capital, equity • Monetizing Social Capital http://www.accion.org/main.asp http://www.endeavor.org/ http://www.grameen.org http://www.uncdf.org/sum/ …

  47. Education: OpenSource Ideation & Traininge.g.OpenCourseWare / Distance Learning • Bringing MIT to the world instead of the world to MIT • Generalizing • Talent identification http://web.mit.edu/afs/athena/org/o/ocw/

  48. Richly Interwoven MIT Themes 1. InfoTech 2. BioTech 3. TinyTech 4. Complex Systems 5. Developmental Innovations

  49. Fin

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