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HKPSA, 20-21 August 2009

Does Anti-Americanism correlate with Pro-China? A Regression Analysis to Sixteen Countries’ Public Opinions. HKPSA, 20-21 August 2009. Research Questions:

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HKPSA, 20-21 August 2009

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  1. Does Anti-Americanism correlate with Pro-China?A Regression Analysis to Sixteen Countries’ Public Opinions HKPSA, 20-21 August 2009

  2. Research Questions: what is the relation between global public opinion, or public attitudes of citizens in major countries, toward the China and the United States?

  3. Key Hypothesis • Individuals with higher anti-Americanism will tend to express more amity toward China.

  4. Methodology • Dataset: Pew Global Attitudes Project, Spring 2005. • Conducted in sixteen countries: France, Germany, Spain, Britain, the Netherlands, Poland, Russia, India, China, Canada, the US, Turkey, Pakistan, Indonesia, Lebanon Jordan and Morocco. • Overall sample size: 15,575.

  5. Key Dependent Variables • Overall do you think that China’s growing economy is a good thing or a bad thing for our country? • Overall do you think it would be a good thing or a bad thing if China were to become as powerful militarily as the US? • Please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of China?

  6. Figure 2. Sixteen Countries' Public Opinion toward China, the US, Germany, France and Japan, Source: PEW 2005 Spring Survey

  7. Key Explanatory Variables • Five relevant questions about the US, including evaluations of its entire national image, superpower position, foreign policy, war on terror and President George W. Bush. • Factor analyses help us to create a single “Pro-US” factor. • In all 17,766 observations, the minimum and maximum values are 0 and 1; the average is 0.459 and standard deviation is 0.260.

  8. Control Variables • Age • Gender • Income • Education • Use of Internet • Country Dummy Variables

  9. People who are more pro-American are “somewhat” likely to approve China’s rising economic power, “very” likely to disapprove China’s rising military power, and “moderately” likely to have a favorable view of China.

  10. Demographic and Socioeconomic Variables: • Young people are most likely to be approval of China. • Mid-high income people and people with high secondary educational degree show the least amity. • Females are less likely to have a favorable view. • There is no significant difference between netizens and non Internet users.

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