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Aeronautical Decision Making

Aeronautical Decision Making. with an emphasis on weather. Quincy, Illinois (KUIN). Bob Linenweber, FAA Safety Team. November 18, 2006. Safer Skies.

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Aeronautical Decision Making

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  1. Aeronautical Decision Making with an emphasis on weather Quincy, Illinois (KUIN) Bob Linenweber, FAA Safety Team November 18, 2006

  2. Safer Skies The Safer Skies agenda originated in 1998 when the Administrator and her team identified the most critical and most common causes for aviation accidents.

  3. Safer Skies The Safer Skies program in general is about identifying risk issues and doing something about them.

  4. Safer Skies

  5. In a recent five year period, there were 9,087 general aviation accidents resulting in 2,976 deaths Dangerous Business

  6. 27% of all aviation accidents are weather-related. Over 90% of all weather accidents were caused by pilot error, deficiencies in pilot judgment, and other pilot shortcomings. Resulting in 254 deaths per year 27% 94% 254 deaths Dangerous Business

  7. 254 deaths per year that can be attributed to weather and pilots’ inability to cope with the conditions and the circumstances Dangerous Business

  8. Loss of control on landing or take-off due to pilots inability to manage adverse winds 50% Risks

  9. VFR into IMC: Of 580 accidents, 82%, were fatal 82% Risks

  10. Mechanical Failures 6% Risks

  11. Pilot Responsibility It’s not weather that crashes airplanes, it’s pilots making bad decisions about weather

  12. An instrument rating indicates the holder has received enough training to know when he should stay on the ground.

  13. Pilot Responsibility Aeronautical Decision Making (ADM) A systematic approach to the mental process used by pilots to consistently determine the best course of action in response to a given set of circumstances

  14. PPP A simple way to apply the decision making process is the three P’s . . . Perceive, Process, Perform

  15. Information Management A pilot needs to go beyond just knowing about weather;

  16. Information Management A pilot needs to know how to plan for it and deal with it in the course of a flight

  17. Knowledge Training Discipline Solutions

  18. KNOWLEDGE Common Sense Education Solutions

  19. Solutions KNOWLEDGE • Common Sense • Education

  20. Solutions TRAINING • Initial training

  21. Solutions TRAINING • Initial training • Additional Aircraft & Ratings

  22. Solutions TRAINING • Initial training • Additional Aircraft & Ratings

  23. Solutions TRAINING • Initial training • Additional Aircraft & Ratings • Competency Checks

  24. Solutions TRAINING • Initial training • Additional Aircraft & Ratings • Competency Checks • Recurrent Training

  25. Solutions DISCIPLINE • Practice

  26. Solutions DISCIPLINE • Practice • Currency

  27. Solutions DISCIPLINE • Practice • Currency • Review

  28. Solutions DISCIPLINE • Practice • Currency • Review • COMMITMENT

  29. Solutions Commitment

  30. Weather Information • Presentation • Understanding

  31. Weather Sources Appropriate Sources • NWS • AFSS/FSS

  32. Weather Sources Appropriate Sources DUATS

  33. Weather Sources Appropriate Sources DUATS DTN

  34. Weather Sources Appropriate Sources DUATS DTN WSI

  35. Weather Sources Appropriate Sources DUATS DTN WSI FSS

  36. Weather Sources Appropriate Sources DUATS DTN WSI FSS NWS

  37. Weather Sources Appropriate Sources DUATS DTN WSI FSS NWS ARTCC

  38. Weather Sources Appropriate Sources DUATS DTN WSI FSS NWS ARTCC TWEB/ AWOS/ASOS/ATIS

  39. Weather Sources NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

  40. Weather Sources NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AVIATION WEATHER CENTER

  41. Weather Sources NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AVIATION WEATHER CENTER NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

  42. Weather Sources NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AVIATION WEATHER CENTER NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION FEDERAL AVIATION ADMINISTRATION

  43. What Do You Need? LOCAL FLIGHT • Wind • Visibility • Developing Weather • Current information per FAR 91.103

  44. What Do You Need? BEYOND • Current information per FAR 91.103 • Complete weather forecast for route and destination • Understanding of the effects of forecast weather on your flight

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