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CMIC Presentation to the North American Construction Federation Conference Oaxaca, Oaxaca Mexico

The Economic Activity in Mexico. CMIC Presentation to the North American Construction Federation Conference Oaxaca, Oaxaca Mexico August 17-20, 2011 . Content. Economic Activity Financial Indicators External Sector Prognosis. 2. Total Gross Domestic Product

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CMIC Presentation to the North American Construction Federation Conference Oaxaca, Oaxaca Mexico

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  1. The Economic Activity in Mexico CMIC Presentation to the North American Construction Federation Conference Oaxaca, OaxacaMexico August 17-20, 2011

  2. Content • Economic Activity • Financial Indicators • External Sector • Prognosis 2

  3. Total Gross Domestic Product Annual Percentage Change (%) Economic Indicators of Mexico GDP in Construction Annual Percentage Change (%) Source: Mexican Chamber of Construction Industry (CMIC), National Institute of Statistics, Geography and Informatics (INEGI), Ministry of Finance and Public Credit (SHCP). e: Estimates Economic Activity 3

  4. Index of Construction ActivityChange in Annual Percentage Variation (%) 2011 4.1% 2010 0.0% Construction ActivityPercentage Variation (%) Jan.-jun. 11 – Jan.-jun. 10 Source: Management of Economy and Finance of the CMIC with data from INEGI. Economic Activity 4

  5. Total InvestmentAnnual Percentage Variation (%) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Construction InvestmentAnnual Percentage Variation (%) Source: Management of Economy and Finance, CMIC with data from INEGI. Economic Activity 5

  6. Prognosis 2011: (4.6%) 220,687 jobs generated/ recovered Jobs in Construction Sector Annual Percentage Variation (%) Millions of Employes Job performance Period (2000-2011e) 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.0 3.8 3.9 4.5 3.7 4.2 4.1 Wage employment in the Construction Sector System of National Accounts of Mexico (Base 1993=100) e. Estimate Source: Management of Economy and Finance, CMIC with data from INEGI. Economic Activity 6

  7. Mexican Stock ExchangeAccummulated Percentage Variation (%) Performance from May 2008 to June 2011 IPC DJ 13.2 -32.1 3.6 -7.4 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 Investment PortfolioFlows of period, billions of dollars Source: Management of Economy and Finance CMIC with data from NYSE and Bank of Mexico Financial Indicators 7

  8. Exchange RatePesos per dollar Interest Rate % Country RiskPoints Country Risk of Mexico has Increased Source: Management of Economy and Finance CMIC with data from Bank of Mexico, Banamex and CESL Financial Indicators 8

  9. Exports and ImportsBillions of dollars Trade Balance Billions of dollars Source: Management of Economy and Finance CMIC with data from Bank of Mexico. Financial Indicators 9

  10. Attracting Foreign Exchange: Petroleum Revenues Remittances TourismBillions of dollars Billions of Dollars: January - March 2010 2011 % Tourism * Remittances Petroleum * TOTAL: 3.7 3.3 -9.0 4.8 5.1 5.5 8.0 11.5 43.0 16.5 19.9 20.5 Revenue in the External Sector Foreign InvestmentBillions of dollars Trend January - March Billions of Dollars: 2010 2011 % Direct Foreign Investment 5.2 4.8 -8.0 * January - March Source: Management of Economy and Finance CMIC with data from Bank of Mexico and SHCP. External Sector 10

  11. Accumulation of Foreign Exchange: International Reserves Billions of dollars Billions of Dollars: Balance to June 2010 2011 % International Reserves 100.3 129.6 29.1 Ability to Pay Foreign Debt Share (percentage) of GDP January - December Billions of Dollars: 2009 2010 % Total Foreign Debt 96.7 153.5 58.7 Source: Management of Economy and Finance CMIC with data from Bank of Mexico and SHCP. External Sector 11

  12. Public Deficit (In percentage of national GDP and Billions of pesos in real terms) Billions of real pesos of 2011 % of GDP 2.7% 2.3% 1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% Source: Mexican Chamber of Construction Industry (CMIC), National Institute of Statistics, Geography and Informatics (INEGI) and Ministry of Finance and Public Credit (SHCP).

  13. Evolution of GDP and GDP ConstructionAnnual Percentage Variation (%) Prognosis: Construction Industry Growth Real Rate in 2011: 4.2% annual Evolution of construction in GDP during 2011* Source: Management of Economy and Finance CMIC with data from INEGI and Bank of Mexico.* Estimated figures at the close of the year.Note: Starting 2004, the GDP figures are calculated with the new INEGI 2003 base. Prognosis 13

  14. The Economic Activity in Mexico CMIC Presentation to the North American Construction Federation Conference Oaxaca, OaxacaMexico August 17-20, 2011

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