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DEMOGRAPHICS IN CUMBRIA SENIOR POLICY OFFICER DAN BLOOMER. SUMMARY. Cumbria’s population is ageing at a faster rate than nationally Driven by decline in number of young people, growth in number of older adults Migration is a key contributing factor
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DEMOGRAPHICS IN CUMBRIA SENIOR POLICY OFFICER DAN BLOOMER
SUMMARY • Cumbria’s population is ageing at a faster rate than nationally • Driven by decline in number of young people, growth in number of older adults • Migration is a key contributing factor • Significant variations across the county • County’s ethnic diversity increasing • Race relations not seen as an important issue by residents
POPULATION BY DISTRICT Population growing, variations by district
CUMBRIA – AGE GROUPS Population has “aged” over time
MIGRATION BY AGE GROUP Younger people migrating away
FORECASTS BY DISTRICT Past trends expected to continue
FORECASTS BY AGE GROUP Rapid growth in older adults
CUMBRIA: LONG-TERM TREND “Ageing” population significant “Known” Forecasted
CUMBRIA vs ENGLAND “Ageing” faster than nationally
ALLERDALE: LONG-TERM TREND Faster declines for 0-14 & 15-64 “Known” Forecasted
BARROW: LONG-TERM TREND Faster declines for 0-14 & 15-64 “Known” Forecasted
CARLISLE: LONG-TERM TREND Similar to county picture “Known” Forecasted
COPELAND: LONG-TERM TREND Declines for under 65s, growth for older “Known” Forecasted
EDEN: LONG-TERM TREND Rapid growth for working age & retired “Known” Forecasted
SLDC: LONG-TERM TREND Growth for working age & retired “Known” Forecasted
People with Limiting Illness Changes put pressure on health services
BME Community in Cumbria Growing ethnic diversity
National Insurance Applications More applications since A8 accession Note: Cumulative applications, not yr on yr
National Insurance Applications More international migrant to S Lakes Note: Cumulative applications, not yr on yr
National Insurance Applications Many migrants from Eastern Europe Note: Cumulative applications, not yr on yr
PUBLIC OPINIONS Race relations least important issue
SUMMARY • Cumbria’s population is ageing at a faster rate than nationally • Driven by decline in number of young people, growth in number of older adults • Migration is a key contributing factor • Significant variations across the county • County’s ethnic diversity increasing • Race relations not seen as an important issue by residents