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EU Thematic Strategy on Air Pollution Workshop on Review and Assessment of European Air Pollution Policies Gothenburg, 25-27 October 2005 Matti Vainio Peter Gammeltoft and Duncan Johnstone Clean Air & Transport Unit DG Environment. Existing air pollution policy.
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EU Thematic Strategy on Air Pollution Workshop on Review and Assessment of European Air Pollution PoliciesGothenburg, 25-27 October 2005 Matti Vainio Peter Gammeltoft and Duncan Johnstone Clean Air & Transport Unit DG Environment
Existing air pollution policy • AQ framework and daughter directives • National Emission Ceilings (NEC) directive • Gothenburg Protocol of the Convention of Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution • Vehicle emission and fuel quality standards (Auto Oil programmes) • Stationary sources (LCP, fuel distribution, IPPC…) • Products (e.g. solvents, paints)
Why Clean Air for Europe (CAFE) programme? • Continuing problems with air pollution, especially particulate matter and ozone • Increasing evidence of adverse health effects • Need to update and improve projections and modelling • Difficulty in achieving AQ limit values (especially NO2 and particulate matter)
6th Environment Action Programme (EAP) of July 2002 requires • Thematic Strategy on air pollution to be adopted in three years • Using a “knowledge-based approach” • Objectives: • Achieving levels of air quality that do not give rise to significant negative impacts on and risks to human health and the environment; (Art 7.1. of 6th EAP) • No exceedence of critical loads and levels for acidification or eutrophication
Climate change and air pollution measures should be compatible. Improve the monitoring and assessment of air quality Improve the provision of information to the public, including by indicators Adopt appropriate measures concerning ground-level ozone and particulates Play a leading role in the negotiations on and strengthening the links and interactions with international processes contributing to clean air in Europe Develop Community instruments to reduce emissions Art 7 (f) of 6EAP Air pollution relevant objectives for environment and health
Thematic Strategy is set to • Strengthen a coherent and integrated policy on air pollution to cover priorities for further actions, • the review and updating where appropriate of air quality standards and • national emission ceilings • with a view to reach the long term objective of no exceedence of critical loads and levels and • the development of better systems for gathering information, modelling and forecasting; • Thus, it will set goals and priorities for action, and will be accompanied by or followed by legislative proposals, as appropriate Art 7 (f) of 6EAP
Stakeholder consultationin CAFE • CAFE Steering Group • WG on Implementation • WG on Particulate Matter • WG on Target Setting and Policy Assessment • Ad hoc consultations • Agricultural projections, CBA methodology, transport sector (TREMOVE model) projections • Workshops (e.g. Gothenburg) • Peer review of key models
3 pillars of CAFE • Scientific advice • WHO Systematic review of Air Quality guidelines • Advice of CLRTAP WG Effects on ecosystems • Integrated Assessment Modelling (IAM) • Least cost solutions for multi-pollutant/multi-effects (human health and environment) • Cost-Benefit Analysis • Peer-reviewed methodology based on regional scale modelling of pollutant dispersion
Emissions, health and environment impacts up to 2020 • Most emissions are decreasing though there are exceptions (e.g. ammonia) • Air quality is improving for all pollutants • But still significant problems to be addressed (e.g. particulate matter & ozone) • Impacts on the natural environment (acidification & damage from ozone) are reducing • But still significant problems, particularly eutrophication. • Thematic Strategy will be mainly about making existing policies work better with some new measures as well.
Air quality problems • WHO (Global burden of disease): • About 100,000 people die every year prematurely due to exposure to particulate matter in Europe • WHO Systematic review: • Currently PM shortens life expectancy by about 9 months in the EU, in some Member States up to 1 to 2 years • No safe level for human exposure to particulate matter in air • Smaller particles may be more damaging • WHO/UNECE Task Force on Health: • No threshold for ozone effects on humans but analysis starts from background levels in air
Anthropogenic contributionto PM2.5 2000 2010 2020 Rural concentrations, annual mean [µg/m3] from known anthropogenic sources excluding sec. org. aerosols Average of calculations for 1997, 1999, 2000 & 2003 meteorologies
Ecosystems impactsup to 2020 • Acidification of ecosystems is decreasing • But still two thirds of lakes in Southern Scandinavia at risk. • About half of the forest plots in the European-wide survey for forests (EU Forest Focus) are at risk. • Eutrophication of ecosystems widespread • Half of ecosystems with unsustainable levels of nitrogen deposition. • Ozone exposure is reducing as peak levels decrease • But significant areas of European forests at risk from ozone exposure at levels up to six times the safe level.
Acid deposition to forestsin 2020 Acidification of forests continues … Percentage of forest areawith acid deposition above critical loads, using ecosystem-specific deposition. Average of calculations for 1997, 1999, 2000 & 2003 meteorologies Source: CAFE Baseline, RAINS (2004)
Excess of critical loads for eutrophication 2000 2010 2020 Percentage of ecosystems area with nitrogen deposition above critical loads, using grid-average deposition. Average of calculations for 1997, 1999, 2000 & 2003 meteorologies Source: CAFE Baseline, RAINS (2004)
Conclusions • With decreasing pollution, adverse impacts are expected to decline in the future • However, problems will not be entirely resolved: • PM remains serious (about 5 months life expectancy loss in 2020) • Ozone: • Remains a significant cause for premature deaths (Several thousands cases in 2020) • Vegetation damage: Wide-spread violations of long-term sustainable levels will prevail • Acidification of ecosystems will not disappear, mainly due to ammonia • Eutrophication remains unresolved again because of ammonia emissions
Some possible measures • Streamlining current Air Quality legislation • Consolidation & simplification of ambient air quality legislation (e.g. reporting) • Improving implementation by Member States • Introducing a air quality limit value for PM2.5 • Revising the NEC directive • Uptated vehicle emissions standards (Euro 5 and 6) • Especially to reduce particulate matter • Small scale combustion • Product emission standards and Integrated Pollution Prevention & Control to reduce emissions of particulate matter & nitrogen oxides • Integration measures • Agriculture (IPPC, less fertiliser, animal waste disposal etc.) • Transport (charging & other measures to reduce pollution) • Ship emissions (more action in the IMO for cleaner engines)
Next steps • On-going consultation on optimisation scenarios (WG Target Setting and Policy Assessment, CAFE Steering Group plus other events (eg. Gothenburg)) • Discuss outline of Thematic Strategy in CAFE Steering Group (November 2004) • Public consultation (December 2004 - January 2005) including possibly targeted consultation • Discuss content of Thematic Strategy in CAFE Steering Group (February 2005) • Send for Inter-Service consultation 1 April 2005 • Commission adoption in May 2005 • Presentation in the CAFE Steering Group in May 2005
Questions for working groups • Given WHO and WG PM advice what ambient concentration of PM2.5 should be proposed? • WG PM suggested 12-20 micrograms per cubic meter • US standard is 15 micrograms per cubic meter • Assuming PM2.5 becomes the focus of attention, what should we do about PM10? • Also, should changes be proposed in monitoring requirements? • What about ”supersite” monitoring of PM? • Given WHO advice • Keep NO2 concentration limit value untouched? • Any changes to 3rd Daughter Directive on Ozone? • Main research needs for the period 2005-2015 in atmospheric pollution in the EU and in the world? • Which measures should we specifically look into? Why? • Ideas for reducing ship emissions?
Questions (cont.) • NEC: How to reduce ammonia emissions, which is becoming a major source of impacts in acidification and eutrophication? • Pros and cons of introducing a ceiling for primary PM2.5? • Given that hemispheric pollution is becoming increasingly important, what would be the pros and cons of introducing a NEC ceiling for methane? • What, if anything, should we say about the instititutional framework to control transboundary air pollution given: • increased contribution of hemispheric background • enlargement of the EU • We are planning to hold a specific web-based consultation • What would be your three favourite questions? • Using economic instruments, like (national) taxation/charging or (either national or EU-level) emission trading • Should the Thematic Strategy encourage, discourage or be neutral?
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