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Network Appalachia. Access to Opportunity in the Global Economy of the 21 st Century. Get Ready to Run. Every morning in Africa, a gazelle wakes up. It knows it must run faster than the lion or it will be killed. Every morning in Africa, a lion wakes up.
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Network Appalachia Access to Opportunity in the Global Economy of the 21st Century
Get Ready to Run Every morning in Africa, a gazelle wakes up. It knows it must run faster than the lion or it will be killed. Every morning in Africa, a lion wakes up. It knows that it must outrun the gazelle or it will starve. It doesn’t matter if you’re a gazelle or a lion. When the sun comes up, you’d better start running! Thomas L. Friedman
New Physical and Economic Links Appalachian Development Highway System • 3090 Mile System—13 states • 31 Individual Corridors • 85% Complete
Launching Network Appalachia Net “A” Study Group • Transportation • International Trade • Economic Development FHWA Funding Secured Consultant Selected Design Research & Planning Activities
Macro-Economic and Demographic Transitions Economic Trends • Global Real GDP (past 6 decades): + 8 fold, + 3.8% annually • Global Trade Volume : + 64 fold, +7.6% annually (Manufactured Goods) US Economy (International): 1950-3%, 2000-25%, 2050-50% Demographic Trends • Population is shifting from North/Inland to South/Coastal • Population is aging • 2000 – 1 in 5 Americans are retirement age • 2030 – 1 in 3 Americans are retirement age • Demographics shifts affect: • Demand/consumption shifts from manufacturing to service sector • Labor force shifts from manufacturing toward service sector U.S. Manufacturing Grows & Shifts • Lower value/profit commodities seek low cost off-shore labor • Higher value/profit commodities sustain a domestic presence
The Global Marketplace:Looking Forward(% of World GDP) 2004 2050
Intermodal Global Supply Chain Global Commodity Flows Increase & Diversify Domestic Flows (2000-2020): +2/3 International Flows (2000-2020): Double Latin/South America Flows (2000-2020): Triple Average Distance/Shipment: • 1993 – 420 miles • 2003 – 590 miles (+ 40%) Intermodal: 21st Century Mode of Choice World container ports: 1970 - 75 ports, 2005 – 550 ports Volume of container throughput, US gateway ports: 1970 – 1 million 2000 – 20 million 2020 – 50 million 2050 – 100 million Global Trade Lanes Emerge East – West: US-North Asia, US-Europe/South Asia North – South: US- Latin/South America
Engaging the Region • Five Workshops • 500 Participants Business Civic Academic • Output Strategic Priorities Tactical Opportunities
Network Appalachia Findings Over past 6 decades, GDP +8 fold, trade +64 fold Long-term economic expansion is underlying driver, plus: Containerized intermodal supply chain Telecommunication/information technology Demographic shifts Market expansion & new trade agreements While annual trends vary, global economy is fully established East-West trade lanes remain strong, North-South will grow Global supply chain is intermodal by nature, ports are gateways Access to supply chain is essential for competitiveness Enhanced intermodal coordination improves capacity, cost-efficiency, reliability, and addresses intensifying energy & environmental issues
Network AppalachiaIntermodal Corridors of Commerce & Inland Ports
Planning & Development Framework Advocacy Region must advocate for its own future through building innovative & collaborative new partnerships. Planning Encourage & support expanded planning & development Multi-modal Highway, Rail, & Maritime Multi-disciplinary Transport, Econ. Dev., & Global Trade Multi-jurisdictional Local, State, National, & Global Multi-sector Public/Private Coordination Investment Build on momentum of new public/private investment models