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Giving thanks to 20 years of Bill Gates: And what the future of IT will be without him. David Strom June 18 2008. David Strom 1972: Enters Union 1976: Receives BA in Math 1978: Receives MS in Operations Research Today: networth, priceless, salary: > $10/yr. Sergey and Larry
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Giving thanks to 20 years of Bill Gates: And what the future of IT will be without him David Strom June 18 2008
David Strom 1972: Enters Union 1976: Receives BA in Math 1978: Receives MS in Operations Research Today: networth, priceless, salary: > $10/yr Sergey and Larry 1972: Not yet born 1976: Toddlers 1978: Don’t know much about O.R. Today: Networth: > $18B each, salary < $10.yr Bill Fairchild introduction
Outline • Giving thanks to Bill • 1988 and now • Your favorite stories • The future
We began preparations years ago • Letterman video about Bill’s retirement http://youtube.com/watch?v=V_o9isZY5h0
The Web has become a dynamic place, especially for our students • Send in your homework • Find last year’s exam answers • Plagiarize your assignments • Find a date • Find a roommate • Sell their stuff
One reason for Bill’s retirement: Demos! http://www.cnn.com/TECH/computing/9804/20/gates.comdex/gates.30.240.mov
Words in the Microsoft lexicon • Fear, uncertainty and doubt • We are on a product death march • Our software is now code complete • And is now released to manufacturing • Buy a Vista-ready PC • We are not monopolists • Cut off Netscape’s air supply • Abort, retry, reboot
Thanks for killing off • DOS 4.0 • Windows ME • OS/2 (all versions) • Lotus 1-2-3 • Netware • Word Perfect • Netscape • Bob • WebTV • [Your favorites here]
Back in 1982, Bill said in PC Magazine Issue #1: • “We’ll be able to write big fat programs. We can let them run somewhat inefficiently because there will be so much horsepower out there.” • “300 MB hard drives in the $10-$15,000 range” • “We are still not at a stage where I would tell my mother just to go out and buy a PC” • “You have to be a real bits and bytes man to get that Apple to play any kind of decent musical tone”
Let’s go back to 1988 for a moment
My daughter’s dorm room today • Three laptop computers (Mac and Windows) w/ wireless Internet access and built-in Web cams • Five iPods (two to workout with) with 4,000 tracks • Two digital cameras • Two cell phones and one landline that is rarely used • TV, DVD and cable hookup • Microwave, mini fridge supplied by the college • Stacks of DVDs and a few CDs to complete the p2p downloaded tunes
Fond memories of our first PCs • Mine was a HP 85 (+$3,000, 1980)
Price drops • 10 years ago, a typical PC base price was $5,500 • 1 MB RAM, 40 MB disk, 16 MHz CPU • Then add 2 MB RAM for $1,700 • Monitors were around $750 - $1,000 (12” VGA) • You were at $10,000 before you knew it! • This doesn’t mean we should cut our fees, though!
What has succeeded despite Microsoft • Spreadsheets, and not just for numbers either • Linux and all that open source stuff • Apache and the Web • Apple’s iPod • Macintoshes • Windows NT and now XP
Thanks also to Google! • Web-based email: Gmail (vs Hotmail) • Search (vs MSN) • Web mashups (maybe Silverlight and Popfly)
We’ll miss the Jobs/Gates matchups http://youtube.com/watch?v=gtCJHyFhB48
20 years of lawsuits too! • 1989: Apple sues over Windows UI • 1994: Dept. of Justice, Windows • 1994: Stac, disk compression: wins $126 million • 1995: Wang, OLE: wins and then disappears • 1996: Caldera, DR-DOS: annoys entire Linux world • 1997: Borland, their ex-employees • 1998: Dept. of Justice, browser tactics • 2003: Real Network, media player • Various: Sun, $2 Billion payout!
Overall, lawsuits have cost Microsoft $9 Billion! • At one time, more than 130 concurrent suits!
So thanks again Bill for the memories • Questions and comments • Enjoy your prizes David Strom (310) 857-6867 http://strominator.com