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WELCOME TO PRESENTATION ON. 28 TH JUL.2013. K G KRUPAL AUTHOR, BROKER, COLUMNIST. SENSEX MOVEMENT ON 26 TH JULY ‘13. High : 19,907, Low: 19,699 ( 208 points ), Close: 19,748. WEEKLY SCENARIO. INDICES INDEX. INDICES MAZIC. INVESTMENT. Business performance Focus on value
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WELCOME TO PRESENTATION ON 28TH JUL.2013 K G KRUPAL AUTHOR, BROKER, COLUMNIST
SENSEX MOVEMENT ON 26TH JULY ‘13 High : 19,907, Low: 19,699 (208 points), Close: 19,748
INVESTMENT Business performance Focus on value Understand company Rational approach Depends on analysis value of analysis diminishes, as element of chance increases
SPECULATION • Price performance • Focus on price • Rely on information • Fashionable approach • Depends on chance Speculator react to prices. Investor react to fundamentals
IT ESTIMATES FUTURE VALUE ON SPECIFIC DEVELOPMENTS. • FUTURE EVENTS PERCOLATES INTO PRESENT VALUES. • IT DISCOUNTS FUTURE AND NEGLECTS, WHEN FUTURE TURNS PRESENT. • MOVES EITHER WAY IN LIGHTENING SPEED. • PROVIDINGliquidity is the prime plus point of this market.
BROKERS & SUB-BROKERS • 10,203 • 83,808 • 10,268 • 77,141 • 9,643 • 69,335
VALUE STOCKS • Shares which are trading @ below the book value, high dividend yield, low P/E multiple, low price to book value, or quotation is below the intrinsic value are value stocks.
FACTORS INFLUENCING PRICE FLUCTUATIONS • 1.Demand and Supply • 2. Corporate development --general & specific • 3. Govt. policies & its impact • 4. Developments affecting country’s economy • 5. Index changes and price variation in global markets. • 6. F I Is and M.F.s activities. • 7. Change in promoters stake. • 8. Settlements and outstandings in F & O. • 9. Raising of funds, issue of ADR/GDR/FCCBS. • 10. Media highlights, both print and electronic.
WHAT FACTORS IMPACT CAPITAL MARKET • CAPITAL MARKET IS SUPER SENSITIVE AND BECAUSE OF ITS NATURE THE NAME SENSITIVE INDEX (SENSEX) IS ARRIVED. • MONSOON FACTOR, ECONOMIC FACTORS LIKE INDUSTRIAL GROWTH, EXPORTS & IMPORTS, INFLATION, BANKING REGULATORY ACTIONS SUCH AS CRR, REPO, REVERSE REPO RATE CHANGE ETC. • REGULATORY ACTIONS AGAINST MARKET, COMPANIES, CHANGE IN POLICIES OF GOVT.
FACTORS INFLUENCING PRICE FLUCTUATIONS (INTERNAL) • COPORATE BENEFITS SUCH AS BONUS, RIGHTS, DIVIDEND ACTIONS LIKE STOCK SPLIT, NAME CHANGE, CONSOLIDATION, STAKE SALE OR CHANGE, BUSINESS AGREEMENTS, MERGER & AMALGAMATION, PLEDGING & RELEASE OF SHARES BY MANAGEMENTS
Weakness Hasty decisions Ignorance Greediness
THREATS Loss of liquidity Losing capital Returns Risk
STRENGTHS Be informed before invest Restrict operations for making reasonable profit Keep cool & balanced mind for market variations
OPPURUNITIES Capital appreciation Corporate benefits
SENSEX • Sensitivity barometer of the market which shows the mood and trend of the investors. Sensex has become a brand of the Indian Capital Market. • Because of the heavy monetary flood from local and foreign funds sensex has touched all time high of 21,206.77 on 10.01.08. With market capitalisation of Rs.71,41,611 Crores, there are only 30 shares in the Sensex • PRESENT MARKET CAP : Rs.64.34 lac Crs. On 26th July13
SENSEX MOVEMENTS 24th May : 19,704.33 31st May : 19,760.30 08th June : 19,429.23 14th June : 19,177.93 21ST June : 18,774.24 28th June : 19,395.81 05th July : 19,495.82 12th July : 19,958.47 19th July : 20,149.85 26th July : 19,748.19
TATA STEEL -FPO • ALLOTED 83,25000 SHARES TO ANCHOR INVESTORS @ Rs.610 IN Jan.11 • 17 ALLOTEES
WHO IS RIGHT • TTK PRESTIGE: CALLS BY • BROKERAGES
WHO IS RIGHT HIND.UNILEVER LTD: CALLS BY • BROKERAGES
M M T CMOVEMENTS 6 MONTHS CHART Rs.48.75
MMTC – 1 MONTH GRAPH(28TH MAR 13) GOVT. 99.33% , DIIs 0.5% , OTHERS 0.17%
CANARA BANK 6 MONTS CHART Rs.269.10 HIGH: 550 (14TH Jan 13) LOW: 261(26TH Jul.13)
APOLLO TYRES LTD 3 MONTHS Rs.68.30
KARNATAKA BANK PRICE MOVEMENT IN BSE ON 21ST JUNE 2013
WEALTH DESTROYERS • KOUTONS RETAIL • SKS MICROFINANCE • GTL & GTL INFRA • KEMROCK INDUSTRIES • CROMPTON GREAVES • ZYLOG SYSTEMS • CORE EDUCATION TECHNOLOGIES • WELSPUN CORP • OPTO CIRCUITS • BILCARE • AANJANEYA LIFECARE • GITANJALI GEMS
MUTUAL FUND INVESTMENTS (IN Rs. CRORES)
CHANGES- COMPARISION • EARLIER -- NO MARKET REGULATOR, MINDS WERE SELF REGULATED. • NOW -- MARKETS ARE FULLY REGULATED, MINDS TO BE REGULATED. • EARLIER --RUPEE WAS COSTLIER, ASSETS WERE CHEEPER. • NOW -- RUPEE IS CHEEPER, ASSETS ARE COSTLIER.
TIPS & NEWS FROM SMS, • FOCUS ON TOPLINE LINKED TO BOTTOM LINE. • THINK BEFORE YIELDING TO UNLIMITED TURNOVER FACILITY WITH A LIMITED FEES • AVOID TEMPTATION BASED ON HIGH TURNOVER IN SCRIPS.
Assess the market Price behavior • Combine fundamental and technical analysis • Develop sound strategies for growth stocks • Beware of operators’ game play • Take Swift corrective action i.e. keep stop loss • Take disciplined decision
TAXATION • SHORT TERM, i.e. within one year, profits are taxed @ 15% FROM 2008-09 • LONG TERM, i.e. held for more than one year, there is no tax on the profits. • Dividends are totally tax free. • Trading profits are taxed as normal income at the applicable slab.
SUCCESS MANTRA TO BE SUCCESSFUL INVESTOR THINK PROFIT IN TUNE WITH DHIRUBAI AMBANI MANTRA THINK BIG
MONEY MAKING EQUATION • SHARE BUSINESS PROFIT = E F E P • = ENTRY ON FUNDAMENTALS • EXIT FOR PROFIT (NO CONDITIONS APPLY)