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NASDCTE Fall Conference 2005 Harrisburg, Pennsylvania. Other Ways to Win: An Update. Ken Gray, PSU. Gty@psu.edu. Background PDK Gallup Poll Results. 59% knows little or nothing about NCLP Among the knowledgeable 57% have unfavorable views.
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NASDCTE Fall Conference 2005Harrisburg, Pennsylvania Other Ways to Win: An Update Ken Gray, PSU. Gty@psu.edu
Background PDK Gallup Poll Results • 59% knows little or nothing about NCLP • Among the knowledgeable 57% have unfavorable views. • 67% support high school testing in grades 9 &10 &11 Annual PDK Gallup Poll, Sept 2005
Background PDK Gallup Poll Results • 66% of adults with children in public school support a wide variety of course offerrings in the American high school. • 80% believe that a fair assessment of schools requires tests in a variety of subjects. • 62% of NCLB knowable believe it hurts special needs students. Annual PDK Gallup Poll, Sept 2005
The One Way to Win Message Defined • Get a four year college degree 98% agree, 72% plan on grad school • In order to insure economic success Three of top 4 reasons for going to college • In the professional ranks Professional/manageral 65% Technical 6%
The One Way to Win Myth The Fate of a typical elementary school class of 24 children 7 drop out 5 go to work 6 do not graduate from College 3 Do not find college jobs 3 win the One Way to Win game
9th to Graduation Dropout RatesUS & Pennsylvania 9 to 10 dropout rates US= 11% PA = 7% 9th-graduation dropout rates in 1990 US=29% PA=21% 9th-graduation dropout rates in 2000 US= 33% PA=25% Education Pipeline in the U.S: 1970-2000. National Board Publications.
CTE and AT-Risk Youth A combination of 60% academic courses and 40% CTE is the most effective drop-out prevention program in the American high school. At-risk/special needs students in CTE are more likely to: Graduate from high school. Be employed. Be employed in the trades. Be in college.
Employment of University Graduates2000-2012 Supply Demand Employed University Grads 1,185,000 730,400 62%
Percent of Occupations Requiring Different Levels of Education
Roots of One Way to Win Myth • Class in America. (David Brooks, Bobos’s in Paradise) • Economic Uncertainty/ Globalization • (no one knows what to do) • Math Scam • Increase college graduates
Fundamental Fears & Misconceptions • A college degree is today what a high school diploma was before. There will be so many with a univesity degree that they wil take all the good jobs.
Fundamental Fears & Misconceptions • College grads earn more than others thus is most be because they have a college degree. • Decline of blue collar wages. • Wage gap…payoff is for a very few • 83% of associate degree holders have same annual earnings a 4-yr grad. • Education explain less 10% of earnings. (Ulreich,NYT, 1/17/05)
Finding Other Ways to Win. The High Skills/High Wage Strategy 1. Understand three labor market realities. 2. Investigate technician level occupations within key economic sectors
1. The High Skills/High Wage Workplace Semi-conductor Manufacturing Ratio: 1 to 2 to 7
2. Labor Market Projections Can be Misleading • Opportunity is greatest in occupations that demand exceed supply. • Fast or slow growing growing occupations may or may not mean opportunity.
Shortages of Technicians • There will be 100,000 more jobs for computer technicians than computer engineers. • Almost half of IT, craft, and precision manufacturing jobs were filled by non-native born workers in the 1990’s. • While construction trades employment is predicted to grow only by 13% retirement of older workers results in a net demand of over two million jobs
3. Occupational Skill not Degrees Provide Labor Market Advantage High Skill/ High Wage Occupational Skills Academic Skills Work Ethic & Work Ethics Low Skill/ Low Wage Other Ways to Win
Creating Other Ways to WinCareer Guidance • By the tenth grade all students will have participated in activities designed to help them identify several career options. • In the eleventh and twelfth grades all students will participate in activities that allow them to verify these choices, using the results to develop postsecondary plans.
Creating Other Ways to Win • Require All Student to Complete a High School Program of Study. • Shopping mall high school curriculum • Dual enrollment/middle college • CTE/Career Clusters/Tech Prep
Creating Other Ways to Win • Challenge the Taylorist High School Mind Set
In High School NCLB Requires Alternatives
CTE Is to Some Teens What AP & Honors Is To others.