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The Joint Effects Model (JEM) Program

The DOD Common Use CBRN Hazard Prediction Model. The Joint Effects Model (JEM) Program. Will Fontan for: Scott Carey JEM Acquisition Program Manager JPM IS, JPEO CBD 571-243-9541 careysa@spawar.navy.mil. AGENDA. Program Overview Overarching Organization History Status

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The Joint Effects Model (JEM) Program

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  1. The DOD Common Use CBRN Hazard Prediction Model The Joint Effects Model (JEM) Program Will Fontan for: Scott Carey JEM Acquisition Program Manager JPM IS, JPEO CBD 571-243-9541 careysa@spawar.navy.mil BACIMO 2003

  2. AGENDA • Program Overview • Overarching Organization • History • Status • S&T Support • Current technology barriers / needs • Concluding Remarks BACIMO 2003

  3. The new CBDP Organization (JPM IS Focus) Defense Acquisition Executive (USD-ATL) Army Acquisition Executive (ASA-ALT) JPEO CBD BGEN Stephen Reeves PEO C4I & Space Mr. Dennis Bauman   Joint Program Managers   JPM IS / CAPTAIN Tom O’Keefe PMW 150 Director of Operations Robert Walker Chief Engineer Candace Conwell DJPM IS CAPT Scott White Acquisition Program Managers    NOTE: The DoD Accreditation Authority for CBRN M&S has been delegated to JPM-IS, JPEO CBD BACIMO 2003

  4. PROGRAM HISTORY • Approximate 10+ year development of DoD S&T CBRN Hazard Prediction models • HPAC, VLSTRACK, D2PC/PUFF Interim Accredited for Specific uses • VLSTRACK for weaponized CB attacks on military forces • HPAC for U.S. attacks on NBC facilities and for consequence management associated with terrorist NBC attacks • D2PUFF andD2PCw for U.S. chemical stockpile accidents and incidents • DOD assessed S&T Programs as Mature Technology: May 2001 • Milestone A: June 01 BACIMO 2003

  5. PROGRAM HISTORY • SPAWAR assigned as JEM Program Management Office (PMO) via mal PMO: 11 February 2002 via USD (AT&L) Aldridge Memorandum • JPEO CBD stood up: April 2003 • BGEN Reeves becomes the JEM Milestone Decision Authority • Requirements Formalized: May 2003 • for a “single integrated common use CBRN/TIC/TIM hazard prediction modeling capability” BACIMO 2003

  6. What is JEM ? • An ACAT III SOFTWARE Program of Record that will provide a single, validated capability to predict the transport and dispersion of CBRN / TIC / TIM events and their effects Mission: Deliver the Common Use DoD Hazard Prediction Model • Integrated with Service Command & Control and Warning & Reporting systems • Will be accredited for all uses currently supported by the current 3 Interim Accredited DoD S&T Hazard Prediction Models • Planned program sustainment and Warfighter / User support • Expected distribution to Services: 4,360+ copies BACIMO 2003

  7. DRAFT Reported CBRN Effects ! CBRN alert & effects shared Through COP CBRN sensor alerts, effects modeling & reporting CBRN Threat CBRN sensor alerts, effects modeling & reporting Weather Air Force Navy Embassy ? CBRN sensor alerts, effects modeling & reporting CBRN sensor alerts, effects modeling & reporting Joint Command CBRN sensor alerts, effects modeling & reporting Marines Army JEM Employment Concepts Operationally: Employed at all levels of Command • Supports • Strike Planning • Missile Defense • Consequence Management • Force Protection BACIMO 2003

  8. JEM Requirement Summary • Block 1: • Integrate all current capabilities of VLSTRACK, HPAC, and D2PUFF models within • A common interoperable architecture and friendly Interface • Block 2: • Urban effects modeling • High altitude missile intercept effects modeling • Weather effects above 20 km and precipitation • Improved transport and diffusion methodology • Block 3: • Waterborne Hazards • Contagious Disease Modeling • Complex structures and Building interiors • Human performance degradation BACIMO 2003

  9. Program Status • Block 1 • Independent study of HPAC, VLSTRACK, & D2PUFF complete • System Architecture defined • Source Code transitioned from S&T (HPAC, VLSTRACK) • Virtual Prototyping with Warfighter / Users complete • CBRN Data Model development • Development of Working Prototype initiated: June 03 • Supported Ulchi Focus Lens 03 • Acquisition documentation development for MS B in Dec 03 • Fielding planned for FY05 • Block 2 • Sources Sought Announcement imminent • Coordinating with DTRA for S&T needs • Supporting PM Guardian BACIMO 2003

  10. INDEPENDENT MODEL ANALYSIS(IMA) • IMA: 19 December 01 – Aug 02 • Battelle Memorial Institute • Model IPT (Government SMEs) provided oversight • The Analysis • Identified major PHYSICS-BASED functionality's of HPAC 4.0, VLSTRACK 3.1, and D2Puff 4.0 required for JEM Block 1 • Performed functional analysis to identify the best state-of-the-art functionalities for incorporation into JEM • Functionalities grouped into four categories • Atmospheric transport and diffusion • Near-field effects • Human exposure • Source terms • Weather prediction models were not part of the study BACIMO 2003

  11. JEM Model Analysis Team Structure Joint Effects Model Program Office • Independent Model Analysis Team • Subject Matter Experts with no stake in the subject models • Battelle Memorial Institute • Columbus, OH • Crystal City, VA Service Representatives Service S&T ATD Experts Atmospheric Transport and Diffusion (ATD) Experts HPAC, VLSTRACK, D2PUFF Developers Joint Model IPT Oversight BACIMO 2003

  12. INDEPENDENT MODEL ANALYSISResults • IMA Results: • HPAC: 26 / VLSTRACK: 7 / D2-Puff: 4 • Atmospheric transport and diffusion • HPAC : 12 • VLSTRACK : 2 • D2PUFF : 1 • Near-field effects • HPAC : 2 • Human exposure • HPAC : 2 • VLSTRACK : 2 • D2PUFF : 2 • Source terms • HPAC : 10 • VLSTRACK : 3 • D2PUFF : 1 BACIMO 2003

  13. External Data Segments Alert services Visualization Control COE Services JEM Control Segment JEM Model Harness Multiple Executions JEM Best of Breed Components Session Mgr Application Server Session Mgr Session Mgr Operating System COE Environment SYSTEM ARCHITECTURE CONCEPT SRMT to JEM Evolution External Data Segments Alert services Visualization Control COE JEM Control Segment Services MH Middleware Model Depot S3A AFSERR Generic Environ. CONOPS National Remote Others Operating System COE Environment SRMT JEM BACIMO 2003

  14. “VIRTUAL PROTOTYPE” DEFINED • Using graphical user interface (GUI) to sketch out conceptual model • A MOCKUP of the software system • To get user feedback on: • Ease-of-use • Functionality • Visual appeal • Before beginning actual development of code BACIMO 2003

  15. VIRTUAL PROTOTYPE • Four Spirals of the Virtual Prototype • Basic Work Flows / Initial Look & Feel • Stakeholder Evaluation • Final Prototype is the basis for the Formal JEM Software product • WEB Accessible at www.jointeffectsmodel.org Username & Password: vpuser • Stakeholders: SPAWAR PMW-155(150), EODMU3, DTRA, EODTEU1, NAVAIR, NAVSEA, SPACECOM, TYNDALL/LANGLEY AFB, SOCOM, STRATCOM, NLMOC, NPMOC, FNMOC, JFCOM, FT LEWIS, NOAA, US FORCES KOREA, USA CHEMICAL SCHOOL FT LEONARDWOOD, USMC CHEM/BIO RESPONSE FORCE BACIMO 2003

  16. S&T Support to JEM: Essential • Established agreements with current S&T developers • DTRA (HPAC): in place • NAVSEA Dahlgren (VLSTRACK): in place • ECBC/CHPM (D2PUFF): TBD • Future / Additional agreements desired • 12 Month Technology Transition Cycle • We know our specific technology needs through FY07 • Conduct yearly independent technology studies • Use DTRA led Technology Readiness Evaluations (TREs) as available • Enables Beta testing and joint experimentation on each Major Technology per block • Supports requirement to incorporate significant enhancements per block BACIMO 2003

  17. Technology Barriers / Needs • Automated conversion of raw LIDAR / Satellite data to 3D SHAPE Files • Dispersion characteristics of Chemical and Biological agents resulting from Missile Intercept, including Ballistic missiles at high altitudes / speeds • Improved Atmospheric Transport and Diffusion algorithms • JEM Inputs / Underlying data • Consistently accurate weather models • Weather above 20 km • Authoritative CBRN/TIC/TIM data sources BACIMO 2003

  18. Concluding Remarks: the Bottom Line • Recent Actions saw regular industrial releases... Hydrogen Sulfide, etc. • AAR’s specify that aneasy to use and accurate CBRN / TIC / TIM Hazard Prediction model was essential, but not available. • Reach back support was time late / not feasible • Our mission is clear, the need self evident BACIMO 2003

  19. BACK UP SLIDES

  20. JEM IMA Results BACIMO 2003

  21. JEM IMA Results BACIMO 2003

  22. JEM IMA Results BACIMO 2003

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