MSJC Stats BOT Workshop 1.21.10 R.C. Economic Recap MSJC -Headcount

1. MSJCStats BOT Workshop 1.21.10 R.C. Economic Recap MSJC -Headcount -Available seats College Going Rates City/Zip Codes Transfers Assessment MSJC – R&P Dept. – XCHASX 1.21.10

2. Economic Briefing – Ontario Convention Center4.8.9 Inland Empire : • ½ of adults pop. not taken a college class + we have land = bluecollar economy • Gold mines – construction/distribution/manufacturing – allbluecollar focus • Need knowledge workers vs. land workers (Dr. David Stewart – UCR- Dean of Anderson - Graduate School) – White collar vs. Blue collar • # 1 priority- Must change competitive advantages/goal mines – example more high tech focus, less blue collar as a % of total • 4 & 2 year educationinstitutions are an important element to IE economic recovery - a more educated population

3. Education Completed… Riverside County is below state avg. Source: U.S. Census Bureau – quickfacts.census.gov

4. MSJC Growth… continues The districtservices: • annually 26,000 students • over 17,000per semester Three consecutive AY of double digit: • AY06-07 up 12% • AY 07-08 up 10% • AY08-09 up 14% CAGR(2) for past 10 yrs of 6% (CCC statewide 2%) 10 yrs ending AY 2008-’09 Up 75% (3.8 x statewide of 20%) (1) Compounded annual growth rate, Source: CCCCO.edu, Data Mart, MSJC R &P Dept. XCHAS 12.7.9

5. Headcounts have increased significantly over the past decade, AY08-’09 exceeded 26,000 students MSJCUnduplicated Headcount* in 1,000 By Academic Year 75%vs. 20%CAGR6%vs. 2% * Include credit and non-credit Source: California Community Chancellor’s Office Data Mart –MSJC R&PD – XCJH1.13.10

6. MSJCwith higher highs & lower lows than CCC …we have experienced a 3 yr double digit growth trend Headcount MSJC vs. CCC Statewide % Growth *Unduplicated and includes credit and Office Data Mart –MSJC R&PD – XCJH 1.30.9

7. MSJC in FA’07 exceeded 15k students & FA’08 17k… SU’09 declined due to a decrease in sections

8. SJC& MVChave both enjoyed considerable grow through SP’09…but by design has soften during SP’10 Estimates: -4% vs. SP’09 2,960 FTES Headcount* 2% vs. SP’09 2,040 FTES *Headcount at 1st Census, headcount maybe multi-campus/ DataTel (MSJC) & Data-Mart (CCCCO) numbers vary. DataTel is a snapshot of enrollment on a given date & does not include non-credit & includes 1st census only. Data Mart is the official CCCCO headcount. I-15 Corridor includes TEC (Temecula Education Complex) & Lake Elsinore (LEUSD) activity. Chaparral H.S. (TVUSD) activity is currently included in the MVC service area but will be included in the I-15 Corridor service area starting FA09 Source: MSJC DataTel/ MSJC R&P Dept. XCHASX.1.19.10

9. I-15 Corridor & The Pass… will experience double digitgrowth for SP’10 Estimates: +29% vs. SP’09 445 FTES Headcount* TEC +86% vs. SP’09 55 FTES *Headcount at 1st Census, headcount maybe multi-campus/ DataTel (MSJC) & Data-Mart (CCCCO) numbers vary. DataTel is a snapshot of enrollment on a given date & does not include non-credit & includes 1st census only. Data Mart is the official CCCCO headcount. I-15 Corridor includes TEC (Temecula Education Complex) & Lake Elsinore (LEUSD) activity. Chaparral H.S. (TVUSD) activity is currently included in the MVC service area but will be included in the I-15 Corridor service area starting FA09 Source: MSJC DataTel/ MSJC R&P Dept. XCHASX.1.19.10

10. MSJCdistrict …AY09-’10 … FTESare projected to increase by 5%as unduplicated headcount softens. -3% +5% Projections *Include credit & non-credit, projections for headcount based on actual SU09 (CCCCO-Data Mart) & FA09 estimate (XENR –DataTel), projection for FTES based on P1 AY09-10 Source: CCCCO.edu headcount, Fiscal Data Abstract FTES excludes non-resident . MSJC R&P Dept. XCHASX.1.19.10

11. MSJC “% of occupied seats” continue to increase over prior termThe % of occupied classroom seats (aka fill rate or % of cap) relative to available (*projection. Source: D.S.S. ) ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09

12. 2008 California College-Going Rate*by Institution Type Riverside County College-Going rate is below state average * Public High Schools Source: California Postsecondary Education Commission - MSJC R&PD12.6.9

13. 2008 California College-Going Rates* by County Riverside County’s Ca. College-Going Rate 44%is below the California state average of 47%. * Public High Schools only Source: California Postsecondary Education Commission - MSJC R&PD 11.20..9

14. 2008 California College-Going Rate*by Unified School District Riverside County & 5 of 8 MSJC feeder H.S. Districts are below state average. * State & county includes public H.S. only, District include public & private Source: California Postsecondary Education Commission - MSJC R&PD 11.20.9 rev 12.4.9

15. …of 1st time freshmen that go to college at least 6 out of 10 … enroll in CCC last 2 yr avg. (2007 & 2008) Source: CPEC.edu - # of all students who started as f 1st time freshmen at the public college or university during the fall term of the yr

16. Top 10 areas that account for 93% … MSJC Student Body Source: MSJC DataTel – XBRO.CH.ZIP.LIST. XCHAS 12.6.9

17. MSJCTransfers to 4-yr Institutions • Transfers to UC & CSU increased by 22% for AY07-08. • Transfers to UCexceeded 100& 380 students transferred to the CSU system. • Approximately 45 to 50% of all MSJC 4-yr institutional transfers are to a UC or CSU, the remaining are transfers to ISP (In-State-Private) & OOS (Out-of-State) institutions. MSJC top transfer 4-yr institutions by category : UC - UCRCSU – San Bern. ISP – Univ. of PhxOOS – BYU - UCSD - San Mar. - Azu. Pac. Univ. - West’n Gov. Univ. - UCLA - Fullerton - Ca. Baptist Univ. – BYU, Idaho Source: For UC & CSU, Ca. Postsecondary Ed. Commission- CPEC.ca.gov & ISP & OOS, National Student Clearinghouse (NSC), MSJC R&P Dept. XCHAS.12.9.9

18. Assessed into pre-college level course… MSJC 2008 • Math … 92% • English … 88% • Reading … 66%

19. Thanks for your attention!Any Questions?www.MSJC.edu > College Info > Institutional ResearchCHawkins@MSJC.edu