1 / 19

CPT Experiments

CPT Experiments. GROUP 2. Experiment : 3. Predictor: OBS GLOBAL DJF SST for 40N - 30 S. Goodness Index. CCA mode: 5 (1) X modes: 6 (2) Y modes: 5 (3) Goodness Index: -0.074 Goodness Index (Transformed): 0.042. Pearson correlation skill map. Raw Data. Transformed Data.

acage
Download Presentation

CPT Experiments

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. CPT Experiments GROUP 2

  2. Experiment: 3 Predictor: OBS GLOBAL DJF SST for 40N - 30 S

  3. Goodness Index • CCA mode: 5 (1) • X modes: 6 (2) • Y modes: 5 (3) • Goodness Index: -0.074 • Goodness Index (Transformed): 0.042

  4. Pearson correlation skill map Raw Data Transformed Data Model shows a low correlation skill across the rainfall stations.

  5. CCA mode 1 Warm Pacific – Warm Atlantic Anomalies Pattern corresponding to above normal rainfall over Caribbean except for Cuba, Bahamas and Jamaica Canonical correlation: 0.6569 Results similar to France group

  6. CCA mode 2 Cool Equatorial Pacific (La Nina) –Warm Equatorial Atlantic anomalies pattern corresponding to below normal rainfall pattern over Eastern Caribbean Canonical correlation: 0.5720

  7. Roc curves Station 13 showing high ROC skill

  8. Roc curves Station 19 (Jamaica) showing low ROC skill

  9. Roc Map

  10. CPT EXPERIMENTS # 4 GROUP 2

  11. Goodness Index • CCA mode: 2 • X modes: 5 • Y modes: 3 • Goodness Index: -0.008 • Goodness Index (Transformed): 0.100

  12. Pearson correlation skill map Model shows a low correlation skill across the rainfall stations.

  13. CCA mode 1 Cool Pacific – Cool Atlantic SST anomalies Pattern corresponding to below normal rainfall over Eastern Caribbean Canonical correlation: 0.6313

  14. CCA mode 2 Cool Equatorial Pacific (La Nina) –Cool Equatorial Atlantic SST anomalies corresponding to below normal rainfall over Caribbean Canonical correlation: 0.4810

  15. Probability Forecast Maps

  16. Roc curves Station 14 (Surinam) showing low ROC skill

  17. Roc curves Station 7 showing high ROC skill

  18. Roc Map

  19. SSTs (last 7-day anomalies)

More Related