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Subnational migration and life stage: ethnicity and young adult migration in Britain

Subnational migration and life stage: ethnicity and young adult migration in Britain. Nissa Finney (University of Manchester). BSPS 2008. Questions for today. Are there ethnic differences in young adults’ propensity to migrate?

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Subnational migration and life stage: ethnicity and young adult migration in Britain

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  1. Subnational migration and life stage: ethnicity and young adult migration in Britain Nissa Finney (University of Manchester) BSPS 2008

  2. Questions for today • Are there ethnic differences in young adults’ propensity to migrate? • What are the determinants of migration (and how important is ethnicity)? • What are the patterns of migration for different types of places?

  3. Why young adults? • Most mobile life stage for all ethnic groups • Migration linked to several life course events – study, first job/career, partnerships, family formation (Kley, Mulder) • Ethnic differences in ‘transition to adulthood’ migration (Milewski (TIES), de Valk) • Theory that migrant/minority groups stay longer in the family home • Gender differences may be greater for minority groups

  4. Why ethnic differences? • Greatest differences between ethnic groups’ migration propensities in young adulthood (Finney & Simpson, Stillwell & Hussain) • Age at which there is a decrease in residential segregation (Sabater) • Young adult migration distinguishable from other age groups….

  5. Migration correlations at each age Negative correlations between ages 18-29 and all other ages. 0 18 30 85+ 18 30 Source: CCSR net migration estimates, districts of GB 85+

  6. Residential segregation • Age effect: (ethnic) differences in migration patterns in young adulthood can always be expected • Cohort effect: beginnings of an ‘integrated generation’?

  7. Previous UK Findings: Ethnic differences • Crude internal migration rates are higher for Chinese, Caribbean, African, Pakistani and Bangladeshi than for White British • Differences in migration propensities are largely explained by socio-economic characteristics: after controlling for various characteristics Pakistani, Indian, Bangladeshi and Caribbean have significantly lower odds of migrating than White Britons • Dispersal and suburbanisation are common experiences • Chinese have most distinct geographies of migration e.g. migration away from rural areas • British Muslims desire affordable housing in ethnically mixed, safe neighbourhoods Finney & Simpson 08, Simpson & Finney 08, Stillwell & Hussain 08, Phillips 06

  8. Migration data: age and ethnicity • Census 2001 (Migration 2000-2001): • commissioned tables (CO772, CO711, CO723) • Microdata (SAR, SAM, CAM) • Migration Estimates: • CCSR (Net migration 1991-2001) • Raymer/Southampton

  9. Ethnic group population composition (GB) Source: SAR 2001

  10. 1. Propensity to Migrate 01 SAR, GB, Pop age 16-29

  11. 2. Determinants of Migration Odds ratios of Migrating within UK (non-significant values not shown) Ethnic group (Ref: White British) Children (Ref: Dependent Children) Marital Status (Ref: Single) Health (Ref: No LLTI) Tenure (Ref: Mortgage) Qualifications (Ref: GCSEs) R square: 0.21 01 SAR, GB, Pop age 16-29 Economic Activity (Ref: Employed Full Time) Sex (Ref: Male)

  12. 3. Migration & area type Total net migration by age for minority concentrations Minorities Whites Source: CCSR estimates, districts of GB

  13. Minority population or urban-ness? Bristol East Riding of Yorkshire

  14. Minority concentration Urban-ness Net Migration as a % of mid-decade (91-01) population CCSR estimates, wards, E&W, pop age 19-30

  15. Issues arising • Need to examine patterns for more refined: • age groups • ethnic groups • geographies • How can student movement be accounted for?

  16. Concluding points For young adults: • There are ethnic differences in propensities to migrate but they are largely accounted for by personal characteristics • Accounting for characteristics, South Asian, Caribbean and Chinese move less than White British. For the whole population Chinese are no different from White British and Pakistani and Bangladeshi are even less mobile than White Britons • Female young adults are more mobile than males • Urbanisation of whites but counterurbanisation of minorities, contrary to common experiences for the whole population? • Further investigation requires new data (e.g. SAM/CAM or commissioned tables) and models that take account of geographical distribution of ethnic groups Nissa.Finney@Manchester.ac.uk

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