Turbulence Prediction and Warning Systems Programmatic Status

1. Aviation Safety & Security Program Turbulence Prediction and Warning SystemsProgrammatic Status FAA-NASA-Industry Certification Workshop Sep 7, 2005 James F. Watson NASA-Langley Research Center

2. FY05 TPAWS Strategy • Schedule • - TPAWS/AvSSP is still scheduled for completion 30-Sep-05 • Future (FY06+) • - AvSSP “phase-2” planning/scope is way behind, standstill+. • Budget • NASA overall FY05 budget is about 6% more than FY04. • LaRC overall FY05 budget is about 14% less than FY04. • TPAWS (LaRC+DFRC) overall FY05 “net procurement” finalized early Dec-04 at amount lower than any plan guidelines • - FY05 NASA budget allocations received mid-Dec-04

3. FY05 TPAWS Strategy • Research Portfolio/Scope Decisions • -Fulfill the FY04/05 2-year research for In-Service-Evaluations of E-Turb Radar and Turbulence AutoPIREP System (TAPS) technologies. • -Support ATIE (Turbulence Cockpit Displays) using ARC 747 simulator & facilities. • Remaining $$ were insufficient for a/c-to-a/c TAPS milestone with NASA 757/Learjet; NASA aircraft utilization was eliminated. • -With FAA FY05-07 plan for Turbulence Certification activities, TPAWS opted to support transition of “Cert Methods & Tools” for wrap-up/hand-over. • - Remaining $$ were allocated to a limited a/c-to-a/c TAPS ISE with addition of DAL 767 fleet.

4. 4Q-FY05 TPAWS Summary • Schedule • TPAWS/AvSSP is scheduled for completion 30-Sep-05 • ATIE and ARC 747 simulation cancelled • Budget • Full allotment in late-Feb05 due to CR • 99.8 % of TPAWS FY05 “procurement” budget has been allocated • 100% (re-allocation) in Jun-05 • Future (FY06+) • AvSSP-phase-2 planning has been “zeroed”; FY07 competition (?). • More details

5. FY05 TPAWS FAA-Cert Priorities • Certification Methodology and Tools: • Turbulence Data Sets, Tools, and Integrated Simulation Package that will support FAA certification of airborne radar w/turbulence prediction mode • Transition the Simulation Package and applicable information into the FAA 3-yr (FY05-07) Airborne Radar Certification Documents Project • Turbulence Display Concepts: • Joint experiment with AWIN for assessing turbulence cockpit displays • CANCELLED due to sim schedule • In-Service-Evaluation (ISE) of E-Turb Radar: • Performance reports/analyses/results from DAL 737-800 flights

6. WxAP Project Review NASA Weather Accident Prevention (WxAP) Project Review 2005September 20-21, 2005 http://wxap.grc.nasa.gov/review/Marriott Williamsburg50 Kingsmill Rd.Williamsburg, VA 23185General Hotel Information: 757-220-2500http://marriott.com/PHFCWFact Sheet: http://marriott.com/property/factsheet/PHFCW Room Reservations: 1-800-442-3654 or local 757-220-2500(Room block available until September 5, 2005 or until sold out, whichever comes first)

7. Web Sites • http://tpaws.larc.nasa.gov • Prime location of significant TPAWS info • -Certification Workshops Items • LaRC-757 turbulence flight data/results • Distribution of turbulence data sets and certification tools / products • Can’t assure after 30-Sep-05 • http://wxap.grc.nasa.gov • Prime location of significant WxAP info • -TPAWS presentations from WxAP “Annual Reviews/Meetings” • AvSSP Program Site (?)

8. TPAWS Airborne Centric Concept Many Thanks for Contributions and Support Data Link Data Link Flight Management System A/C Controls/Mitigation Schemes Decision Aids Presentation to Pilot Processors Onboard Sensors Airborne Turbulence Information TurbulenceAuto-PIREP Airborne scaling & display of Turbulence Auto-Pirep’s information Forward-Looking Sensors: Radar and LIDAR Ground-basedTurbulenceProducts

9. FY06+ Planning Status • FY06+ Activities: • Mar 04 AvSSP-Phase2 Industry Workshop “results suspended for FY06 start” • FY06 is designated a “transition” year • FY07 will be start of “competitions” for AvSSP research activities • FY06 NASA Aero appropriation is getting Congressional interest • New NASA-Adm. is focused on President’s space exploration priorities • Place-holders/Meetings • LaRC ARD Presentation (NASA, ATR); 23-Mar-05 • NASA-HQ ARMD Presentation (NASA, ATR, DAL); 6-Apr-05 • FAA-HQ AvSafety Presentation (NASA); 7-Apr-05 • JPDO Wx-IPT Aircraft Mitigation Presentation (NASA,FAA..); 19-May-05 • 5-6 submittals/mtgs to LaRC ARD/others for FY06 activities • cert and/or tech transfer AvSSP-1, bridges for AvSSP-2 • specific FY06 products/closure • NASA-ATR-DAL-RC-ARINC Strategy Mtg; 25-Aug-05 • SPA Planning Lead Mtg; 1-Sep-05

10. Support to FAA Turbulence Certification Plan • Scope • The FAA-Cert organization has developed a 3-year plan (FY05-07) for developing the necessary process, tools, criteria, and documents for certifying airborne turbulence products. TPAWS was the prime programmatic/research effort for this activity/group thru it’s “Certification Methods & Tools” milestone, which was reduced in FY04 and essentially eliminated in FY05, except to provide “transition” to FAA programmatic plan/leadership, which includes workshops at 6-month intervals. NASA “researchers” have been requested to participate in the development of these items with an FAA/Industry Team and also to complete the turbulence datasets, simulation tools, and integrate them into a single certification via simulation package. • FTE • 2.0 CS • Funding required • Contractor: $K • Travel: $K • Support Category • 3 (a)-Reduce Implementation Risks of AvSP developed technologies

11. Support TPAWS Technology Transfer • Scope • The TPAWS Enhanced Turbulence (E-Turb) Radar and Turbulence Auto-PIREP System (TAPS) are scheduled to complete In-Service-Evaluations with DAL on 30-Sep-05. Both of these technologies has generated significant interest and advocacy as being very effective for eliminating turbulence related injuries, costs, and as a contributor to airspace operations efficiencies by providing flight crews reliable tactical information. The NASA TRL/IRL levels of 6/4 are an economic and technical development risk level below what industry/airlines can accept in today’s economic environment. This effort would provide techno-research activities to raise the TRL/IRL levels such that the technologies can get into the NAS in a timely manner so that benefits can be realized. Typically this will include expansion of the ISE type activity to other aircraft types/airline and evaluation of the performance in overall NAS. Also, the evaluation of a E-Turb Radar retrofit to older, less information/data distributed aircraft will be conducted. • FTE • 3.0 CS • Funding required • Contractor: $ K (?joint funding from NASA, FAA) • Travel: $K • Support Category • 3 (a)-Reduce Implementation Risks of AvSP developed technologies

12. Support Turbulence Hazard System (future ICATS) • Scope • The TPAWS Enhanced Turbulence (E-Turb) Radar and Turbulence Auto-PIREP System (TAPS) are scheduled to complete In-Service-Evaluations with DAL on 30-Sep-05. Both of these technologies has generated significant interest and advocacy as being very effective for eliminating turbulence related injuries, costs, and as a contributor to airspace operations efficiencies by providing flight crews reliable tactical information. There has been significant interest in using these two technologies as enablers to an overall airborne turbulence information system using the collaboration/team concept that synergized the two In-Service-Evaluations. The activity would form a new team including NASA and FAA as equal leaders, expand the number of airlines for evaluation of turbulence technologies, and provide the concepts, roles, processes, tools, for eliminating turbulence as an airborne hazard/threat to the NAS. Some detailed item are shown in the following chart, ICATS. This will lay the ground work beyond FY06 as a probable research activity, to be funded by multiple agencies, and in-kind support of airlines, manufacturers, etc. Some of these items have been discussed with FAA-AVS. • FTE • 5.0 CS (NASA) • Funding required • Contractor: $ K (joint funding from NASA, FAA) • Travel: $K • Support Category • 3 (a)-Reduce Implementation Risks of AvSP developed technologies • 3 (b)- Lay groundwork for probable future projects

13. Integration & Certification of Airborne Turbulence Systems ICATS • Key Deliverables • -Total turbulence situational awareness cockpit informational display system • -Expanded aircraft types (RJs, GA) for E-Turb Radar & TAPS technologies • -Expanded TAPS reporting to include additional airborne related hazards/parameters • -Expanded and new airborne and ground related decision aids related to turbulence, from flight planning thru flight destination arrival. • Certification documents including MPS, updated TSO-C63c, Issue Paper, Part-25 AC,.. • Certification tools, performance criteria, and user documents Product Description Integrated technologies (E-turb Radar, TAPS, new sensors, com-links, decision aids..) using aviation operations based system approach to essentially eliminate the turbulence threat/hazard for gate-to-gate phase of flight Safety Need/Benefit -The integrated strategic and tactical aspects of turbulence situational awareness will reduce to near zero injuries/accidents. -Significant reduction in general operation and maintenance/inspection costs incurred by turbulence encounters. • End Users/Customers • Commercial airlines, Flight crews, Passengers (100+ seat aircraft) • -Bizjet, GA aircraft (100 toward 20 seat aircraft) • -FAA, ATC • -Flight Operations, Dispatch, Meteorology, Maintenance Collaboration Team -FAA & NASA (50/50 program funding) -ATR, Rockwell-Collins, ARINC,… -Airlines (DAL,....) -NOAA