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Emission sCenarios. A consistent glance at the future. Goal. Starting Point. Emission Scenarios. PSz. National Program. vTI. NEC. Approach. Central Emission System (CES): Detailed data von activities (AD), emission factors (EF) and emissions (EM) Time series from 1990 onwards,
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Emission sCenarios A consistentglanceatthefuture
Emission Scenarios PSz National Program vTI NEC
Central Emission System (CES): Detailed data von activities (AD), emission factors (EF) and emissions (EM) Time series from 1990 onwards, Represents baseline scenario (“REF“) Products Emission reporting: Tables in CRF- and NFR-format, gridded emissions, indicators Public information: Trend tables, “real-time” inventory Extra assessments: Base data for internal and external assessments Defined interface: Aggregated AD, EM, IEF for CES-data Standard format Projections: “Translation” of GHG-scenarios for air pollution, Assessment of UBA-scenarios Emission scenarios: CES-consistent emission data for scenarios, Extrapolation of aggregated implied EF, “Translation” of GHG-scenarios for air pollution, Scenarios up to 2050 • Projection and Scenario projects • Supply of base data for scenarios • Adjustment for recalculation • Project results feed into emission projection database 1. 2. 3.
AR * EF = EM
Central Emission System 2.496 20.922 20.922 AR x EF = EM Emission Scenarios 153 1.512 1.512
Szenarios • REF • I2.6 • PSzV-MMS • PSzV-MWMS • PSzV-SWS