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Regeneration Strategy. SWOT & Key Challenges Workshop Bridgend Rugby Club 20 June 2007. Welcome. Louise Fradd Director of Regeneration Bridgend County Borough Council. Bridgend Regeneration Strategy. Simon Pringle, Malcolm Williams & Michael Palin SQW Ltd. 09.40 What we’re trying to do
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Regeneration Strategy SWOT & Key Challenges Workshop Bridgend Rugby Club 20 June 2007
Welcome Louise Fradd Director of Regeneration Bridgend County Borough Council
Bridgend Regeneration Strategy Simon Pringle, Malcolm Williams & Michael Palin SQW Ltd
09.40 What we’re trying to do 09.50 Setting the Scene 10.15 What the data say about Bridgend 10.45 Revisiting the Community Strategy 10.55 Breakout Groups Tea/coffee 12.10 Plenary 12.55 Next Steps . . . Lunch!!! Agenda
The Study – what are we trying to do? Simon Pringle
Objectives • 4! • An evidence base to understand how Bridgend’s economy works • Moving forward the Vision for the County Borough in the Community Strategy . . . • Producing a Regeneration Strategy for 2007-2022 . . . • Underpinned with deliverable actions • Sustainable • Impact-delivering
. . . & approach? • Evidence-based • Moving-on from simple assertion • Futures facing • Consolidating what has gone before . . . not simple reinventing • Engaging partners – you will make the strategy work! • Thinking boldly, differentiatedly . . . & playing to strengths
Stage 1: Baseline Identifying the themes & policies underpinning the Community Strategy & Council priorities Stage 2: Sector Review Identifying key economic sectors (& social implications) for the future of Bridgend Stage 3: Development of strategic framework Developing vision & strategic objectives Stage 4: Develop Action Plan Development of Action Plan Stage 5: Dissemination To be conducted by Bridgend CBC Stage 6: Launch & implementation of strategy To be conducted by Bridgend CBC Developing the Regeneration Strategy
Stages 1-4 - the SQW Commission 1a. Inception Set-up (done) 1b. Documents review Thorough strategic review (done) 1c. Data review Socio-economic baseline (done) 2a. Sector analysis Interim key sectors report (end May) 3a. First Partner Workshop Linking & focusing priorities for Regeneration (today!) Draft Strategic Framework Document (September) 3b. Develop Draft Strategic Framework Document Agreed Strategic Framework & first-cut ideas for actions (mid-September) 3c. Strategic Framework Calibration Workshop
Stages 1-4 - the SQW Commission Identification of potential project champions, resources & timescales (end September) 4a. Bilateral telephone discussions with partners 4b. Development of Thematic Action Plans Thematic action plan report (early October) 4c. Develop monitoring & evaluation framework Monitoring & evaluation framework (end November) 4e. Finalisation of strategy & action plan Final report & presentation (end November)
Stages 1-4 - the SQW Commission • Key study outputs • Baseline report • Strategic Framework Document • Action Plan • Readying you!
Health & Well Being Safer Communities The Environment Prosperity Working with the Community Plan Working Together, 2004 An inclusive community for Bridgend, with a good quality of life
‘steering the county borough’s natural, human & financial resources to help residents lead independent lives to the full’ Thru . . . Robust Partnership Reduction in Crime Employment & Economic Regeneration Better opportunities for children & young people Valuing older people Promoting sustainable use of the environment Health for residents, workers & tourists Access to opportunity, transport & services The Community Strategy’s Vision
Setting the wider context - Market & Technology Drivers facing Bridgend
Not an economy in isolation! • Markets are changing • Demographics e.g.. ageing population esp. in West • Increasingly virtual through Internet • Market fragmentation – no longer mass markets, but segments • Growing emphasis on service & ‘customerisation’ • ‘Systems’ . . . & Huge ranges based on common platforms • Delivery to increasingly short time-frames • Lifestyle factors • Environmental issues, Health & Fitness, Brand & Culture • The power of the retail chains • Huge influence on specification & price
Not an economy in isolation! • BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India & China) • ‘Middle class’ in China & India – 30% of 2bn = 600m • . . . 2 x EU! • Cars, holidays, luxury brands . . . Western standards of living
& technologies are accelerating! • Life sciences • Micro & nano technologies • New materials e.g.. bio-active materials • Computing functionality – Moore’s Law • Knowledge mining & management • Memory technologies - storage • Networks • Mobility/portability
Disruptive business models increasingly the norm! • e.g.. • Direct selling via global call centres • Internet business interface – e.g.. low cost airlines’ internet booking & Reverse Auctions • Creating a service without owning main infrastructure • Double-hubbing • Innovation & marketing in one place – production in another • Licensing & branding • MySpace, YouTube, Second Life, Google • Increasing need for alliances – through networks or clusters
Western companies can’t compete on global mass market manufacture . . . • Instead, they need to focus increasingly on • Niche markets esp. with design sophistication • Innovative new areas – with lead in-time & IPR cover • Products & services tailored for the public sector • Military equipment & services where competition is restricted • Combinations of product & service
New opportunity areas • Health, medical, translational research, pharmaceuticals, cosmetic surgery, obesity, beauty • Internet developments, immersive environments, games, leisure, creative industries, entertainment • R&D, creation of IP for world markets/manufacture • Environmental markets, sustainable technologies, renewable/clean technologies - in particular consultancy, know-how & IP related products • Security, defence and disaster prevention, recovery • Financial services, legal services, trading e.g. carbon credits • Bridgend’s RS must understand & anticipate these sorts of opportunities
Policy drivers • European - Lisbon Agenda, European Initiative for Growth • UK - Competitiveness, Knowledge Economy, City Regions, HM Treasury Drivers of Productivity • Enterprise • Skills • Investment • Innovation . . . • . . . & Full Employment
Policy drivers • Wales - Wales Spatial Plan, A Winning Wales, Objective 1 SPD • Bridgend – Working Together • The Policy context is increasingly complex . . . the RS must connect - but not be constrained - by this
Commuting Demography Activity Rates Productivity Economic Success (GVA per capita) Employment Rates Determinants of Economic Success WAP/POP X LF/WAP X EMP/LF X GVA/EMP (or GVA / hour X hour/EMP)
Commuting Demography Activity Rates Productivity Economic Success (GVA per capita) Employment Rates Determinants of Economic Success • Population base • Migration • employment prospects • character of the area • housing offer
Commuting Demography Activity Rates Productivity Economic Success (GVA per capita) Employment Rates Determinants of Economic Success • Age profile • Skills/education attainment • Employment offer
Commuting Demography Activity Rates Productivity Economic Success (GVA per capita) Employment Rates Determinants of Economic Success • Job creation • Skills match
Commuting Demography Activity Rates Productivity Economic Success (GVA per capita) Employment Rates Determinants of Economic Success • Treasury drivers • Skills • Enterprise • Investment • Innovation • Competition • Nature of employment • sectors, markets, occupations
Commuting Demography Activity Rates Productivity Economic Success (GVA per capita) Employment Rates Determinants of Economic Success • Relative employment prospects • Role within wider economy
Lenses with which to view Bridgend • HMT Drivers of Productivity • Enterprise • Skills • Innovation • Investment • Full Employment • Quality of Life (e.g.. Housing)
Gross Value Added (£) per head Source: ONS, NOMIS Overall performance of the Bridgend economy • In a period of growth, Bridgend’s economy actually declined to 2000 • Since 2001, GVA has improved . . . but remains comparatively sluggish • This could be due to demographics, labour market, or productivity . . . all are being considered • Message – the GVA gap has grown to be substantial . . . it needs closing
Business Registration (Start-up) rates Source: NOMIS Enterprise & business • We suffer from an ‘enterprise gap’ – lower levels of business start-ups compared to our neighbours • This means we have less wealth creating units within our economy • But . . . if people do start a business, it’s survival chances are good • Message: encouraging enterprise amongst all groups is essential in creating a bigger & broader economy
Change in Economic Inactivity Rates Source: NOMIS Labour market • Economic inactivity has been lower than Welsh comparators • Although, inactivity rates fluctuate widely between 1999 & 2006 • Within our labour market – particular cohorts stand out: • Males are more likely to be inactive compared to comparators • Young people are more likely to be unemployed • Encouraging labour market activity improves economic performance & economic equity • Message – economic inactivity is low, but we need to support groups finding access to opportunity difficult
Qualifications, Bridgend & comparators Source: NOMIS Education & Skills • Bridgend has the highest proportion of those with no qualifications, & a deficit of those with NVQ4+ - the key driver of modern economies • In 2005/06, Bridgend had the lowest % of pupils achieving 5+ GCSEs grade A*-C compared to Cardiff, Bridgend & Wales • If our young people are not attaining well . . . how can they find employment? How can our economy grow? • Message – a large skills shortfall exists & needs addressing
Percentage of employees in knowledge intensive businesses (KIBs), Bridgend & comparators Source: ABI Investment & Innovation • We lack a direct HE presence – key sources of innovation, investment & skilled people • Bridgend has a low percentage of its population employed in KIBs • However, KIBs as a % of businesses stock is high & outperforms SW Wales & Wales • Digital@Sony Technium – a wider role? • Generating/accessing knowledge is key in the Knowledge Economy
IMD overall domain map - 2004 Source: CLG Deprivation • We have a broad North-South split in terms of deprivation . . . • . . . but ‘pockets’, wherever they are, cannot be ignored • Communities First in Bettws, Blackmill, Caerau & Llangeinor – more resources to come? • How do we better link our needs to our opportunities • Message – addressing deprivation is win-win
QoL - Housing & Services • There are already strategies in play . . . • Health, Social Care & Well Being Strategy • Local Housing Strategy 2004-2009 • These should be ‘backed-up’ & not re-created • First steps on the ladder – support our young people • Higher pupil to teacher ratio than Wales in Primary Schools • Children in social services – where do these go? • Message – delivery is key here, within a broader strategic framework
Some sector perspectives on Bridgend -Cambridge Econometrics projections
Some sector perspectives • A view of the business base • Shrinkers • Output Employment • Adjusters • Output Employment • Expanders • Output Employment • We need to think of the implications • Occupations • What does it imply for policy emphasis
Expanders Adjusters Shrinkers Summary analysis
Drawing the Messages together . . . • We need to • Better understand & anticipate global trends in Markets & Technologies • Disruptive processes • Compete on knowledge • Alliances & networks • Competitor awareness • Close our Productivity Gap • Higher Value added focus • Grow economic activity by bearing down on inactivity • Increased level of Skills – basic & higher • Build innovation & investment levels
Drawing the Messages together . . . • Ensure economic benefits are widely shared • Equity & Social distribution . . . • Vital for drawing people back into the mutually rewarding activity • Focus on expanding (& some adjusting) sectors • Expanding – e.g.. Computing, Communications, Professional Services • Adjusting – e.g.. Financial services, Construction • Understand in economic terms how we perform as a distinctive national city