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UBSW Emerging Companies Conference. Andrew Lindberg, Managing Director 23 rd October 2002. Overview. Financial objectives Strategy Capital management Current issues. Our financial objectives are clear. Target: 15% ROE Consistent trend EPS growth Stable dividend payment
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UBSW Emerging Companies Conference Andrew Lindberg, Managing Director 23rd October 2002
Overview • Financial objectives • Strategy • Capital management • Current issues
Our financial objectives are clear • Target: • 15% ROE • Consistent trend EPS growth • Stable dividend payment • Improve quality of earnings • Efficient capital management
The global asset manager model defines long term growth as being both vertical and horizontal Milling & Processing International other grains & commodities • Customer Relation-ships Shipping International wheat Finance & Risk Mgmt. Solid domestic base enables domestic value chain integration and international growth Pool Mgmt. Australian other commodities Value adding products and services Grain Acq. & Trading • Grower Relation-ships Supply Chain Australian other grains Rural Services Inputs Australian wheat Seed & Grain Tech.
In order to achieve our objectives, AWB has clearly defined strategies Maximise value for growers, customers & shareholders
Specific near term initiatives will support our strategies • Diversify domestically and offshore • Expand finance & risk management offerings • Strengthen position in Asia and Middle East and develop global trading business (Geneva) • State deregulation of other grains • Step up investigation of M&A opportunities • Increase grains under management • Strengthen our rural services base • Supply chain investments that provide commercial returns • Active capital management • Ensure effective cost control
In 2001/02 AWB strengthened its core business … • Strengthen core business to sustain performance • Further improvement to a key under-performing business area - Chartering • Strengthening of the performance of the Single Desk and implementation of new performance based remuneration model • Broaden financial and risk services to growers and customers • Strengthen grower/rural services and financial advisory networks • Development of AWB supply chain network with capacity of around 3mt • Development of superior grain varieties through a JV with Syngenta • Establishment of new business processes, systems and product development capability
Diversification … through acquisitions, other grain trading, non-pool chartering and global trading will result in a lower reliance on Australian wheat receivals NPAT Diversification ($m) 3% 10% 20% Other grain and non-Aust wheat & Diversification 90% 80% 97% Wheat related (f) = AWB forecast (p) = AWB Plan
M&A activity is important to assist diversification Environment Initiatives Planned Outcomes • Review of management of Single Desk in 2004 • Increased competition from domestic and global players • Rationalisation of domestic supply chain • Opportunities in other commodities, other grains • Offshore opportunities • Less than 80% reliant on wheat by 2004/05 • 15% ROE target • Establishment of platforms for further growth and diversification • Efficient capital management • Further pursue and review opportunities in the value chain, other grains, other commodities • Assess other opportunities for strategic fit as they become available • Continue to manage current overseas investments
Capital is allocated notionally to businesses • Main businesses that use capital are: • Finance & Risk Management Products • Grain Acquisition & Trading • Supply Chain & Other Investments • Other business streams include: • Grain Technology • Pool Management Services
We allocate capital using a top-down and bottom-up approach • We consider a range of factors such as targeted credit rating, value at risk and the universe of agricultural operations and product companies As an indication, for 2001/02 we allocated: • Finance & Risk Management Products $150m • Grain Acquisition & Trading $200m • Supply Chain & Other Investments $100m • Other main capital uses include corporate assets ($50m) • Surplus equity of between $250m - $300m • As we diversify we will allocate capital accordingly
The company is funded through commercial paper • We fund the company and therefore businesses through 3 commercial paper (CP) programs – AUD, US & EURO • We have a relationship bank panel of 16 throughout the world. These banks provide liquidity support i.e. ability to fund company at all times even when markets are tight • Last year AWB issued over $US5b in CP • We are an active participant in the FX, Options and Swaps markets
We are constantly looking at the mix of capital and debt in relation to the opportunities available to us • Depending on the range and size of these opportunities we will consider the structure of the balance sheet for maximum value to shareholders • This will include raising some long term debt (none currently) which could take the form of medium term notes, private placement, or hybrid securities. • We will consider a share buy back if this makes sense for shareholder value
Wheat receivals currently have significant impact on profit +/- $6 - 7m +/- $1m +/- $3m - 4m +/- $2m - 3m
El Niño patterns generally last 12 & 18 months Price ($AUD) Volume (mt) El Niño El Niño El Niño El Niño El Niño f Production: 5 yr ave = 21.1 mt 10 yr ave = 19.0 mt 20 yr ave = 17.3 mt Area: 5 yr ave=11.8 m/ha 10 yr ave=10.7 m/ha 20 yr ave=10.4 m/ha Source: ABARE f = forecast. Note: 5 – 20 yr averages include 2002-03 forecast
AWB is well positioned • Significant expertise and scale in global wheat marketing • One of the largest integrated global wheat managers • Large existing customer base • Manager of the Single Desk • Potential to broaden range of products, services and customers in Australia and overseas • Strong balance sheet and dividend paying capacity
Full year results 2002-03 • Released Wednesday 20 November • Analyst briefing at 2:30pm Wednesday 20 November • Briefings in Sydney Thursday 21 November • Briefings in Melbourne Friday 22 November