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MARE Conference Round Table Empowering Sustainability Science on People and the Sea. J.G. Ferreira 让 · 费雷拉. MARE Conference Amsterdam, Netherlands 5 th -7 th July 2007. IMAR – Portugal http://www.imar.pt. MARE The remit from Cornelia (with adaptations).
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MARE Conference Round TableEmpowering Sustainability Scienceon People and the Sea J.G. Ferreira 让·费雷拉 MARE Conference Amsterdam, Netherlands 5th-7th July 2007 IMAR – Portugalhttp://www.imar.pt
MAREThe remit from Cornelia (with adaptations) • International agreements – from big principles to small practical steps (hopefully, some useful examples of practical steps coming up); • How best to address obstacles (i) Jump over them; (ii) Go around them; (iii) Stand well back; • How to empower citizens, organizations, governments and companies to become active users of critically engaged sustainability science (i) understand that only 10% of it will work for each group, it won’t be the same 10%, and it will lead to conflict – your truth, my truth, the truth... (ii) The science is in many cases at the “sorcerer’s apprentice” stage – the marketing is not.
What am I doing here? • We model coastal systems, and support decision-making; • We have worked in Europe and the USA, in South-East Asia and sub-saharan Africa. If you come from a small country like Portugal (or Holland), the only option is to be able to communicate with others, and deal with different perspectives; • Lecture on what you know, not what you would like to know;
SPEARKey objectives • To develop an integrated framework that simulates the dynamics of the coastal zone accounting for basin effects; • To test this framework using detailed research models, which assimilate dispersed local and regional data; • To examine ways of internalizing environmental costs and recommend response options; • To evaluate the full economic costs and benefits of alternative management strategies, and societal consequences; • To provide managers with quantitative descriptors of environmental health, including simple screening models, as practical diagnostic tools, innovatively combining local and regional datasets.
Partners andAssociates University of Gothenburg, SWEDEN University of Stirling, U.K. WL|Delft, NETHERLANDS Plymouth Marine Laboratory, U.K. IMAR – Institute of Marine Research, PORTUGAL (Coordination) First Institute of Oceanogaphy, CHINA Ningbo University, CHINA NOAA NCCOS, U.S. Contribution to eutrophication assessment Third Institute of Oceanogaphy, CHINA Xiamen University, CHINA Contribution to Socio-economic work CSIR – Council for Scientific and Industrial Research, SOUTH AFRICA U. Algarve, PORTUGAL Contribution through Erasmus Mundus
João G.FERREIRA ZHUMingyuan TonyHAWKINS YANXiaojun MartinDE WIT TrevorTELFER SteveGROOM JohannesSMITS LANDongzhao AndersSTIGEBRANDT 骨干成员 Coordination for China Coordination
Farm-scale conceptual diagram 养殖区概念模型 Farm length Width Current Current Shellfish Chl a Chl a Depth n-1 n 1 2 3 POM POM Sections
WFD Results – ASSETS model Farm Dimensions (m) Species Cultivation (d) 300X20X10 Generic 45 Food Chl a (mg L-1) POM (mg L-1) TPM (mg L-1) 11 5 25 Environment Current (m s-1) T (o C) O2 (mg L-1) 0.02 15 7.0 Cultivation scenario Low MediumHigh Density (ind m-3) 25 (all) 100 (all) 500 (all) Total seed (X103 ind) 1500 6000 30000 Total harvest (TFW) 13.1 36.8 39.1 Final mean Chl a (mg L-1) 9.5 6.0 1.3 Final min. O2(mg L-1) 5.9 3.8 1.8 ASSETS grade GoodModerate Poor Income (k€) 65.5 184 195
Shellfish farming: 8.7 k€ y-1 Sewage treatment: 40.5 k€ y-1 Total income: 49.2 k€ y-1 Eutrophication control 富营养化控制 Phytoplankton removal 789 kg C y-1 Shellfish ffiltration Detritus removal 3255 kg C y-1 N removal (kg y-1) Algae -123 POM -506 Excretion 61 Faeces 122 Mass balance -455 Population equivalents 135 PEQ y-1 ASSETS INCOME PARAMETERS Density of 100 mussels m-3 1200 day cultivation period 70% mortality 3.3 kg N y-1 PEQ Chl a O2 Score
SPEAR (and other) Lessons • Language + form: communication. A quote from the WSJ 2007.07.05: US Congressman “I will not vote to appropriate money to study the muscles of zebras!”; • Slow down – it is not us and them, it’s us with them – modelling, like learning, works by infection; • Understand the issues (the boundary problem – concept and permissions); • Make sure you are addressing what local people want, don’t be prescriptive; • Don’t waste energy (=time+money+hair) on insoluble issues; • If the young people are not interested, it probably won’t work.
Things that work • Push and Pull – Stakeholders then Science • Take-home messages in Chinese for scientists, managers and other stakeholders; • The SPEAR Leverage Programme (SLP) – Example: TAICHI – we involved NOAA, SIO, Xiamen University – but where are the Western companies? • Training courses, graduate bycatch - infection; • Translate software – and when Chinese students use it, they help write the guidance; • Project local people – Example: ERF2007 International Program; • Write a book – for a broad spectrum audience – learn from the US; • Make models on the web (e.g. www.farmscale.org).