Discussion with the Corvallis Area MPO January 30, 2013

1. Exploration of Scenario Planning Oregon Sustainable Transportation Initiative Discussion with the Corvallis Area MPO January 30, 2013 Amanda Joy Pietz, ODOT Planning Unit Manager Bob Cortright, DLCD Scenario Planning Coordinator

2. Why is the State here? • There are new tools available that can help elected officials and the public understand likely outcomes of existing plans and begin to explore ways to make communities better off • We want to give you information on the tools and scenario planning process • Recognizing that scenario planning is voluntary, we want to work with you to identify issues, opportunities, and ways that the state can most effectively help you. • The State is willing to provide technical and financial support if you have interest

3. Today’s Discussion • Provide an overview of state efforts • Describe scenario planning • Present tools available • Outline available state support • Discuss opportunities, interests and reactions

4. Overview of State Efforts • Legislation on planning to reduce GHG emissions – OSTI • Prompted creation of new tools • Focused on ways to reduce GHG • But we also recognized need to look at other broad goals • Included development of: • Toolkit • Metropolitan Area GHG Reduction Targets • Scenario Planning Guidelines • Statewide Transportation Strategy

5. Statewide Transportation Strategy (STS) • A state-level scenario plan • What would it take to substantially reduce emissions balancing other important societal goals?

6. Understanding Where We Are HeadingBased on the Plans and Trends of Today – Reference Case • Findings • Jurisdictions have done a lot already to reduce emissions • Transportation costs for households will rise • Congestion will get worse

7. Research and Analysis Exploring OptionsDeveloping and Testing Alternative Scenarios Evaluate potential outcomes Test transportation and land use options Outcome Inputs Level of intensity Vehicle Fuel Efficiency ITS and Technology Pricing and Markets Land Use Change Select the mix of actions with the best potential outcomes (Strategies) Mode Share Outputs GHG Emissions Energy Consumption Travel and System Performance Land Use and Resource Impacts Public Health Impacts Household Costs Potential Implementation Risks

8. Strategies Vehicle and Engine Technology Advancements 1 – More Efficient, Lower-Emission Vehicles and Engines Fuel Technology Advancements 2 – Cleaner Fuels Systems and Operations Performance 3 – Operations and Technology 4 – Airport Terminal Access 5 – Parking Management 6 – Road System Growth Transportation Options 7 – Transportation Demand Management 8 – Intercity Transit Growth and Improvements 9 – Intracity (Urban) Transit Growth and Improvements 10 – Bicycle and Pedestrian Network Growth 11 – Carsharing 12 – More Efficient Freight Modes

9. Strategies Efficient Land Use 13 – Compact, Mixed-Use Development 14 – Urban Growth Boundaries 15 – More Efficient Industrial Land Uses Pricing, Funding and Markets 16 – Funding Sources 17 – Pay-As-You-Drive Insurance 18 – Encourage a Continued Diversification of Oregon’s Economy

10. What do the Strategies (STS) Mean? • Point to promising approaches for reducing GHG and reaching other goals • ODOT will develop a work plan that outlines things that can be done short term, what needs further analysis, and ways to partner with others • The STS is a statewide look, some of the strategies may work well for jurisdictions, others may not • Regions and locals can choose the strategies that work best for their area • The STS compliments metropolitan scenario planning

11. What is Scenario Planning?

12. … and how is it different than what we’ve already done?

13. Scenario Planning: • Uses new tools • GreenSTEP • Sketch Planning Tools • To evaluate likely outcomes • including GHG emissions • Provides improved information to evaluate and improve plans

14. State’s Interest: What will it take to meet Greenhouse Gas emissions targets? What changes to land use and transportation plans, policies, and programs would be needed to significantly reduce GHG emissions from light vehicle travel in metropolitan?

15. It’s not just about Greenhouse Gas Emissions • Good planning involves broad range of community goals, objectives • Want to achieve GHG reduction in a way that makes communities (and the state) better off • Scenario planning involves evaluating other outcomes/effects

16. It’s voluntary (really) • Different from standard state-local process • Decisions about whether and how to move forward are local • Agencies have tools, resources, ideas to help

17. It’s a step-by-step process • Guidelines lay out 6 steps • Agreement on goals/objectives • CEvaluation of existing plans • Local decision at key steps about whether and how to proceed

18. It builds on existing plans Starts with an evaluation of existing plans Using new tools: GreenSTEP Sketch Planning Tools More detailed estimate of outcomes: Household energy and transportation costs Infrastructure costs Accessibility Health impacts

19. Metro’s process is instructive • Keep in mind • Metro’s process is illustrative only • You are not required to do what Metro has done • Your process/results will vary

20. Process begins with regional dialogue Climate Leadership Summit April 2010

21. Agreement on important regional issues

22. Evaluation using GreenSTEP 22

23. Metro Findings

24. Metro Findings

25. What works:

26. OSTI Resources to help • Toolkit • Scenario Planning Guidelines • State technical and financial support

27. Questions? OSTI Website: http://www.oregon.gov/ODOT/TD/OSTI/ Contact: Amanda Pietz (amanda.pietz@odot.state.or.us) Bob Cortright (bob.cortright@state.or.us)