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MAP D-PHASE. D emonstration of P robabilistic H ydrological and A tmospheric S imulation of flood E vents in the Alps June – November 2007. global EPS. days -5, -4, -3. limited-area EPS. Event? Where?. no. yes. Alert. days -2, -1 sub-domain X. global EPS. high-res det. model.
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MAP D-PHASE Demonstration ofProbabilistic Hydrological and Atmospheric Simulation of flood Events in the Alps June – November 2007
global EPS days -5, -4, -3 limited-area EPS Event? Where? no yes Alert days -2, -1 sub-domain X global EPS high-res det. model high-res det. model high-res det. model high-res det. model high-res det. model limited-area EPS high-res LEPS Time Confir- mation hydrologic simulation no day 0 sub-domain X Nowcasting high-res det. model high-res det. model high-res det. model high-res det. model high-res det. model high-res LEPS latest obs latest obs latest obs hydrologic simulation Action end-to-end flood forecasting system