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Skills for Jobs: Today and Tomorrow. The National Strategic Skills Audit for England 2010. Tony Allen - Skills Director (South East) Skills Funding Agency. A Strategic Framework. Prosperity . Skills Upgrading (Supply) . Ambition (Demand) . Match/Mismatch (Skills and Jobs).
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Skills for Jobs: Today and Tomorrow The National Strategic Skills Audit for England 2010 Tony Allen - Skills Director (South East) Skills Funding Agency
A Strategic Framework Prosperity Skills Upgrading (Supply) Ambition (Demand) Match/Mismatch (Skills and Jobs) Skill Shortages and Gaps Unemployment Under-employment/Over-skilled Migration
The Key Outputs • The final Audit is published in two volumes: • Volume 1: Summary of Key Findings • Volume 2: The Evidence Report • The underpinning reports (x35) are all available on the UK Commission’s website • A video summarising the Audit is also available on the website
Key Findings: Employment - Jobs and Skills • Employment levels are more than 3 million higher than 15 years ago (even post recession) • A growing and globally connected economy • Strong regional concentration in economic activity and employment • An ageing workforce • Proportion of jobs held by those born outside the UK has risen significantly - 9 per cent in 1998 to 13 per cent today • Occupations employing the highest number of people are in the three highest skilled groups • Growth in jobs has been mainly in high skill occupations too
Key Findings: Skill Mismatches Labour supply: skills available Labour demand: skills required Skill shortage vacancies EMPLOYMENT Unemployed Migrants Skill gaps Fully employed Under employed
Key Findings: Skills Mismatches • Overall, skill shortages are relatively small (63,000) and concentrated in associate professional, skilled trades and personal service occupations; and in the agriculture, utilities, hospitality and health sectors • Unemployment affects over 2 million people – and there is mismatch between the skills of the unemployed and employer needs • Skill gaps are more significant than shortages (1.7 million) and are especially pronounced in sales; administrative; and elementary occupations and the manufacturing; utilities; and hospitality sectors • Under-employment and the under-utilisation of skills is also a significant issue (perhaps, 2.7 million people)
Difference between Skills Supply & Demand:Change between 1998 and 2006 Demand growing 7 times faster than Supply! Source: Ambition 2020, Chart 7.1, p 115 - OECD, Education at a Glance 2008, Table A1.3a and Table 1.6
Key Findings: Sectors • Model developed to identify key sectors in terms of: • Skills needs (skills shortages and gaps) • Economic significance (productivity and employment) both currently and in the future • Sectors with greatest ‘skill needs’ include: hospitality; transport equipment; agriculture; textiles; computing; vehicle maintenance; food and drink; and retail
Key Findings: ‘NINJ’ Sectors • The size, value and maturity of the NINJ sectors varies, but there is a degree of interdependence between them • Low Carbon Economy - Financial and Professional Services • Advanced Manufacturing - Digital Economy • Engineering Construction - Life Sciences • Together, these sectors are seen as catalysts for future economic growth • There is some commonality between them in terms of skills needs: • Importance of R&D and STEM skills • Importance of skills at levels 3, 4 and 5 • Management and leadership skills • Commercialisation skills • Project management skills • Focus on re-skilling and upskilling existing workforces • Analysis of SSC research reveals additional 4 key sectors: Creative, Social Care, Retail and Hospitality
Key Findings: Occupations • Expansion in jobs is most likely within higher skilled occupations (managers, professionals, technical occupations) and also in personal service occupations • ‘Replacement demand’ (the need to fill jobs as people retire) is also a key issue • There will be a significant demand for: • ICT skills amongst managers and professionals across a range of sectors (particularly in computing) • STEM related skills in medical technology and pharmaceuticals • Management skills across a range of sectors • Technician roles across a range of sectors • Frontline service staff especially in social care • Managers and associate professionals in health and social work • Employability skills and basic skills
Changes in Occupational Structure:(Jobs Growth – not Replacement Demand)
The 10 Key Messages From the Audit • High quality intelligence is crucial to better inform decisions • Skills for jobs matter • Demand for skills matters as much as supply of skills • Workplace ambition, organisation, and development matter • Migration matters • Sectors and geography matter • High level skills and jobs matter • Intermediate skills and jobs matter • Generic, employability and basic skills matter • Low skills jobs will not disappear (still around 20% in 2020).