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Oil deregulation law at ang patuloy na pagsasamantala ng kartel sa langis. Inihanda ng Bagong Alyansang Makabayan Marso 2011. Balangkas. Patuloy na pagtaas ng presyo ng langis Pagsasamantala ng kartel sa langis Ang Oil Deregulation Law Mga panawagan. Larawang kuha ng Reuters.
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Oil deregulation law at angpatuloynapagsasamantalangkartelsalangis Inihandang BagongAlyansangMakabayan Marso 2011
Balangkas • Patuloynapagtaasngpresyonglangis • Pagsasamantalangkartelsalangis • Ang Oil Deregulation Law • Mgapanawagan Larawangkuhang Reuters
2008: tumaasangpresyong57 centavoskadalinggo (average) 2011: tumataasangpresyong diesel ng68 centavoskadalinggo ₱56.19 (Aug 2008) ₱48.61 (Mar 15, 2011)
Bakitmulingsumisiritpataasangpresyonglangis? • Tumitindingispekulasyonsa world market bunganglumalalangkaguluhansa Middle East at North Africa (MENA) • Ang MENA ay kumakatawansa 35% ng global oil production Imahemulasa aljazeera.net
Mula Middle East angmahigit 84% nginiimportnakrudongPilipinas 54% ng total oil imports ay krudo at 46% namanang refined oil products Source: DOE
May pangambasa shortage ngsuplayperowala pang aktwalna shortage • Libya – 2% ng global oil production • OPEC spare capacity – 4.9 MBD, o 3X ngproduksyonng Libya • OECD inventory – 57.5 days (3.5 – 5.5 days namasmalakikesa normal) Imahemulasa economist.com
Angpandaigdigangmerkadonglangis • Pisikalnamerkado • Spot market (MOPS, Dubai crude, etc.) → 33% • Long-term supply contracts/intra-TNC → 67% • Ispekulatibongmerkado (futures market) • NYMEX (New York), ICE Futures (London) • Mga investment banks & iba pang financial institutions Larawanmulasa upi.com
Exxon Mobil (US) profile 32 supertankers 40,234 kilometers of pipelines & 300 terminals 259.4 M barilesngkrudongreserba 40,000 pump stations (100 countries) 45 refineries (25 countries)
4 nakumpanyalamangang may kontrolsamahigit 83% nglokalnamerkado
Depektongderegulasyon • Ipinagpapalagaynitona may malayangkumpetisyonsaindustriyanglangis • Lalongpinalakasanglokalnakartel • Inalisangrendasapresyo • Mulanangipatupadang ODL, tumaasnaangpresyonglangisnangmahigit 653% (ave. retail) • ₱7.50 na overpricing (Jan 2008 – Jan 2011) Kuhani Jesus Orbeta
Epektong overpricing Dagdagnatuboparasa oil companies at P-Noy administration Dagdagnapabigatsapaghihirapngsambayan Mgapinahalawanngbatayangdatos: DOE, DOF, LTO, NSO, at mgapanayam
Anonaangginawani P-Noy? • Pagbuong IACC; pagtakdang minimum inventory; pagtiyaksasuplay (target 60 days buffer) • Tinutulanangpagtanggalsa VAT (“₱5 B revenue losses, credit downgrade”) → relief fund for transport groups (₱2 B windfall from VAT) • Tinutulanangpagkontrolsapresyo at pagbasurasa Oil Deregulation Law LarawanmulasaMalacañang
Mgalumilitawnapanukala • On VAT • Suspension - MigsZubiri (SB 2762) • Reduction – Ralph Recto • On Oil Deregulation • Review • Manny Villar, Comprehensive oil sector reform agenda • Junk ODL • Progressive partylist groups (HB 4335) • Rufus & Maximo (Abante Mindanao) Rodriguez (HB 2569) • JV Ejercito, price control & buffer fund • IpatupadODL “safeguards” – DOE-DOJ task force (COPW)
Anoangatingmgapanawagan? • Agadnakontrolinangpresyonglangis • Ibabaangpresyonglangis • ₱7.50 kadalitrona overpricing • ₱6 kadalitrona VAT (average retail, lahatng petroleum products) • Ibasuraang Oil Deregulation Law • Simulanangpaglalatagngmgakondisyontungosaganapnapagsasabansangindustriyanglangis
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