1 / 19

Gross Power Generation in Germany [Source: AGEB]

debbie
Download Presentation

Gross Power Generation in Germany [Source: AGEB]

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Electricity Systems with High Renewable Energy SharesProf. Dr. Georg ErdmannTU Berlin; Chair Energy SystemsMember of the Federal Commission „EnergiederZukunft“Seminary “Science for Energy Scenarios”organized by the “Commissariat à l'Énergie Atomique et aux Énergies Alternatives » in Les Houche, 3 February 2014

  2. Gross Power Generation in Germany [Source: AGEB] Gross electricity generation [TWh] 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 REN Oil Hard coal Lignite Gas Nuclear Other

  3. Renewable Electricity in Germany [Source AGEB] Electricity generation [TWh] 140 120 100 Biomass 80 PV Wind 60 Hydro 40 20 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

  4. German Electricity Bill for Final Users [Data source: Destatis 2012] 65 63 61 Total expenditures of industrial, commercial and residential customers [without VAT; Billion Euros] 59 59 55 60 51 47 43 42 42 41 41 41 41 41 40 39 39 50 38 37 34 40 30 20 10 1991 1995 2000 2005 2010

  5. Breakdown of the German Electricity Bill

  6. Direct and indirect support of Renewables

  7. German Energy Concept 2050 [September 2010] “Price” for more nuclear

  8. Assumed Renewable Electricity until 2050

  9. Volatility of Wind Power [Source: Ehlers 2011, S. 100] Wind power generation [MW] 20'000 16'000 12'000 Virtually no capacity contribution Gradient8'000 MW/h Amprion 8'000 EnBW 50Hertz Transmission Transpower 4'000 0 1.1.2010 31.1.2010

  10. Power Supply Scenario for 2030with 50 Percent REN Electricity Load [GW] 100 80 Ordered load duration 60 40 Ordered residual load without biogas / bio-methane 20 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 -20 -40

  11. Remaining Non-renewable Power Plants

  12. Power Supply Scenario for 2030with 50 Percent REN Electricity Load [GW] 100 80 Ordered load duration 60 40 Conventionalpower plants Ordered residual load without biogas / bio-methane 20 “Baseload” power 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 -20 Expectedannual operationof new plants -40

  13. Ordered Day-ahead Prices in 2012 130 Day-ahead price [EUR/MWh] 110 without wind + PV: Ø = 51.13 €/MWh Δ = 8.53 €/MWh 90 70 Without wind: Ø = 48.06 €/MWh 50 30 Day-ahead price 2012: Ø = 42.60 €/MWh 10 1440 2880 4320 5760 7200 8640 -10 Hours -30

  14. Ordered Prices in 2012 compared to prices Necessary for Financing new GT Day-ahead price [EUR/MWh] 210 51.13 €/MWh at 500 h/a 150 52.50 €/MWh at 1000 h/a 54.07 €/MWh at 1500 h/a 55.80 €/MWh at 2000 h/a 90 42,60 €/MWh 30 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 1000 -30 Hours

  15. Backup Power Plant Operation in 2030 Residual load [GW] 50 40 No operation 30 20 Plant positionin the merit order ConsecutiveOperation 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Hour -10 -20

  16. Consecutive Operation in 2030 [at 25 GW]

  17. Consecutive Standstill in 2030 [at 45 GW]

  18. Tel: +49 (030) 314 246 56 Fax: +49 (030) 314 269 08 georg.erdmann@tu-berlin.de georg.erdmann@prognoseforum.de Tack såmycket

  19. (Stochastic)Systems Analysis,Econometrics … Wind and PV Investments Regulation power Prices CCS Businessstrategies Hydrogen and fuel cells Innovations Markets Energy security Bio fuels Energy laws Socialwelfare Power-to-gas CO2allowances Competition Industrial EconomicsEvolutionary EconomicsPublic Choice … Research Profile of „Energy Systems“

More Related