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Coupled Basin- to Regional-Scale Ocean Modeling as Developed in the U.S. GLOBEC Program

Coupled Basin- to Regional-Scale Ocean Modeling as Developed in the U.S. GLOBEC Program. Dale Haidvogel IMCS, Rutgers University dale@imcs.rutgers.edu. The principal objective of U.S. GLOBEC research is to understand and predict the effects of global climate change on ocean

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Coupled Basin- to Regional-Scale Ocean Modeling as Developed in the U.S. GLOBEC Program

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  1. Coupled Basin- to Regional-Scale Ocean Modeling as Developed in the U.S. GLOBEC Program Dale Haidvogel IMCS, Rutgers University dale@imcs.rutgers.edu

  2. The principal objective of U.S. GLOBEC research is to understand and predict the effects of global climate change on ocean ecosystem dynamics

  3. Approach: Spatially nested biophysical models NCEP/MM5 -> ROMS/NPZ -> IBM

  4. Capabilities developed • One- and two-way nesting • NCAR CCSM • HyCOM • SODA • 2. 4D Variational data assimilation • 3. Food web (NPZD) models • 4. Individual-based models (zoop, salmon)

  5. Northeast Pacific Program: Spatial windows† † CCS box contains multiple applications-dependent inner domains

  6. “Reduced” CCS (underway) • Inner CCS domain (mesoscale survey) • 2-Km resolution • 2002 • COAMPS 9 Km forcing • SODA boundary conditions • Will include ecosystem model (NPZD+Fe, NEMURO+Fe) • Forward runs / data assimilation

  7. Questions and Issues • How good is the forward model? • Does it improve upon the reanalysis fields? • What processes / model details control the errors? • Use of 4DVar to correct errors • Redo above for the ecosystems

  8. SODA

  9. Low vertical resolution

  10. Increased resolution of surface layer

  11. Recap • Significant hindcast skill over several months • Influence of boundary data, resolution, … • Errors related to mesoscale evolution of flow? • Assimilation next (physics first)

  12. Questions?

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