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1. PASBO 54th Annual Conference Seminar A Strategic Plan
for
Managing Electricity Costs
in a
Market-Based Environment
2. Energy Markets Today: Volatility and Uncertainty Oil/Gas Roller Coaster
painfully up, steeply down!
Developing Economies?
Weak dollar?
Speculative Trading?
Sub-Prime Crisis?
Geo Politics? Any Politics?
4. Evolution of the Electricity Market in PA Unbundling of Services & Supply: “Choice”
Today: Marginal Price > “Capped” Price
Marginal Electricity Prices Track Volatile Oil/Gas
Expiration of Rate Caps
Risks will Shift to the Retail Customer
Expectation of Significant Price Increases
Pike County, UGI, Maryland, Delaware: ˜ 70%
5. Future PA Electric Market? December 31, 2009 – PPL Rate Caps expire
December 31, 2010 – PECO & GPU Rate Caps expire
Electric bill structure and components change
Stranded costs (CTC/ITC) disappear from bill
No “Shopping” (Stay w/ PPL, GPU, PECO, etc)
Tier “A” – 0-100 kW : Quarterly Adjustment
Tier “B” – 100-500 kW : Quarterly Adjustment
Tier “C” – 500 kW+ : Monthly Pricing (+ Adder?)
Anticipate a price increase & volatility
6. What Can You Do to Mitigate this Price Increase? Develop & Implement Procurement Strategy
Gather and Prepare Energy Usage Histories
Aggregate to Improve Purchasing Power
Qualify Multiple Suppliers to Increase Competition
Solicit Flexible and Innovative Product Offerings
Explore Tradeoffs of Price, Risk and Reliability
Ensure Contract Consistency w/Strategy/Goals
Track Usage & Costs through Customized Analyses
Utilize Results in Developing/Refining Budgets
7. Independent Approach
Options to Consider:
Brown/Green/Renewable
Demand Response
8. Peak Day K-12 Load Shape
9. NYMEX Settle Prices & Futures: 2004 - 2013
10. Activity Timeline
11. Peak Week K-12 Load Shape
12. PJM LMP Price: 16 Jan 2009
13. Case Study Southeastern PA Schools - Phase 1
40 school districts enrolled plus 52 private schools
Over 350 Million annual kilowatt-hours under agreement to both Provident Energy and EGS
Savings of 8-11% on the unregulated portion of the utility’s bill, or about 5-8% from total bill
Total Cost Reduction of over $4 Million/Year!
14. Who is Provident Energy? PA PUC Licensed Energy Supplier
Electricity since 1998, Natural Gas since 2007
Highly Knowledgeable and Capable Team
40+ Years Energy Industry Experience
Education: E.E., Environment, MBA Finance
Current Client Aggregation:
750 Million KWh, 200 MW, 2 Million DKTh
Includes 70 School Districts
15. Why Provident Energy? Independent/Non-Exclusive Consulting Firm
Competition from Reputable/Capable Suppliers
Critical Licensing Advantage: “EDI”
Electronic Gathering/Updating of Utility Data
Personal Client Relationships: Key to Success
Long Established Tradition, Measurable Results
Lengthy Experience in Retail Purchasing
16. Contact Information Joseph S. Solomon, President
Voice: 610.565.0633
Facsimile: 610.565.7853
jsolomon@ProvidentEnergyUS.com
Michael R. Lang, Principal
Voice: 610.565.5507
Facsimile: 610.565.7853
mlang@ProvidentEnergyUS.com
www.ProvidentEnergyUS.com