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Communicating Budget Reductions. GFOA AZ February 2009. Financial Forecast. Fiscal Update 2 nd Quarter FY 2009. 2008 - December National CPI – 0.7% December job change = (1,529,000) Unemployment rate 7.2% Arizona Unemployment rate 6.9% December job change = (12,400)
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Communicating BudgetReductions GFOA AZ February 2009
Financial Forecast Fiscal Update 2nd Quarter FY 2009
2008 - December National CPI – 0.7% December job change = (1,529,000) Unemployment rate 7.2% Arizona Unemployment rate 6.9% December job change = (12,400) Active foreclosures = 7,797 (Maricopa County) 328 Avondale foreclosures 2007 - December National CPI 0.4% December job change = (320,000) Unemployment rate 4.9% Arizona Unemployment rate 4.2% December job change = 5,100 Active foreclosures = 3,859 (Maricopa County) 193 Avondale foreclosures Economic Indicators
State Revenues • Shared Sales Tax • December sales tax collections were down (16.4)% compared to December 2007 and were $(79.7) million short of the monthly forecast. • 14.8% projected annual loss = $920,000 to Avondale • Income Tax • December individual income tax collections were down (6.2)% compared to December 2007 and were $(43.1) million below forecast.
State Revenues • Auto In-Lieu Tax • FY 2009 YTD Disbursement to Avondale $100,00 below 2007 (7.5% below City forecast) • HURF • FY 2009 YTD Disbursement $348,000 below 2007 (14% below City forecast)
State Shared Revenue *Projected
Local Revenues • Sales Tax • Six month collections $2.2 million or 11.3% below forecast • Six month collections below same six months prior year $2.4 million or -12%. • Development Revenue • Single family permits total 39 year to date – 38% below forecast
Assumptions FY 2009-10 • Baseline sales tax assumes -5% growth • 100% of contracting sales tax considered one-time • 75% of building/development revenue considered one-time • 75% of Interest Income considered one-time
Avondale Budget Reductions • Step One Reductions – Spring 2008 - $3.2 million • Elimination of 29.5 positions • Transfer or redeployment of staff • Layoff of two employees • Voluntary separation offered • Reduce training and travel • Eliminate consulting projects and services • Eliminate operating capital purchases and improvements • Reduce memberships • Reduce meeting expenses and supply budgets • Reduce special events and activities • Reduce printing, publication and marketing costs • Replacement costs, temps and other contracts
Avondale Budget Reductions Step Two Reductions – December 2008 - $3.6 million Contracting out for services – $153,000 Reduction in force - $1,198,960 Eliminating special events for one year $110,000 + O/T (not including RIF) State of the City $2,500 Northwest Public Safety Facility $1,100,000 (net) Eliminating the Neighborhood Traffic Management Program (NTMP) $200,000 Cashion Community Center Conversion $58,500 Contributions Assistance Program $40,000 Youth Non-Profit Sports Voucher Program $32,500 New Life Center $25,000 Line items/Other - $670,000 Elimination of 46 positions Layoff of 20 employees
The Final $3 Million • Suspend equipment and vehicles replacements • Suspend replacement fund contributions • Additional voluntary retirements • No salary adjustments • No additional employees • Special interest classes/sports cost recovery • Increase in engineering and planning fees
Transition Assistance • 2 weeks base pay + 1 week for each year capped at 12 weeks • $3,000 for 90 days of medical premiums • Outplacement services including skills training, professional resume service, interviewing assistance
Questions? March 2009