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Air Force Approach to Irregular Warfare

Air Force Approach to Irregular Warfare. Lt Col John Stokes LeMay Center/DD. What is Irregular Warfare?. Traditional Warfare – A violent struggle among state and non-state actors that employs direct military confrontation to force a change in the adversary’s government or policies

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Air Force Approach to Irregular Warfare

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  1. Air Force Approach to Irregular Warfare Lt Col John Stokes LeMay Center/DD

  2. What is Irregular Warfare? Traditional Warfare – A violent struggle among state and non-state actors that employs direct military confrontation to force a change in the adversary’s government or policies Irregular Warfare – A violent struggle among state and non-state actorsfor legitimacy and influence over the relevant populations Counterinsurgency (COIN) Support to COIN Counterterrorism Shaping and Deterring Support to Insurgency Unconventional Warfare This definition comes from the Joint Operating Concept for Irregular Warfare & is approved by the SECDEF and CJCS Key activities within IW

  3. COIN Train/Advise Terrorism Nationbuilding Civil War Terrorism Spectrum of Conflict HumanitarianAssistance Scale of Operations require GPF participation Most Likely, More Complex and Increasingly More Lethal Relief Operations Peace Enforcement Show of Force Shaped by hybrid warfare complexities Probability Noncombatant Evacuation Selective Strike Global War Major Combat Peacetime & Crisis Low-Intensity Conflict Mid-Intensity Conflict High-Intensity Conflict

  4. DoD Directive 3000.07 • Dated 1 Dec 08 • Policy: • “IW is as strategically important as traditional warfare” • DoD must improve proficiency for IW • Service Secretaries will: • Maintain scalable organizations to train and advise • Maintain expeditionary units organized, trained, and equipped to support indigenous forces • Establish curricula to prepare personnel for IW

  5. IW White PaperDecember 2008 • “We must be as competent in and capable of conducting IW as we are in traditional warfare.” • Five Pillars of Global Shaping • Develop, sustain, and expand partnerships • AF Global Partnership Strategy, Building Partnerships for the 21st Century, 2008 • Build partnership capacity (BPC) • Expand influence in ungoverned and under-governed territories • Find, fix, finish, or isolate insurgents and terrorists • Broaden the shield of deterrence

  6. The Challenge… IW is a violent struggle among state and non-state actors for legitimacy and influence over the relevant populations

  7. Why Insurgencies Win (or Don’t)Dr. Jeff Record - AWC • Stronger political will • More effective strategy • Access to external assistance • Great power regime type

  8. Operational Reality New York Turkmenistan Afghanistan Kabul 1100 miles • Population: 31 million • Literacy Rate: 36% • Male 51%, female 21% • Life expectancy: 42 years old • 66% Population Lives on $2/day • Official Language is Dari (Persian) • Air Mobility is A Critical National Capability Iran Pakistan New Orleans Afghanistan Is About The Size Of Texas

  9. “It’s Still Winnable, but Only Just”Dr. David Kilcullen • “We have failed to secure the Afghan people” • “We have failed to deal with the Pakistani sanctuary…” • “The Afghan government has not delivered…” • “Neither we nor the Afghans are organized, staffed, or resourced to do these three things.”

  10. Questions and Discussion

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