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Arab spring. Origins and geography. S ocial and national movement which started in 2010-2011. Named “ arabic spring” to make a reference to the p eople spring from 1848. T his movement started in Tunisia to conteste the power of Ben Ali O ne slogan : Erhal : Get out
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Origins and geography • Social and national movementwhichstarted in 2010-2011. • Named “arabic spring” to make a reference to the peoplespringfrom 1848. • Thismovementstarted in Tunisiato conteste the power of Ben Ali • One slogan : Erhal : Get out • Then in Egypte • In Lybia, Bahrein, Yemenfailure. (UN, Solidaritywithmonachies in persian golf) • Violences in Syria
Causes, way of contestation and domino effect • Expression of liberty • Corruption • Cost of life, jobless • Need of democracy…. • But without help from other countries • Example of the failure of Iraq and Lebanon war with the help of US or France
contestation • Way of contestation • Non violence • No leadership • Use of facebook, internet • Dominoeffect. • Rebuildgeopolitics : Palestine, economy, oil…
Common points • Demography : transition achieved • Educated population. • Political regimes : autoritair , old leader, nepotism • Gap between diplomacy and international support ( in the name of economical interest) and aspirations of population (Olivier Roy) • Influence of US in the decline • Role of Turkey as mediator between Israel and Syria • Saudi-Arabia and Syria in Lebanon • Democracy is not imported but is coming from inside !
consequences • Financial sanctions to the dictators • Intervention in Libya • Immigration problems in Libya… • In Italy… • Reconsideration of Schengen agreements.
Diplomatic configuration • Egypt got closer to Iran • Work for Palestine • Is not that closed to US • Reconfiguration of human rights council in United Union • Less dictatorship
Palestine • Hamas and Fatah signed agreements in Cairo • First step to the constitution of a State of Palestine • Syria is weaker so can not fight the Hamas • Bahrain which finance political parties in Palestine is also weaker • US is disagreed with this agreement even if it proposes the creation of a State of Palestine • Opening of Rafah on May 28th.only Access to Palestine whichis not controled by Israel.
International reactions • UN : sanction to Libya • Arab league : accept a mediation by Hugo Chavez • NATO : attack in Libya are assimilated to a crime against humanity • South Korea launched tracts on north Korea about the Arab Spring • US : position of army near the Libyan coast • EU : sanction on Libya, embargo
Questions ? • A new mediterrean Union ? • A democracy from “inside” ? • Risk of fundamentalism ? • The decline of the big power ? US, France ? • The raise of new mediators ? Syria ? Turckey?