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Keeping the Promise of Sustainable Growth, Today and Tomorrow. Ren Wang Director, CGIAR. Beijing, China October 19, 2007. Overview. Global trends and implications Evidence of progress toward sustainable agriculture Rising to new challenges.
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Keeping the Promise of Sustainable Growth, Today and Tomorrow Ren WangDirector, CGIAR Beijing, ChinaOctober 19, 2007
Overview • Global trends and implications • Evidence of progress toward sustainable agriculture • Rising to new challenges
Rising Food Demand in Response to Population Growth and Urbanization Cereal Demand: developing world to account for 2/3 by 2020 Million metric tons 3000 Industrialized world 2500 Developing world 2000 1,675 1500 1,118 1000 560 500 822 725 664 0 1974 1997 2020 Baseline Source: IFPRI Impact Projection, 2001
Biofuels Revolution – Competing Uses and Higher Prices for Crops • New pressures on agriculture and its resource base • Opportunities and threats for the poor • Are win-win solutions possible?
Integrated Food Chains – Opportunities and Risks for Farmers • “Supermarketization” of agriculture presents both challenges and risks for farmers • How can agricultural research help small farmers compete in markets?
Agriculture and Human Health – Novel Approaches • Crop biofortification: Improving the micronutrient content of basic staples
Emerging Disease Epidemics – Threats to Food Security and Livelihoods
Intensification of Agricultural Production Versus Environmental Sustainability Fertilizer-N consumption in the world increased by 7 times during 1961-2002 (FAO 2004), The societal costs associated with inefficient, excessive N use would increase tremendously.
Climate Change – Can Agriculture Cope? • More frequent extreme weather events • Reduced crop productivity
CGIAR Around the Globe ICARDA Aleppo Syrian Arab Rep. IFPRI Wash, DC USA ICRISAT Patancheru India IRRI Los Baños Philippines Bioversity International Rome Italy WorldFish Penang Malaysia IITA Ibadan Nigeria CIMMYT Mexico City Mexico IWMI Colombo Sri Lanka ILRI Nairobi Kenya CIFOR Bogor Indonesia CIP Lima Peru CIAT Cali Colombia Africa Rice Center-WARDA Cotonou Benin World Agroforestry Nairobi Kenya
CGIAR’s Evolving Research Agenda
Record of Achievement • For every dollar invested in CGIAR-supported research since 1971, US$9 worth of additional food has been produced. • More than 75,000 developing country researchers have received training at CGIAR Centers. • Without CGIAR research, world food production would be 4 to 5 percent lower, and more than 13 million more children would be malnourished. Source: R.E. Evenson and M. Rosegrant. 2003. The Economic Consequences of Crop Genetic Improvement Programmes. In R.E. Evenson and D. Gollin, eds. Crop Variety Improvement and its Effect on Productivity: The Impact of International Agricultural Research. CABI Publishing. Wallingford, UK.
Documenting the Impact of Improved NRM • “Zero-Till” Technology • Rice-wheat research consortium in South Asia responds to a slowdown in productivity growth. • Collaborative efforts to promote resource-conserving technology lead to wide adoption in India, Pakistan and other countries. • Benefits include higher crop yields, lower production costs and savings in water and energy. • Total economic gains for consumers and farmers estimated at US$94 million, compared to research costs of $3.5 million.
A case study in Vietnam Accelerating poverty elimination through sustainable resource management in coastal lands protected from salinity intrusion
Reducing Poverty through Better Resource ManagementA Case Study in Vietnam’s Coastal Lands
Not all effects are positive or desirable Rice intensification expanded ... … but increasingly into acid sulfate soils … at the expense of shrimp farming CGIAR research involving IRRI, Worldfish and IWMI in collaboration with local partners using GIS-modeling support to analyze & understand underlying constraints in productivity & sustainability issues, and designed win-win solution policy recommendations.
Improved Smallholder Livestock Production in Kenya • Strengthened capacity to market milk products • Integration of crops and livestock to raise yields and improve soils • New vaccines against East Coast fever and trypanosomiasis • Participatory analysis of development trade-offs in wildlife-rich rangelands
Positioning the CGIAR in Response to the Global Trends • Heightened emphasis on development and sharing of international public goods
Positioning the CGIAR in Response to the Global Trends • Increased efforts to mobilize advanced science for solving intractable problems
Positioning the CGIAR in Response to Mega-Trends • Commitment to capacity building and development of next generation of agricultural scientists.
Positioning the CGIAR in Response to Mega-Trends • Importance of a matrix approach combining time-bound innovative programs with longer term investment in strengthening international and national institutions
Positioning the CGIAR in Response to Mega-Trends • Partnerships that provide a platform for engaging national institutions to solve local problems.
Positioning the CGIAR in Response to Mega-Trends Efficacy Ownership and Participation Accountability Transparency Efficiency