220 likes | 796 Views
2. Post-Cold War Era. Threat???? Global Peace? No rival power? No rival ideology? Does US need a national security strategy anymore?. GHW Bush 1992 Defense Guidance Leaked and disavowed. Threat Emergence of a peer competitor Resurgent Russia China Regional powers (with WMD?) Iraq Iran
E N D
2. Post-Cold War Era • Threat???? • Global Peace? • No rival power? • No rival ideology? • Does US need a national security strategy anymore?
GHW Bush 1992 Defense GuidanceLeaked and disavowed Threat • Emergence of a peer competitor • Resurgent Russia • China • Regional powers (with WMD?) • Iraq • Iran • North Korea
Hegemonic Realism? Soviet superpower gone. US superpower remains.
GHW Bush Strategy Maintain Core Strategy • Nuclear Deterrence • Forward Presence • Peacetime Military Strength • Own the sea • NATO and other alliances • Free Trade and Commerce • Spread Democracy**
Additions to Core Strategy • Missile defense • Defense cuts • Base force and Reconstitution
3. US maintenance of global and regional balance of power US Russia China Europe Japan
Crush Regional Aggressors; Reestablish Regional Balance of Power
Clinton Idealist National Security Replacing the Truman Doctrine?
Threats? • Regional Instability • Regional powers with WMD • Iran, Iraq, N. Korea • Threats to democratic transitions • Transnational problems • terrorism, drug trafficking, organized crime
US Role? • Building post-cold war order based on Liberal-democracy
En-En Strategy Innovations? • Free Trade and Commerce • BEM • Spread Democracy** • NATO and other alliances • Nuclear Deterrence and missile defense • Forward Presence • Peacetime Military Strength • Own the sea
New Elements of Strategy • Focus on regional threats • Iran, North Korea • Human Rights and Humanitarian Crises • Haiti, Somalia, Bosnia
Humanitarian Intervention Somalia 1992-1994 The Ground Bosnia 1995 The Air
3. Power ProjectionUS military activities everywhere Combat Humanitarian Liberia East Timor Guinea-Bissau Sierra Leone Thailand/Cambodia Central African Republic Gabon and Congo • Somalia • Haiti • Bosnia • Iraq • Sudan • Afghanistan • Kosovo • Taiwan Strait
4. Two Overlapping Major Regional Contingencies (MRCs) MRC One MRC Two Time