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Strategies & Challenges for NOAA Coastal Ocean Modeling

Strategies & Challenges for NOAA Coastal Ocean Modeling. Frank Aikman III Coast Survey Development Laboratory National Ocean Service. Outline Concept of Operations Community Modeling Coupled Systems Ecosystem Forecasting. NCEP Ocean Modeling Workshop January 14-15, 2008.

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Strategies & Challenges for NOAA Coastal Ocean Modeling

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  1. Strategies & Challenges for NOAA Coastal Ocean Modeling Frank Aikman III Coast Survey Development Laboratory National Ocean Service Outline Concept of Operations Community Modeling Coupled Systems Ecosystem Forecasting . NCEP Ocean Modeling Workshop January 14-15, 2008

  2. Concept of Operations Developing NOAA Strategy Pathway from Research to Operations and Applications

  3. Developing NOAA Strategy Operations Research Products and Services Phenomena of Interest Observing Systems ENSO Update Time Time HAB Bulletin Giant Bluefin Tuna Space Space Operational Ocean and Coastal Forecast Guidance NOS, NWS Ops Observations & OSSE IOOS, NESDIS, OAR, JCSDA Data Assimilation & OSE NESDIS, NWS, OAR, JCSDA

  4. Pathway from Research to Operations and Applications Evaluation and Testing, Development, Transition to Operations Research and Development Value Added Product Development Operations Academia, IOOS Regional Associations, Research components of NOAA & other Fed Agencies Private Sector Actively manage these interfaces, through community modeling partnerships

  5. Community Modeling Approach • A community approach… • Allows for open discussion of strengths and weaknesses of different models • Elucidates the requirements of a common shared infrastructure • Allows model improvements to be shared effectively • Advances the science (research and operations) • Leverages resources and amplifies the voice of the community

  6. Barriers Formats of data and model files Data and model availability Lack of documentation Lack of coordination Lack of resources Benefits Expanded resources Credibility Data exchange Streamlining research to operations and model coupling Education of user community (risk) Community Modeling: Barriers, Benefits and Priority Needs • Priorities • Error metrics and reference datasets • Standards and infrastructure • Engagement and support

  7. Coupled Systems Challenges • Scales: • Space: Riverine-Estuarine-Coastal-Basin-Global • Time: From Minutes to Synoptic to Seasonal to Interannual to Decadal to Long-Term Climate • Issues: • Software Architecture • Formats and Methodologies • Standards and Infrastructure • Skill Assessment (Metrics)

  8. Coupled Systems Challenges • Physical-Ecological: Whole Ecosystem Biogeochemical Water quality NPZ Habitat Pelagic Fish recruitment Single Species Multiple Species Food Web/Energy Budget Giant Bluefin Tuna

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