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Thinking about University Futures intersections between creativity and foresight

Thinking about University Futures intersections between creativity and foresight. Maree Conway Thinking Futures PhD student, Swinburne University of Technology. Beginning. Understanding how today's management models emerged

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Thinking about University Futures intersections between creativity and foresight

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  1. Thinking about University Futuresintersections between creativity and foresight Maree Conway Thinking Futures PhD student, Swinburne University of Technology

  2. Beginning • Understanding how today's management models emerged • Exploring convergence and divergence in beliefs about university management held by academics and managers: now manifesting itself as a 'divide' • Exploring how universities and their management might evolve into the future (2030) • From perspective of people doing the work

  3. Testing the proposition that the management structures, systems and processes we have in place today will not work in the future university. • Rather than wait for any new models to be 'imposed' on the university from outside, exploring the future today to begin to close the gap between views about how universities should be managed.

  4. Three Stages of University Management • 1970s-1990s: hybrid phase • 1990s- today: divided phase • today to 2030: ??

  5. Integral Interior Exterior Individual Collective

  6. Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)

  7. Integral + CLA Framework Interior Exterior Myth/ Metaphor Litany Values Beliefs Assumptions 'Knowledge processes' Management processes Organisational Behaviour/ Interactions Individual consciousness ChangeSpace Individual Disrupts Collective Idea of the university Rules of the game Language Traditions External drivers of change - evolution of capitalism - technology Culture Social systems/ structures Worldviews Social causes

  8. Research space Clashes/interactions here not fully explored Current literature/ research focuses here mainly Interior Exterior Values Beliefs Assumptions 'Knowledge processes' Management processes Individual Idea of the university Rules of the game Language Traditions External drivers of change - evolution of capitalism - technology Collective

  9. Challenges… • Biggest challenge not about external change (right hand quadrants) but about change to our thinking about how we manage universities (left hand quadrants) • Shapes decisions about organisation, roles, work, management, strategy

  10. Thinking… • What are the drivers of change that will contribute to shaping the future university? • How will they influence the shape of the future university? • What management models will be appropriate? • Will the future university need to be managed at all? • Who will manage the future university?

  11. Foresight & Creativity… • Open and inclusive, based on diversity of perspectives • Expanding options, not setting boundaries (at the start anyway) • Social, collective insights not individual guru/genius led • Divergent thinking (future) before converging (today) • Messy process, not linear • Incomplete information/uncertainty • Raymond Loewy’s MAYA principle* applies *Most Advanced Yet Acceptable

  12. University Management Interior Exterior Individual Collective

  13. http://integralthinkers.com/wp-content/uploads/Worldview-Lenses-models-530px.pnghttp://integralthinkers.com/wp-content/uploads/Worldview-Lenses-models-530px.png

  14. Contact Details Maree Conway http://thinkingfutures.net maree.conway@thinkingfutures.net Twitter: @mareeconway Blog: http//:thinkingfutures.net/blog Tel: +61 (3) 9016 9506 Mobile: +61 (0) 425 770 181 Skype: mkconway1 All photos from fotolia.com unless otherwise stated.

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