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“Thoughts” on Winners and Losers. Julian M. Alston University of California, Davis Workshop on New Products and New Domestic and International Marketing Channels Sonoma Valley Inn June 18-20, 2005. Australian Angles. Personal history; Julian’s negative vibe . . .
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“Thoughts” on Winners and Losers Julian M. Alston University of California, Davis Workshop on New Products and New Domestic and International Marketing Channels Sonoma Valley Inn June 18-20, 2005
Australian Angles • Personal history; Julian’s negative vibe . . . • Australian agricultural policy, 1975-2005 • Victorian rural policy, 1980s and 1990s (DARA, Marketing Branch, DITR; Gippsland Blue) • Policies to revitalize rural communities and enhance rural incomes • Decentralization – Small Towns Study • Diversification (agricultural/environmental tourism etc.) • New high value (or value added) products • What about comparative advantage? (Paul Cashin) • Value adding possibilities • Coal and iron ore; Wool scouring • Value adding where? Why? • Bendigo (Ames)? Melbourne (Chicago)? or Tokyo?
Australian Angles (continued) • Economic policy for Rural and Regional Australia • John Freebairn, AJARE, 2003 • The efficiency and equity aspects of policies affecting the quarter of Australians who live in rural and regional Australia (RARA) are reviewed. • For the most part it is argued that economy-wide policies rather than region or industry specific policies are appropriate. • Progressive income taxation, means-tested social security payments, and government funded education, health and other services directly and efficiently redistribute to support equity. • Subsidies for particular industries in RARA, such as dairy, and input subsidies targeted at RARA, such as community service obligations, misallocate resources and are ineffective in meeting equity goals. • Better property rights and procedures for allocating most natural resources, especially water, are necessary.
Jurisdictions, Targets, Instruments • What is the problem? • Rural poverty • Decline of small towns and loss of infrastructure • National security • Wasted Opportunities? • National public goods • State or local public goods • Industry collective goods • Private goods with synergies? • Appropriate Action? • Federal, state, or local government action • Institutional change to facilitate private individual or collective action
The subliminal message… Alternative mechanisms for product innovation • Invisible hand? • Invisible handshake? • Oligopoly • Invisible handout? • Government subsidy • Marketing order privilege • Other privileges
Types of Innovation Has implications for total benefits and their distribution • “Brand” creation and promotion • Canadian lamb; Many California examples • Grading • Napa Valley Cabernet (vs California Table Wine) • I-80 Beef? • New product innovation • Kiwi fruit? Shiraz? • Process innovation • Bag lettuce Marketing innovations may involve more than one type, and may require institutional innovation as well
Winners and Losers from “Value-Added” For producers to benefit from demand enhancement • Must increase average revenue . . . .which means either increase price for every unit of a homogeneous product or differentiate product • Must increase average revenue by more than the increase in average costs associated with the program
Privately Profitable Tax-Funded Promotion Price S0 P2 P1 P2-t P0 D1 D0 0 Q2 Q0 Q1 Quantity
Winners and Losers from “Value-Added” • “The Returns to Generic Promotion by a Producer Cooperative in a Small Open Economy” (Alston 1994; Hayes 1993) • Most countries, let alone states or counties, are “small” in most agricultural commodities • Profitable promotion (or other demand enhancement) is enabled by government intervention (e.g., dairy policy)
Price b c a S Pf f e d h k i j g Pm D1 D0 0 Q0 Q1 Q2 C0 C1 Quantity Consumer and Producer Welfare Effects of Promotion in a Small, Open Economy
Rent Sharing and Rent Dissipation • General problem with collective action programs • How to create rents? • probably need help from the government • How to distribute rents without dissipating them? • probably need help from the government • Mechanisms? • Individual rights • Pooling arrangements
Who Benefits • Land Owners • If access based on Geographic Indicators (e.g., Napa) • Rights to use Brand • If “access” based on membership of club • Other Specialized Factor • Skill • Trade Secrets (or other IPR)
Models of who benefits from marketing innovation • New Uses – Alston and Beach • Ethanol from corn • New Products – • Alston and Mullen • Large-Lean Lamb • Lence and Hayes • GM crops • “Natural” meat